Chelsea Banham
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.18).
It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (2.1% over 47 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.34). Joey Haynes rides 96% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.6%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (26.7%, n=30) and off a 8-14-day break (18.3%, n=82). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 1.3% over 77 runners, 9.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.20 across 57 runners (1.8% strike, −52.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Admirable Lad (GB) — 7 wins from 57 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 919 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 919 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 August 2019 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Chelsea Banham's strike rate?
- Chelsea Banham has won 61 of 573 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Chelsea Banham do best at?
- Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 18 wins from 107 runners (16.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Chelsea Banham?
- Joey Haynes, with 548 runners since 2022 — 96% of the total. That pairing has won 58 (10.6%).
- Is Chelsea Banham in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Chelsea Banham's Fair A/E?
- 1.18, from 571 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.