Horse profile
Law Of Average (GB)
by Pearl Secret (GB) out of High Class Girl (GB) (Royal Applause)
26 runs · 17 courses · from Aug 2023
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
7 wins · 7 courses
Last run 12 Sep 2026 · 3rd of 10
Last raced off OR 90
KTB Profile
Typically a front-runner in 15 of 17 analysed runs — Law Of Average (GB) is 7 from 26. 5 of 11 starts on good or faster ground have ended in wins — 0 from 5 on softer. All 7 wins have come over trips under 6f. Last raced off a career-high mark of 90.
Based on 26 archived runs · run-style from 17 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically led
OR at career high
- 7–26Wins / Runs
- 26.9%Strike rate
- 9 (34.6%)Placed
- +13.88£1 level staken=26 at SP
- 2.71Fair A/E n=26 · 2.37 incl. margin
- 90Highest OR
- 29dBetween runs (median)longest 258 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating90At career-high mark
90
54–90
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 125
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 10 | 125A | 94.5 | 3 runs · 125 / 114 |
| Good to Firm | 7 | 115B | 95 | 3 runs · 99 / 95 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 82C | 72 | — |
| Good | 3 | 103A | 68 | — |
| Firm | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 23 | 125A | 91 | 7 runs · 125 / 99 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 79A | 69 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 26 figures from 26 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 17 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Led 15 (88%) · 4 wins
- Mid-division 2 (12%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 9.8% of 897 runs since Jun 2020 (73 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 13% from 131. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.6% from 308. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.6% from 337.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | +6.9 | 1 from 1 |
| Good to Firm | 131 | 17 | 13% | +3.2 | 3 from 7 |
| Good | 198 | 16 | 8.1% | −1.7 | 1 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 80 | 7 | 8.8% | −1 | 0 from 4 |
| Soft | 91 | 10 | 11% | +1.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 28 | 3 | 10.7% | +0.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 363 | 34 | 9.4% | −0.4 | 2 from 10 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 308 | 51 | 16.6% | +6.8 | 7 from 23 |
| 6f – 7f | 337 | 19 | 5.6% | −4.2 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 105 | 7 | 6.7% | −3.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 78 | 9 | 11.5% | +1.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 61 | 2 | 3.3% | −6.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 7 | 0 | 0% | −9.8 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −9.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
High Class Girl (GB) (Royal Applause)
6 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Spot Lite (GB) (3 wins).
The wins came over 5f–7f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Arthur's Spirit (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spot Lite (GB) | 27 | 3 | 5f–5½f | Class 6 |
| Arthur's Spirit (GB) | 8 | 1 | 5f | Class 5 |
| Shaykhoon (GB) | 10 | 1 | 7f | Class 5 |
| Brother In Law (GB) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Miss Mayson (GB) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
| Xaviera (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 10 | 2 | 20% | +7.00 |
| Good to Firm | 7 | 3 | 43% | +6.38 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.50 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 9 | 3 | 33% | +6.38 |
| Class 5 | 8 | 3 | 38% | +6.50 |
| Class 3 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +9.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lingfield (AW) | 4 | 1 | 25% | +3.00 |
| Hamilton | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.88 |
| Yarmouth | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bath | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.50 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Windsor | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +9.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 23 | 7 | 30% | +16.88 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 21 | 7 | 33% | +18.88 |
| Blinkers | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +8.38 |
| 2025 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 2024 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +9.50 |
| 2023 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +5.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Sep 26+57d | Lingfield (AW) | Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Handicap Stakes Settled in the pack early - hit the front three out - pushed along a furlong out - overtaken close home and edged out for second in the final strides | 3/10 | 1¼ | 9-8 | 90 | 114A | 90A | Joey Haynes | 5/1 |
| 17 Jul 26+11d | Hamilton | Hamilton Park Celebrates 100 Years Of Racing Handicap Stakes set the pace from the break - driven approaching the final furlong and lost the advantage there - dropped away inside the final 110 yards | 4/5 | 1½ | 10-6 | 81 | 88C | 77B | Joey Haynes | 13/8J |
| 06 Jul 26+18d | Lingfield (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap (Div 1) in front from the start - picked up to open a healthy advantage over 1f out - kept on for a comfortable success | 1/8 | 9-12 | 81 | 125A | 106A | Joey Haynes | 6/1 | |
| 18 Jun 26+22d | Yarmouth | QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Fought hard for control early - went to front - driven with over a furlong out - lost the advantage inside final furlong - unable to find more - finished third | 3/6 | 2¼ | 9-6 | 82 | 95B | 87B | Joey Haynes | 7/1 |
| 27 May 26+28d | Hamilton | David Hardie Engineering Ltd Handicap Set the pace from the start - pushed along inside the final furlong - kept finding more to hold on | 1/6 | 9-5 | 76 | 99A | 87B | Joey Haynes | 15/8F | |
