It's Hard To Know (IRE)
It's Hard To Know is 2 from 6 on turf, with both wins over 2m1f – 2m4f. He won a Class 3 novices' hurdle at Lingfield on good ground in Nov 2024 and a Class 4 novices' hurdle at Market Rasen on good to soft in Dec 2024. Each win came on a first visit to the course. He last ran at Perth in Apr 2026, off an official rating of 122.
- 2–6Wins / Runs
- 33.3%Strike rate
- 2 (33.3%)Placed
- −1.12£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 1.73Fair A/E n=6 · 1.53 incl. margin
- 124Highest OR
- 70dBetween runs (median)longest 273 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 128
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 3 | 128A | 95 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 128A | 91 | 1 run · — |
Of 6 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs since Nov 2024
- Led 4 (80%) · 2 wins
- Prominent 1 (20%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14.2% of 3,955 runs since Apr 2010 (419 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −14.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | +2 | — |
| Good | 1,190 | 170 | 14.3% | +0.1 | 1 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 920 | 141 | 15.3% | +1.1 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 1,237 | 166 | 13.4% | −0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 535 | 75 | 14% | −0.2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 34 | 1 | 2.9% | −11.3 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −14.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | −5.9 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 50 | 5 | 10% | −4.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,103 | 153 | 13.9% | −0.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,370 | 182 | 13.3% | −0.9 | 2 from 6 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,086 | 178 | 16.4% | +2.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 332 | 41 | 12.3% | −1.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2010 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
Family form: Coolishael (IRE) finished 2nd of 10 at Galway (IRE), 26 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolishael (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Nells Princess (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.50 |
| Good | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.38 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.62 |
| Class 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.38 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2024 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.88 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 4 | 2 | 50% | +0.88 |
| Chase | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 22 Apr 26+137d | Perth | Balnakeilly Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Handy early spot - closed on pace-setter four out then driven to keep tempo - drifted off a straight line two out - fading and stumbled to the ground at the final fence | F/7 | — | 11-8 | 122 | — | — | Ben Jones | 7/2 |
| 2025 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Dec 25+273d | Aintree | William Hill Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Just in front early - overtaken soon after and settled handy - stayed with front two from 4 out - dropped to fourth 2 out - unable to threaten after the last | 4/6 | 3¾ | 11-2 | 123 | 87A | 122B | Ben Jones | 6/1 |
| 08 Mar 25+70d | Sandown | European Breeders' Fund Betfair 'National Hunt' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Final (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Set the pace early before giving way approaching the 3rd - stayed on terms in second until fading before 2 out - dropped away quickly and finished well beaten | 10/16 | 5 | 11-9 | 124 | 84C | 111C | Ben Jones | 18/1 |
| 2024 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Dec 24+23d | Newbury | Coral Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Drifted right over obstacles early - travelled close to pace before being pressed and losing ground before 2 out - trailed home well beaten | 6/7 | 40 | 11-7 | 124 | 95C | 115C | Ben Jones | 14/1 |
| 05 Dec 24+23d | Market Rasen | Follow Us On X At BetRhino Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Led from the off - pushed along and kept finding under pressure through the closing stages - crossed the line clear | 1/6 | 11-7 | — | 128A | 132B | Ben Jones | 6/4F | |
| 12 Nov 24 | Lingfield | Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM / EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Leapt right at every fence - went to the front and dictated - pressed into the closing stages - driven out from the last - caused interference near the line - stayed on to score | 1/6 | 11-0 | — | 91B | 133B | Ben Jones | 11/8F | |
Quick answers
- How many races has It's Hard To Know won?
- It's Hard To Know (IRE) won 2 of 6 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 33.3%. Placed 2 times in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trains It's Hard To Know?
- It's Hard To Know (IRE) is trained by Ben Pauling, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 22 April 2026.
- Who is It's Hard To Know's sire?
- It's Hard To Know (IRE) is by Malinas (GER) out of Sean's Oscar (IRE), whose sire is Oscar.
- What going does It's Hard To Know prefer?
- It's Hard To Know (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is It's Hard To Know's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 122, from the run on 22 April 2026. The highest on record is 124.
- What is It's Hard To Know's sire's record?
- Malinas (GER)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.2% of 3,955 runs since Apr 2010 (419 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are It's Hard To Know's siblings?
- Out of Sean's Oscar (IRE), It's Hard To Know (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.