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Jockey profile

Mr O McGill

246 rides in the last 5 seasons · 126 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 13 days ago 93% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2022
39–246
Wins / Runs
15.9%
Strike rate
n=246
83 (34%)
Placed
1.54
Fair A/E
n=246 · 1.25 incl. margin
+36.20
£1 level stake
n=246 at SP · +14.7%
£352k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
15.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.54). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 22% off breaks of two months or more (59 runs). Rides mostly for Noel C Kelly — 53% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 246 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 22% 38.2% when favourite Noel C Kelly: 20% from 130 LTO winners: 18.4% Rides the favourite in 14% of races
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 22% (n=59, Fair A/E 2.33), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 9.9% (n=121, Fair A/E 1.21). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 17.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.94 and +31.68 to a £1 stake over 103 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Noel C Kelly supplies 53% of the rides and edges the rider's average (20% vs 15.9%, A/E 1.48) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 31-60-day break (22.7%, n=66) and in Hurdle races (21.4%, n=126). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 9.3% over 54 rides, 6.6pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Cave Court (IRE) — 5 wins from 17 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9.9%−6.0
n=121 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −42.87
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
18.4%+2.5
n=38 · A/E 1.01 · £1 +21.85
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
22%+6.1
n=59 · A/E 2.33 · £1 +69.90
When favourite
38.2%
n=34 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +2.83
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
15.5%−0.4
n=233 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +36.12
Big fields · 14+ runners
17.5%+1.6
n=103 · A/E 1.94 · £1 +31.68
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−15.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 3.2% vs 15.9% · n=31
On first rides for the horse 9.9% vs 15.9% · n=121
Off a 31-60-day break 22.7% vs 15.9% · n=66
In Hurdle races 21.4% vs 15.9% · n=126
In NH Flat races 9.3% vs 15.9% · n=54
Off a 61-180-day break 22.9% vs 15.9% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 126 27 21.4% +93.10
NH Flat 54 5 9.3% −27.75
Chase 48 6 12.5% −16.15
Flat 18 1 5.6% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 85 12 14.1% +17.29
Good 79 13 16.5% −8.20
Good to Soft 71 10 14.1% +17.38
Heavy 7 4 57.1% +13.73
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 41 6 14.6% +18.72
Down Royal 22 3 13.6% +6.50
Galway 19 1 5.3% +22.00
Perth 15 5 33.3% +5.38
Punchestown 15 0 0% −15.00
Ayr 15 3 20% −1.08
Cartmel 12 1 8.3% −8.88
Sligo 10 4 40% +13.00
Hexham 8 1 12.5% −5.62
Fairyhouse 8 1 12.5% +0.50
Wexford 8 2 25% +5.00
Kilbeggan 8 3 37.5% +6.00
Bellewstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Uttoxeter 6 0 0% −6.00
Leopardstown 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 29 8 27.6% +5.13
Class 4 25 1 4% −23.33
Class 3 8 1 12.5% −4.00
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 38 15 39.5% 1.53 +9.33
2nd–3rd fav 55 12 21.8% 1.43 +2.37
4th–6th fav 65 7 10.8% 1.41 −6.50
7th+ in betting 88 5 5.7% 2.28 +31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
90.8% completed · 174 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 48 79.2% 2 1 7 0 0
Hurdle 126 95.2% 1 0 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cave Court (IRE) 17 5 7 6 Apr 26
Building Bridges (GB) 12 5 7 5 Jul 25
Le Grand Vert (FR) 9 2 4 26 Sep 26
High Court Cave (IRE) 8 2 3 2 Aug 26
Nakassama (IRE) 8 2 6 29 Jul 26
Herculaneum (IRE) 8 1 4 24 Apr 24
Gladiatorial (IRE) 7 0 2 10 May 24
Gamigin (IRE) 6 2 4 16 May 26
Flashthelights (IRE) 5 1 2 23 Oct 25
Our Zebo (IRE) 5 0 1 10 Jun 25
Dollys Destination (IRE) 5 1 2 5 Feb 23
Fort Randall (IRE) 4 2 3 28 Jul 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 126 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
132551114154284014300
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardNoel C Kelly
53% of all rides
20% SR · A/E 1.48
TrainerRWSR£1
Noel C Kelly 130 26 20% −23.30
Gary McGill 35 7 20% +87.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
40
Archived wins
£370k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 11 wins
Fianna (IRE) — Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Sep 2026
£10,800
Building Bridges (GB) — Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle Perth · Sep 2024 · Class 3
£10,562
Building Bridges (GB) — Lighthouse At Clifford Electrical Handicap Hurdle Sligo · Aug 2022
£9,145
Notable horses
Cave Court (IRE) Building Bridges (GB) Le Grand Vert (FR) High Court Cave (IRE) Nakassama (IRE) Gamigin (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Court Cave (IRE) 22.9% · 8–35
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,969 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
New Approach (IRE) 41.7% · 5–12
Progeny have won 12.6% of 6,795 runs since 2012 (685 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 101.
Leading Light (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,217 runs since 2018 (226 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,028 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Great Pretender (IRE) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 13.1% of 3,557 runs since 2010 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 152.
Australia (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 11.1% of 5,682 runs since 2018 (569 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 295 · newest first

