What is Ben Pauling's strike rate?

Ben Pauling has won 342 of 1,977 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 17.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ben Pauling do best at?

Ffos Las by strike rate: 18 wins from 63 runners (28.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ben Pauling?

Ben Jones, with 701 runners since 2022 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 142 (20.3%).

Is Ben Pauling in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ben Pauling's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 1,975 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ben Pauling

1,977 runners in the last 5 seasons · 264 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.2% of 502 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 22 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

342–1,977

Wins / Runs

17.3%

Strike rate

n=1,977

751 (38%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=1,975 · 0.91 incl. margin

−278.94

£1 level stake

n=1,977 at SP · −14.1%

£5.20m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

18.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 400 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05). Debutants are a strength: 20% on first career starts (151 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,977 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Aug 41.8% when favourite Ben Jones: 20.3% from 701 New recruits: 18.5% Claiming riders: 18% Sends off the favourite in 19% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ludlow (34.1%, n=44) and Ffos Las (28.6%, n=63) — all clear of the yard's 17.3% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (5.8% over 138 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 11.3% (n=80, Fair A/E 0.94). Ben Jones rides 35% of the entries and edges the yard's average (20.3% vs 17.3%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (23.6%, n=640). 38 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes King George VI Chase at Kempton (Dec 2025, £142,375). The stable star of the record: Northern Bound (IRE) — 11 wins from 46 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

15.8%−1.5

n=480 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −40.59

New recruits · first run for the yard

18.5%+1.2

n=54 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +1.59

Debutants · first career start

19.9%+2.6

n=151 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −23.94

First-time headgear · true-first definition

15.7%−1.6

n=121 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −12.61

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.3%−6.0

n=80 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −18.92

When favourite

41.8%

n=366 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −1.29

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

18%+0.7

n=490 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −34.28

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.5%−1.8

n=129 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −6.44

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Ludlow 34.1% vs 17.3% · n=44

At Cheltenham 5.8% vs 17.3% · n=138

On last-time-out winners 26.2% vs 17.3% · n=336

With C&D winners 27.5% vs 17.3% · n=131

At Ffos Las 28.6% vs 17.3% · n=63

In Chase races 23.6% vs 17.3% · n=640

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,141 160 14% −378.27

Chase 640 151 23.6% +104.13

NH Flat 181 31 17.1% +10.20

Flat 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 804 144 17.9% −108.81

Good to Soft 603 94 15.6% −108.24

Soft 450 81 18% −48.89

Heavy 92 17 18.5% −7.50

Good to Firm 21 6 28.6% +1.50

Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cheltenham 138 8 5.8% −55.75

Uttoxeter 127 19 15% −39.43

Worcester 119 28 23.5% +70.61

Newbury 108 14 13% −44.48

Warwick 105 20 19% +29.93

Southwell 105 22 21% +2.52

Huntingdon 104 23 22.1% −32.96

Doncaster 97 12 12.4% −62.40

Fontwell 78 15 19.2% −20.65

Kempton 72 13 18.1% +2.79

Sandown 70 9 12.9% −32.05

Ascot 69 15 21.7% +44.62

Ffos Las 63 18 28.6% +36.09

Market Rasen 62 11 17.7% −21.94

Aintree 61 6 9.8% −8.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 793 141 17.8% −152.31

Class 5 427 84 19.7% −12.95

Class 3 357 71 19.9% +6.47

Class 1 209 26 12.4% −22.94

Class 2 182 19 10.4% −90.01

Class 6 5 1 20% −3.20

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 410 161 39.3% 1.12 −14.04

2nd–3rd fav 658 114 17.3% 0.93 −140.40

4th–6th fav 545 51 9.4% 1.12 −102.00

7th+ in betting 364 16 4.4% 1.23 −22.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.3% completed · 1,781 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 640 81.3% 20 14 85 1 0

Hurdle 1,141 87.6% 22 14 104 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hardy Boy (FR) 33 4 15 9 May 25

Whatsupwithyou (IRE) 30 4 13 2 May 26

Samuel Spade (GER)from David O'Meara 28 6 10 20 Aug 26

Fine Casting (IRE) 25 3 12 22 May 26

Mole Court (IRE) 25 6 9 24 Oct 25

Betty's Tiara (GB) 24 3 10 13 Oct 26

Twig (GB) 24 7 11 28 Jun 26

Northern Bound (IRE)then Myles Osborne 24 5 10 1 Oct 25

Bad (FR) 22 3 10 11 Apr 26

Awaythelad (IRE) 21 3 9 7 Oct 26

King Of The Road (IRE) 21 3 5 1 Oct 26

Harrys Hope (IRE) 21 4 12 4 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 264 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mick Channon (2); 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 10

Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

172117101524193018151820

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBen Jones

35% of all rides
20.3% SR · A/E 1.07

RiderRWSR£1

Ben Jones 701 142 20.3% −46.93

Kielan Woods 477 81 17% −21.90

Luca Morgan 217 42 19.4% −5.18

Beau Morgan 154 22 14.3% −28.79

Callum Pritchard 140 21 15% −52.53

Elliott England 39 6 15.4% −2.63

Lorcan Williams 30 3 10% −13.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

591

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.58m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 85 wins

The Jukebox Man (IRE) — Ladbrokes King George VI Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Kempton · Dec 2025 · Grade 1

£142,375

Twig (GB) — William Hill Half A Mill Becher Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) (National Course) Aintree · Dec 2025 · Class 1

£84,195

Le Breuil (FR) — National Hunt Challenge Cup Amateur Riders' Novices' Chase (Grade 2) Cheltenham · Mar 2019 · Grade 2

£75,491

Notable horses

Northern Bound (IRE) Le Breuil (FR) Twig (GB) Your Darling (IRE) Henry's Friend (IRE) The Jukebox Man (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Shirocco (GER) 17.6% · 15–85

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,163 runs since 2008 (920 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Shantou (USA) 13.2% · 10–76

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,819 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Getaway (GER) 17.6% · 13–74

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,918 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Mahler (GB) 14.9% · 10–67

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,837 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Blue Bresil (FR) 12.1% · 8–66

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,490 runs since 2008 (454 horses).

Diamond Boy (FR) 19.7% · 13–66

Progeny have won 12% of 2,271 runs since 2008 (284 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,871 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,871 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 September 2013 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Fouroneohfever (IRE)J: Callum Pritchard Betting.Bet Free Bets Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 19f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 14/1

17 Oct 26 Stratford Lady Dapple Rose (IRE)J: Callum Pritchard Value With Oncourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 7/4F

17 Oct 26 Stratford Ballynorth (FR)J: Callum Pritchard Roy G. T. Clark 100th Birthday Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 16/1

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Elmsford (IRE)J: Elliott England British EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 4th 16/1

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Wings Of Ayrton (IRE)J: Callum Pritchard British EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 4/1

13 Oct 26 Hereford Lady Dapple Rose (IRE)J: Beau Morgan tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran UR 3/1F

13 Oct 26 Southwell Four Springs (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Heb Group "the Power Behind Everyday" Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 1st 11/8F

13 Oct 26 Hereford Betty's Tiara (GB)J: Callum Pritchard Betting.Bet New Betting Sites Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 2nd 7/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Onehundredneighty (IRE)J: Ben Jones Richard Davis Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 4/5F

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Mojito Des Mottes (FR)J: Harry Cobden Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow 'four Years Old' Hurdle Race (a Limited Handicap) (gbb Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 15/2

07 Oct 26 Worcester Awaythelad (IRE)J: Ben Jones Copybet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 23f · Good · 6 ran 5th 4/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Maestrow (GB)J: Ben Jones 2026/2027 Annual Badges Now On Sale At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 13/2

01 Oct 26 Southwell King Of The Road (IRE)J: Callum Pritchard Old Stag 70th Birthday Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 7th 4/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Elated (GB)J: Ben Jones Market Rasen Racecourse Conference & Events Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 6/5F

25 Sep 26 Worcester Youdecide (IRE)J: Ben Jones Copybet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 9/2

25 Sep 26 Worcester Onehundredneighty (IRE)J: Ben Jones CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 4/6F

22 Sep 26 Fontwell Lucky In Taipan (IRE)J: Elliott England Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 4/1

22 Sep 26 Fontwell Sun Joy (FR)J: Callum Pritchard Download The At The Races App Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 13/2

20 Sep 26 Plumpton Mojito Des Mottes (FR)J: Harry Cobden Friends & Family Remembering Norman Sharpe Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 4/1

15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Lady Dapple Rose (IRE)J: Beau Morgan Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 9th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ben Pauling's strike rate?: Ben Pauling has won 342 of 1,977 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 17.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ben Pauling do best at?: Ffos Las by strike rate: 18 wins from 63 runners (28.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ben Pauling?: Ben Jones, with 701 runners since 2022 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 142 (20.3%).
Is Ben Pauling in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ben Pauling's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 1,975 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.