What is Oisin Murphy's strike rate?

Oisin Murphy has won 789 of 3,911 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 20.2% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Oisin Murphy do best at?

Salisbury by strike rate: 32 wins from 103 rides (31.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Oisin Murphy ride most for?

Andrew Balding, with 1,257 rides since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 260 (20.7%).

Is Oisin Murphy in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Oisin Murphy's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 3,897 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Oisin Murphy

3,911 rides in the last 5 seasons · 2,184 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

789–3,911

Wins / Runs

20.2%

Strike rate

n=3,911

1,775 (45%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=3,897 · 0.90 incl. margin

−479.75

£1 level stake

n=3,911 at SP · −12.3%

£30.8m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

20.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 780 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 20% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,911 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 35.6% when favourite Andrew Balding: 20.7% from 1,257 First rides: 20.9% Rides the favourite in 28% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Salisbury (31.1%, n=103), clear of the rider's 20.2% baseline. It is weakest at Newmarket (12.2% over 245 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 10.2% (n=549, Fair A/E 0.96). Andrew Balding supplies 32% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (20.7%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 212 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the QIPCO Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown (Sep 2018, £712,500). The standout partner of the record: Roaring Lion (USA) — 7 wins from 11 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 20.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

20.9%+0.7

n=2,107 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −243.47

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20.4%+0.2

n=716 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −185.49

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

19.7%−0.5

n=630 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −63.75

When favourite

35.6%

n=1,103 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −114.63

Big fields · 14+ runners

10.2%−10.0

n=549 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −157.16

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.7%−4.5

n=701 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −31.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 20.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Saeed bin Suroor 39.7% vs 20.2% · n=68

With James Fanshawe 40% vs 20.2% · n=45

With Simon & Ed Crisford 34% vs 20.2% · n=47

At Salisbury 31.1% vs 20.2% · n=103

At Longchamp (FR) 9.2% vs 20.2% · n=65

At Newmarket 12.2% vs 20.2% · n=245

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,910 789 20.2% −478.75

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,246 284 22.8% −176.82

Good 916 178 19.4% −74.03

Good to Firm 915 176 19.2% −127.97

Good to Soft 388 63 16.2% −60.71

Soft 342 65 19% −42.37

Heavy 104 23 22.1% +2.15

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 569 126 22.1% −112.95

Newmarket 245 30 12.2% −74.50

Ascot 243 32 13.2% −47.27

Windsor 243 59 24.3% −27.75

Wolverhampton (AW) 212 58 27.4% +2.25

Newbury 201 39 19.4% +3.16

Goodwood 200 36 18% −42.87

Sandown 196 27 13.8% −75.23

Lingfield (AW) 188 42 22.3% −54.00

York 175 30 17.1% +17.74

Doncaster 142 27 19% +0.83

Southwell (AW) 124 20 16.1% −50.30

Salisbury 103 32 31.1% +27.89

Epsom 102 26 25.5% +22.02

Newmarket 97 20 20.6% −17.96

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 851 208 24.4% −24.19

Class 5 743 185 24.9% −108.96

Class 1 702 110 15.7% −32.60

Class 2 683 119 17.4% −46.55

Class 6 450 81 18% −128.99

Class 3 408 79 19.4% −89.24

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,214 424 34.9% 1.07 −106.97

2nd–3rd fav 1,395 262 18.8% 1.05 −166.01

4th–6th fav 913 88 9.6% 1.07 −72.57

7th+ in betting 389 15 3.9% 0.92 −134.20

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Amazonian Dream (IRE) 17 3 9 27 Jul 26

See The Fire (GB) 15 3 8 30 Jul 26

Running Lion (GB) 15 4 8 17 Sep 25

Coltrane (IRE) 14 3 6 4 Oct 25

Asfoora (AUS) 13 3 4 21 Aug 26

Sunway (FR) 13 2 4 12 Sep 25

Dance In The Storm (GB) 12 3 5 9 Oct 26

Flora Of Bermuda (IRE) 12 1 5 22 Aug 26

Tropical Storm (GB) 11 2 4 4 Apr 26

Regal Envoy (IRE) 10 5 7 29 Jun 26

Purosangue (GB) 10 0 5 20 Sep 25

Miss Information (IRE) 10 4 7 12 Jul 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,184 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

