Nelson Bay (IRE)
Nelson Bay is a gelding by Australia out of Bessichka who ran six times without a win or place between Dec 2022 and Sep 2024. He reached an official rating of 59 and contested races from 6f to 2m on turf and all-weather. His last run at Worcester in Sep 2024 was his first for Dave Roberts and came in a Class 4 maiden hurdle where he raced in mid-division.
- 0–6Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −6.00£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=6 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 59Highest OR
- 128dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 59
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 54C | 40.5 | — |
| Good | 2 | 54B | 40.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 59A | 56.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 54B | 40.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 6 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.2% of 5,658 runs since Jan 2008 (565 horses).
Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | +11.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 665 | 81 | 12.2% | +1 | — |
| Good | 1,505 | 165 | 11% | −0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 660 | 67 | 10.2% | −1 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 964 | 121 | 12.6% | +1.4 | — |
| Heavy | 324 | 29 | 9% | −2.2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,526 | 165 | 10.8% | −0.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 33 | 2 | 6.1% | −5.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 643 | 63 | 9.8% | −1.4 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,247 | 136 | 10.9% | −0.3 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,089 | 267 | 12.8% | +1.6 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,172 | 129 | 11% | −0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 355 | 26 | 7.3% | −3.9 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 108 | 7 | 6.5% | −4.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | −2.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them The Turpinator (IRE) (7 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 3 (The Turpinator (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Turpinator (IRE) | 44 | 7 | 6f–1m | Class 3 |
| The Grape Escape (IRE) | 9 | 3 | 1m | Class 3 |
| Aide Memoire (IRE) | 13 | 0 | — | — |
| Ladybird (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Edmunds | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Lee Edwards | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr Kevin Skelton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Charlie Bennett | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Hurdle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 16 Sep 24+342d | Worcester | FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) Settled in midfield early - blundered and dropped back before fading - eased and pulled up before 3 out | PU/12 | — | 11-2 | — | — | — | Lee Edwards | 250/1 |
| 2023 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Oct 23+56d | Southwell (AW) | Download The At The Races App Handicap | 10/11 | 6 | 9-5 | 57 | 54C | 47C | Lewis Edmunds | 66/1 |
| 15 Aug 23+16d | Nottingham | Weatherbys Scientific Amateur Jockeys' Handicap | 12/13 | 7½ | 11-0 | 59 | 27C | 45C | Mr Kevin Skelton | 33/1 |
| 30 Jul 23+10d | Pontefract | Northern Commercials Iveco 'S' Way Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 6/9 | ¾ | 9-7 | — | 59A | 59A | Lewis Edmunds | 80/1 |
| 20 Jul 23+218d | Leicester | William Hill Lengthen Your Odds EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 8/11 | 3¼ | 9-4 | — | 54B | 48A | Lewis Edmunds | 250/1 |
| 2022 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 14 Dec 22 | Kempton (AW) | Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 12/13 | 3¾ | 9-7 | — | 27C | 46C | Charlie Bennett | 80/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Nelson Bay won?
- Nelson Bay (IRE) has yet to win, from 6 archived starts between 2022 and 2024.
- Who trained Nelson Bay?
- Nelson Bay (IRE) was trained by Dave Roberts on the most recent run on record, at Worcester on 16 September 2024.
- Who is Nelson Bay's sire?
- Nelson Bay (IRE) is by Australia (GB) out of Bessichka (GB), whose sire is Exceed And Excel.
- What is Nelson Bay's official rating?
- Nelson Bay (IRE)'s highest official rating on record is 59.
- What is Nelson Bay's sire's record?
- Australia (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.2% of 5,658 runs since Jan 2008 (565 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.
- Who are Nelson Bay's siblings?
- Out of Bessichka (GB), Nelson Bay (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: The Turpinator (IRE) (7). Highest grade won: Class 3 (The Turpinator (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m. As at Oct 2026.