As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Last run 1 Jan 2026 · 8th of 24Last raced off OR 97
KTB Profile
Nelsons Dawn is a gelding by Mount Nelson out of an Ardlea Rose mare by Flemensfirth. He has yet to win from six starts on turf, all over trips between 1m5f and 2m4f on soft or heavy ground. His highest official rating was 98 and he last ran off 97 when eighth of 24 in the TravelShop.ie Handicap Hurdle at Fairyhouse in Jan 2026. He has raced at five different courses.
Based on 6 archived runs · run-style from 6 commented runs since Jan 2025 · updated 25 Oct 2026
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed121the best of the last 2 graded (A or B) runs · Navan, 14 Dec 2025
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps 5 figures · best 121B · median 72
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Soft
3
107B
57
1 run · —
Heavy
2
121B
96.5
1 run · —
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f
3
107B
57
1 run · —
1m5f – 2m
2
121B
96.5
1 run · —
Of 6 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating (jumps)104Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Fairyhouse, 1 Jan 2026Official rating 97at the last jumps run, 1 Jan 2026
Best recent KTB Rating (flat)48Cthe best of the last 1 rated run · Fairyhouse, 11 Jan 2025
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Jumps 5 figures · best 105C · median 104
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Soft
3
105C
104
1 run · —
Heavy
2
102A
100.5
1 run · —
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f
3
105C
104
1 run · —
1m5f – 2m
2
102A
100.5
1 run · —
Flat 1 figure · too few for a breakdown
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Soft
4
0
0%
−4.00
Heavy
2
0
0%
−2.00
Course
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Fairyhouse
2
0
0%
−2.00
Navan
1
0
0%
−1.00
Limerick
1
0
0%
−1.00
Naas
1
0
0%
−1.00
Punchestown
1
0
0%
−1.00
Distance
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
2m1f – 2m4f
3
0
0%
−3.00
1m5f – 2m
3
0
0%
−3.00
Jockey
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
E Walsh
2
0
0%
−2.00
Philip Byrnes
2
0
0%
−2.00
Philip Donovan
1
0
0%
−1.00
Mr J Dunne
1
0
0%
−1.00
Headgear
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Hood
3
0
0%
−3.00
None
3
0
0%
−3.00
Season
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
2026
1
0
0%
−1.00
2025
5
0
0%
−5.00
Type
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Hurdle
5
0
0%
−5.00
Flat
1
0
0%
−1.00
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
TheTravelShop.ie Handicap Hurdle20f · Yielding · 24 ranHeld up in midfield - urged forward early in straight - stayed on same gear from 2 out - finished 8th
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ranSettled in the pack early - up to 6th at halfway then into 5th 3 out - pushed along but couldn't threaten the pace after 2 out - stayed one paced and clipped the last
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 17 ranSettled towards the back of the pack - down in 11th soon after halfway - dropped away before 3 out and came home well beaten
SBK (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ranHeld up at the back - still 8th and losing touch by halfway - unable to make headway and dropped away inside final 2f
Nelsons Dawn (IRE) has yet to win, from 6 archived starts between 2025 and 2026.
Who trains Nelsons Dawn?
Nelsons Dawn (IRE) is trained by Edward Cawley, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 1 January 2026.
Who is Nelsons Dawn's sire?
Nelsons Dawn (IRE) is by Mount Nelson (GB) out of Ardlea Rose (IRE), whose sire is Flemensfirth.
What is Nelsons Dawn's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 97, from the run on 1 January 2026. The highest on record is 98.
What is Nelsons Dawn's sire's record?
Mount Nelson (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 6,261 runs since Jan 2008 (538 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Nelsons Dawn (IRE)·0–6·SR 0%
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