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Trainer profile

Chelsea Banham

573 runners in the last 5 seasons · 47 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 10 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
61–573
Wins / Runs
10.6%
Strike rate
n=573
143 (25%)
Placed
1.18
n=571 · 1.00 incl. margin
−170.36
£1 level stake
n=573 at SP · −29.7%
£397k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
19.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.18).

Deterministic profile computed from 573 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance 42.9% when favourite Joey Haynes: 10.6% from 548 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (2.1% over 47 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.34). Joey Haynes rides 96% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.6%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (26.7%, n=30) and off a 8-14-day break (18.3%, n=82). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 1.3% over 77 runners, 9.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.20 across 57 runners (1.8% strike, −52.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Admirable Lad (GB) — 7 wins from 57 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.6%−8.0
n=77 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −43.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−10.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.6
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12.5%+1.9
n=16 · A/E 2.48 · £1 +3.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.7%−1.9
n=23 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
42.9%
n=42 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +4.53
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−10.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 25.4% vs 10.6% · n=63
Off a 0-7-day break 26.7% vs 10.6% · n=30
Over 1m – 1m1f 1.3% vs 10.6% · n=77
Off a 61-180-day break 1.8% vs 10.6% · n=57
Off a 8-14-day break 18.3% vs 10.6% · n=82
At Southwell (AW) 2.1% vs 10.6% · n=47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 460 50 10.9% −147.07
Good to Firm 52 8 15.4% +19.21
Good 29 1 3.4% −24.00
Good to Soft 16 0 0% −16.00
Soft 13 1 7.7% −4.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Firm 1 1 100% +3.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 166 15 9% −67.06
Lingfield (AW) 107 18 16.8% −6.72
Chelmsford City (AW) 72 10 13.9% −12.99
Kempton (AW) 66 5 7.6% −25.13
Southwell (AW) 47 1 2.1% −42.67
Yarmouth 44 4 9.1% −10.50
Leicester 12 1 8.3% +17.00
Bath 10 2 20% −1.17
Lingfield 7 1 14.3% −2.00
Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00
Beverley 4 0 0% −4.00
Thirsk 4 1 25% +1.50
Windsor 4 1 25% +1.00
Brighton 3 0 0% −3.00
Pontefract 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 383 47 12.3% −61.25
Class 5 116 8 6.9% −70.24
Class 4 57 6 10.5% −21.87
Class 3 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 51 20 39.2% 1.35 +4.86
2nd–3rd fav 100 20 20% 1.20 +9.28
4th–6th fav 176 18 10.2% 1.31 −8.50
7th+ in betting 246 3 1.2% 0.44 −176.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Admirable Lad (GB) 41 5 14 14 Mar 25
Bankrupt (IRE) 40 6 9 30 Jun 25
Watermelon Sugar (IRE)from Archie Watson 35 4 9 21 Jul 26
Handel (USA)from A P O'Brien 33 1 7 11 Nov 24
Munificent (GB)from Paul & Oliver Cole 27 4 11 17 Jul 24
Twilight Fun (GB) 26 6 10 15 Sep 26
Law Of Average (GB) 26 7 9 12 Sep 26
War Zone (IRE) 26 2 5 30 Aug 25
Unavailable (GB) 25 3 6 27 Jun 25
Restricted (GB) 20 0 4 21 Nov 24
Mhajim (IRE)from John & Thady Gosden 17 0 1 3 Mar 25
All 47 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 47 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Howling (5) and John & Thady Gosden (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Tony Carroll (4); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
8203177414109131411
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJoey Haynes
96% of all rides
10.6% SR · A/E 1.18
RiderRWSR£1
Joey Haynes 548 58 10.6% −160.36
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
90
Archived wins
£565k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 17 wins
Twilight Fun (GB) — Bet Responsibly With SBK Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Feb 2026 · Class 4
£18,319
Law Of Average (GB) — William Hill Epic Boost Handicap Lingfield · May 2024 · Class 5
£10,468
Twilight Fun (GB) — It's Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Feb 2025 · Class 4
£5,757

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bated Breath (GB) 9.4% · 8–85
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,156 runs since 2008 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 850.
Pearl Secret (GB) 18.3% · 11–60
Progeny have won 9.8% of 896 runs since 2008 (73 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13% from 131. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.6% from 307. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.6% from 337.
Twilight Son (GB) 17.6% · 9–51
Progeny have won 9.6% of 3,653 runs since 2008 (283 horses).
Adaay (IRE) 15.2% · 7–46
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,959 runs since 2008 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 498.
Gutaifan (IRE) 11.4% · 4–35
Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,759 runs since 2008 (302 horses).
Pioneerof the Nile (USA) 3% · 1–33
Progeny have won 10.7% of 75 runs since 2008 (9 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 919 · newest first

The latest 50 of 919 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 August 2019 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Chelsea Banham's strike rate?
Chelsea Banham has won 61 of 573 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Chelsea Banham do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 18 wins from 107 runners (16.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Chelsea Banham?
Joey Haynes, with 548 runners since 2022 — 96% of the total. That pairing has won 58 (10.6%).
Is Chelsea Banham in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Chelsea Banham's Fair A/E?
1.18, from 571 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).