The latest 50 of 295 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 December 2019 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Getaway Harry (IRE)T: Yvonne Latta WTW Willis Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 50/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Ocean Of Dreams (IRE)T: Gary McGill Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 1st 9/2J
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Invincible Oscar (IRE)T: Noel C. Kelly CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 10/11F
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Fianna (IRE)T: Aidan Anthony Howard Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap10f · Heavy · 18 ran 1st 4/1C
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Le Grand Vert (FR)T: Noel C. Kelly John & Terry Moriarty Memorial (Q.R.) Handicap Steeplechase24f · Good · 14 ran PU 16/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) I Can Find Em (IRE)T: Gary McGill Allman Contracts Novice Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 6th 150/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Minella Hollow (IRE)T: John J Nallen Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon14f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 6th 10/1
08 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Srah (IRE)T: John Patrick Ryan Connellan & Noone Solicitors LLP Longford Flat Race16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 33/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Hartes Angels (IRE)T: Patrick Magee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 50/1
06 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Justicialism (IRE)T: Noel C Kelly SIS Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 16 ran 1st 13/2
02 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Le Grand Vert (FR)T: Noel C Kelly Kinlay Hostel Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Good · 18 ran 6th 25/1
02 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) High Court Cave (IRE)T: Noel C Kelly Kenny Galway Peugeot Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good · 18 ran 11th 100/30F
01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Madame Du Berlais (IRE)T: Terence O'Brien Electric Galway Irish EBF Mares Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 6th 10/1
29 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Nakassama (IRE)T: Noel C Kelly Visit Tote26 On Course Today (Q.R.) Maiden12f · Yielding · 18 ran 4th 11/1
29 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) I Can Find Em (IRE)T: Gary McGill Tote Guaranteed 50K Placepot Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 20 ran 15th 40/1
28 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Fort Randall (IRE)T: Noel C Kelly COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Steeplechase18f · Good · 20 ran 5th 9/2F
27 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Plontier (FR)T: Terence O'Brien Connacht Hotel (Q.R.) Handicap17f · Yielding · 20 ran 12th 66/1
21 Jul 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Josh's Jury (IRE)T: Steve Jones Jennings Meats Flat Race15.5f · Good · 13 ran 5th 7/2
14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Nakassama (IRE)T: Noel C Kelly Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 15/8F
03 Jul 26 Wexford Minnatrix (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Racing Again 22nd July Flat Race17f · Good · 11 ran 8th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr O McGill's strike rate?
Mr O McGill has won 39 of 246 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 15.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr O McGill do best at?
Downpatrick by strike rate: 6 wins from 41 rides (14.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mr O McGill ride most for?
Noel C Kelly, with 130 rides since 2022 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (20%).
Is Mr O McGill in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mr O McGill's Fair A/E?
1.54, from 246 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).