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Horse profile

Likely (GER)

4yo filly (at last run, Jan 2016) · Last trainer David Barron · Last owner Qatar Racing Limited
by Exceed and Excel (AUS) out of La Pilaya (GER) (Pivotal)
3 runs · 3 courses · from May 2014
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 2 Jan 2016 — 3,945 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jan 2016 · 7th of 7 Won at Carlisle Last raced off OR 100
KTB Profile

Likely (GER) is 1 from 3, the win coming at Class 5 level. Hasn't won since May 2014.

Based on 3 archived runs · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Win at Class 5

Progeny in our archive

Produce record

As a dam, Likely (GER) has 4 produce in the archive, 3 winners — most wins Hastily (GB) (4 wins).

The wins came over 5f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Likely Perspective (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Hastily (GB)4945f–7fClass 6
Likely Perspective (IRE)117fClass 4
Queen Lioness (GB)311m—
Louisville (GB)20——

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 122A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Carlisle, 26 May 2014 Official rating 100 at the last run, 2 Jan 2016

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 3 figures · best 122A · median 65
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)1———
Good to Firm1———
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Under 6f3122A65—

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 3 figures from 3 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Exceed and Excel (AUS)

Progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since Jan 2008 (1,161 horses).

Strongest on firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm1984120.7%+8.8—
Good to Firm3,25139912.3%+0.40 from 1
Good3,14632810.4%−1.51 from 1
Good to Soft1,3101309.9%−2—
Soft1,194947.9%−4—
Heavy273259.2%−2.7—
Standard (AW)6,65388213.3%+1.40 from 1
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f3,86052113.5%+1.61 from 3
6f – 7f8,00495011.9%0—
1m – 1m1f2,75228910.5%−1.4—
1m2f – 1m4f1,02510210%−1.9—
1m5f – 2m273269.5%−2.4—
2m1f – 2m4f102109.8%−2.1—
2m5f – 3m9111.1%−0.8—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
La Pilaya (GER) (Pivotal)

1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Almost Heaven (FR)30——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Good 1 1 100% +1.38

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 1 100% +1.38

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Chelmsford City (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Sandown 1 0 0% −1.00
Carlisle 1 1 100% +1.38

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Oisin Murphy 1 0 0% −1.00
Andrea Atzeni 1 0 0% −1.00
Harry Bentley 1 1 100% +1.38

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2016 1 0 0% −1.00
2015 1 0 0% −1.00
2014 1 1 100% +1.38

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORKTB Jockey SP
02 Jan 16+203d Chelmsford City (AW) Scoop6soccer Results At Totepoolliveinfo.com Conditions Stakes Class 2 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 7/7 11 8-11 10030C Oisin Murphy 9/1
13 Jun 15+383d Sandown Winner Bet & Watch Scurry Stakes (Listed) Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8/9 ¾ 8-9 10765A Andrea Atzeni 3/1
26 May 14 Carlisle EBF Stallions IJF 50th Anniversary Maiden Stakes Class 5 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 1/9 9-0 —122A Harry Bentley 11/8F

Quick answers

How many races has Likely (GER) won?
Likely (GER) won 1 of 3 archived starts between 2014 and 2016, a strike rate of 33.3%. Placed 1 time in total (33.3% of starts).
Who trained Likely (GER)?
Likely (GER) was trained by David Barron on the most recent run on record, at Chelmsford City (AW) on 2 January 2016.
Who is Likely (GER)'s sire?
Likely (GER) is by Exceed and Excel (AUS) out of La Pilaya (GER), whose sire is Pivotal.
What is Likely (GER)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 2 January 2016. The highest on record is 107.
What is Likely (GER)'s sire's record?
Exceed and Excel (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since Jan 2008 (1,161 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Who are Likely (GER)'s siblings?
Out of La Pilaya (GER), Likely (GER) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.
Has Likely (GER) produced winners?
As a dam, Likely (GER) has 4 produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Hastily (GB) (4). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Likely Perspective (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from May 2014. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.