| 29 Apr 26+132d | Bath | Watch Live Racing On fairplaybet.co.uk 'Confined' Handicap Fought for control early - set the pace throughout - pushed along a furlong out - edge narrowed inside final 110yds but hung on for the win | 1/6 | 9-6 | 72 | 112A | 101B | Joey Haynes | 7/2 | |
| 2025 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Dec 25+50d | Southwell (AW) | Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap Sent clear early - driven for effort and lost the front spot 2f out - dropped away inside final furlong - finished 9th | 9/9 | nk | 9-9 | 74 | 91A | 67A | Joey Haynes | 11/2 |
| 29 Oct 25+22d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Went straight to front - travelling fresh in the early stages - asked for effort with two furlongs left - overtaken near the last furlong and dropped away meekly to finish seventh | 7/8 | 1 | 9-4 | 77 | 79A | 69A | Joey Haynes | 40/1 |
| 07 Oct 25+33d | Leicester | Everards Of Leicestershire Handicap Clear early advantage held to 2f out - lost front spot there - driven along and faded inside final furlong - finished ninth | 9/10 | ¾ | 9-5 | 81 | 77A | 64A | Joey Haynes | 28/1 |
| 04 Sep 25+11d | Lingfield (AW) | Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap Went straight to the front - kicked away approaching final two furlongs then edged left brushing the rail as advantage narrowed under strong urging - lost momentum fast close home to finish sixth | 6/9 | ½ | 9-7 | 84 | 115A | 83A | Joey Haynes | 12/1 |
| 24 Aug 25+51d | Yarmouth | QuinnBet Handicap Set the pace early - pushed along two out then overtaken approaching final furlong - faded quickly after finishing sixth | 6/6 | 9½ | 9-8 | 84 | 57B | 33B | Joey Haynes | 9/1 |
| 04 Jul 25+20d | Beverley | Wellocks Part Of The William Jackson Food Group Handicap Set the pace early - pushed along a furlong out then lost the advantage inside the final 110 yards - soon dropped away to finish fourth | 4/8 | 2½ | 10-1 | 86 | 83B | 85A | Joey Haynes | 9/1 |
| 14 Jun 25+5d | Chester | Precision Facades Handicap Settled early travelling eagerly - moved to front on the wide side - pushed for effort with 2f left - overtaken inside final furlong - lost touch and finished 7th | 7/8 | hd | 10-2 | 90 | 72A | 75A | Joey Haynes | 40/1 |
| 09 Jun 25+16d | Windsor | Fitzdares Sprint Series Handicap Held up early and edged forward on the bit - stayed off the pace through the middle stages - never landed a threat and came home well held in 10th | 10/10 | 3¼ | 9-6 | 90 | 103A | 62A | Joey Haynes | 16/1 |
| 24 May 25+258d | Haydock | Betfred Temple Stakes (Group 2) Went straight to front - lost command over 2f out - drifted markedly left and faded final furlong - eventually well held in 11th | 11/11 | 1½ | 9-6 | 90 | 58C | 53C | Joey Haynes | 66/1 |
| 2024 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 08 Sep 24+30d | York | Fine Details Vehicle Valeting Handicap Went straight to the front - pressed for effort with a furlong left then lost command inside that pole - dropped away fast to finish 11th | 11/13 | 1 | 9-9 | 90 | 82C | 77A | Joey Haynes | 9/1 |
| 09 Aug 24+39d | Thirsk | JW 4x4 Northallerton Handicap Sprang smartly to the front - set the pace tight to the inside rail - drifted left approaching the final furlong with the race won - kept finding more to the line unopposed | 1/7 | 9-10 | 81 | 115B | 95A | Joey Haynes | 9/2 | |
| 01 Jul 24+30d | Windsor | Colenko Fast Track Handicap | 1/6 | 9-7 | 73 | 107A | 83B | Joey Haynes | 4/1 | |
| 01 Jun 24+21d | Epsom Downs | Aston Martin 'Dash' Handicap (Heritage Handicap) | 10/14 | 2½ | 8-2 | 73 | 67C | 68A | Joey Haynes | 33/1 |
| 11 May 24+36d | Lingfield | William Hill Epic Boost Handicap | 1/11 | 9-5 | 66 | 68A | 89A | Joey Haynes | 4/1J | |
| 05 Apr 24+148d | Lingfield (AW) | At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap | 2/6 | hd | 9-6 | 65 | 98A | 80B | Joey Haynes | 13/2 |
| 2023 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 09 Nov 23+29d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Havens Hospice Nursery | 1/12 | 9-3 | 54 | 98A | 77A | Joey Haynes | 9/1 | |
| 11 Oct 23+16d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet More Extra Place Races Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 10/10 | 13 | 9-7 | — | 28C | 60C | Joey Haynes | 200/1 |
| 25 Sep 23+16d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 8/11 | 2¾ | 9-4 | — | 69A | 48A | Joey Haynes | 200/1 |
| 09 Sep 23+36d | Wolverhampton (AW) | At The Races App Form Study EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 5/5 | 1¾ | 9-2 | — | 87C | 59B | Joey Haynes | 80/1 |
| 04 Aug 23 | Bath | At The Races App Expert Tips EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 7/9 | 3 | 9-7 | — | 57B | 48A | Joey Haynes | 66/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Law Of Average won?
- Law Of Average (GB) won 7 of 26 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 26.9%. Placed 9 times in total (34.6% of starts).
- Who trains Law Of Average?
- Law Of Average (GB) is trained by Chelsea Banham, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 12 September 2026.
- Who is Law Of Average's sire?
- Law Of Average (GB) is by Pearl Secret (GB) out of High Class Girl (GB), whose sire is Royal Applause.
- What going does Law Of Average prefer?
- Law Of Average (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 3 wins from 7 starts (42.9%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Law Of Average's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 90, from the run on 12 September 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Law Of Average's sire's record?
- Pearl Secret (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.8% of 897 runs since Jun 2020 (73 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 13% from 131. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.6% from 308. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.6% from 337.
- Who are Law Of Average's siblings?
- Out of High Class Girl (GB), Law Of Average (GB) has 6 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Spot Lite (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Arthur's Spirit (GB)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Nov 2026.