4 from 14

Only 14 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

243124192019191921192120

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAndrew Balding

32% of all rides
20.7% SR · A/E 1.06

TrainerRWSR£1

Andrew Balding 1,257 260 20.7% −101.13

Hugo Palmer 205 55 26.8% +39.38

John & Thady Gosden 168 41 24.4% −26.28

Rod Millman 134 27 20.1% −12.84

Charlie Johnston 85 9 10.6% −47.15

David Menuisier 73 12 16.4% −18.59

Saeed bin Suroor 68 27 39.7% +34.78

Ed Walker 60 15 25% +7.19

Richard Hughes 60 14 23.3% −25.91

Michael Bell 54 12 22.2% −0.83

Hughie Morrison 52 11 21.2% −9.62

Simon & Ed Crisford 47 16 34% +14.05

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

1,993

Archived wins

212

Pattern / graded wins

£57.3m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 222 wins

Roaring Lion (USA) — QIPCO Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) Leopardstown · Sep 2018 · Group 1

£712,500

Roaring Lion (USA) — Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) (Sponsored By Qipco) (Str) Ascot · Oct 2018 · Group 1

£655,709

Roaring Lion (USA) — Juddmonte International Stakes (Group 1) York · Aug 2018 · Group 1

£602,544

Notable horses

Roaring Lion (USA) Belated Breath (GB) Regal Envoy (IRE) Alcohol Free (IRE) Corinthia Knight (IRE) Zipedeedodah (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kingman (GB) 23.3% · 27–116

Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,533 runs since 2018 (779 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 8.9% from 123.

Dark Angel (IRE) 23.4% · 26–111

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,953 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Frankel (GB) 18% · 18–100

Progeny have won 18% of 7,544 runs since 2016 (882 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 21.5% · 20–93

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,236 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 961.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 17.6% · 16–91

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,988 runs since 2013 (1,119 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 459. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Havana Grey (GB) 23.8% · 19–80

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,611 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 11,280 · newest first

The latest 50 of 11,280 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 May 2013 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Ancient State (IRE)T: Adam Kirby Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 22 ran 6th 11/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Ghaiyya (GB)T: Charlie Johnston Virgin Bet November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 23 ran 21st 40/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Zgharta (IRE)T: Andrew Balding Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Irish EBF Gillies Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 5th 14/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Copacabana Sands (IRE)T: Andrew Balding Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 8th 12/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster My Boo Boo (GB)T: Brian Toomey Virgin Bet Supports Safer Gambling Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 13/8J

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Cala Vadella (GB)T: George Scott Virgin Bet Cock O'The North EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 1/3F

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Wosta (GB)T: John & Thady Gosden Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 1/3F

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Herculeus (GB)T: William Muir & Chris Grassick Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 10th 10/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Winged One (IRE)T: Andrew Balding Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 1st 3/1F

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Tausret (GB)T: Archie Watson Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 2nd 11/8

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Pure Mint (IRE)T: Simon Crisford Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 6th 8/13F

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Maria Da Silva (IRE)T: Andrew Balding Set Your Limits With Unibet Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 1st 7/4F

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lady Margo (IRE)T: John & Thady Gosden Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 4th 2/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Seapearl (GB)T: Oliver Cole Unibet's New VAR Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 9th 9/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ted Le Saux (GB)T: Andrew Balding Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 3/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Fahidi (IRE)T: Andrew Balding Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 5/2F

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Hvar (GB)T: John & Sean Quinn Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 4/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ridger (IRE)T: Ollie Sangster Saisons D'Or 100th Race Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 8/13F

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Zeuster (GB)T: Hughie Morrison AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 3/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Show Me Glory (IRE)T: Andrew Balding AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 4/5F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 13 runs (won 8) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 15 runs (won 9) · fastest on KTB Speed in 11 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Oisin Murphy's strike rate?: Oisin Murphy has won 789 of 3,911 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 20.2% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Oisin Murphy do best at?: Salisbury by strike rate: 32 wins from 103 rides (31.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Oisin Murphy ride most for?: Andrew Balding, with 1,257 rides since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 260 (20.7%).
Is Oisin Murphy in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Oisin Murphy's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 3,897 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.