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Jockey profile

Mr J Dunne

214 rides in the last 5 seasons · 158 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 2 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
15–214
Wins / Runs
7%
Strike rate
n=214
57 (27%)
Placed
0.89
n=214 · 0.71 incl. margin
−47.79
£1 level stake
n=214 at SP · −22.3%
£211k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 214 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Gavin Cromwell: 5.1% from 59 First rides: 7.1%
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 5.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −93.67 to a £1 stake over 186 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Gavin Cromwell supplies 28% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.1%, A/E 0.55). The rider also reads well off a 31-60-day break (14.7%, n=34) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (12.3%, n=73). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.3% over 44 rides, 4.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.1%+0.1
n=154 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −10.62
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
12.5%+5.5
n=8 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −6.17
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.9%−1.1
n=34 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −13.50
When favourite
27.3%
n=11 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −1.67
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.4%−1.6
n=186 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −93.67
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.5%−1.5
n=91 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −0.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 14.7% vs 7% · n=34
With horses switching code 0% vs 7% · n=39
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 12.3% vs 7% · n=73
With debutants 1.7% vs 7% · n=60
In Hurdle races 11.9% vs 7% · n=42
On Good to Soft going 2.3% vs 7% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 109 6 5.5% −62.67
Hurdle 42 5 11.9% +33.00
Chase 34 2 5.9% −5.00
Flat 29 2 6.9% −13.12

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 86 8 9.3% +20.33
Good 64 4 6.3% −33.62
Good to Soft 44 1 2.3% −31.00
Heavy 17 2 11.8% −0.50
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 20 2 10% −5.50
Kilbeggan 19 0 0% −19.00
Galway 15 0 0% −15.00
Downpatrick 13 1 7.7% +0.00
Sligo 12 2 16.7% +2.00
Cork 12 1 8.3% −6.50
Leopardstown 11 0 0% −11.00
Fairyhouse 11 2 18.2% +1.00
Clonmel 10 2 20% +13.50
Down Royal 9 1 11.1% −2.00
Killarney 9 1 11.1% −6.12
Listowel 9 1 11.1% −7.17
Navan 9 0 0% −9.00
Thurles 9 0 0% −9.00
Naas 7 1 14.3% +44.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 4 26.7% 1.13 −2.79
2nd–3rd fav 35 2 5.7% 0.37 −24.00
4th–6th fav 88 7 8% 1.14 −17.00
7th+ in betting 76 2 2.6% 1.11 −4.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.3% completed · 76 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 34 61.8% 1 5 7 0 0
Hurdle 42 88.1% 0 1 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Kilkee Bay (IRE) 5 1 2 4 Oct 26
Lake Winnipesaukee (IRE) 5 0 3 9 Jul 23
Thelittleballerina (IRE) 4 2 3 2 Oct 26
Trishknowsbest (IRE) 4 1 1 4 May 23
Bravemans Call (IRE) 3 0 3 31 Oct 26
Pamelaisbrass (IRE) 3 0 1 3 Sep 26
Tommy's Ticket (IRE) 3 0 1 9 Aug 26
Silver Salute (IRE) 3 0 0 15 Jun 26
Fathom Two (IRE) 3 0 2 27 Jul 23
Mon Loulou (FR) 3 0 0 6 May 23
Ask Anything (IRE) 3 0 0 27 Apr 23
Soldaro (IRE) 3 0 0 21 Dec 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 158 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 5
Only 5 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1701854120409158
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
28% of all rides
5.1% SR · A/E 0.55
TrainerRWSR£1
Gavin Cromwell 59 3 5.1% −35.50
Ian Patrick Donoghue 38 3 7.9% −19.67
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
20
Archived wins
£262k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 6 wins
True Testimony (IRE) — Race And Stay Irish EBF Mares Handicap Chase Fairyhouse · Nov 2025
£17,700
Factual Fact (FR) — Outlook Publications (Q.R.) Handicap Killarney · May 2026
£8,835
Mhi Milani (IRE) — racingtv.com/freetrial Flat Race Clonmel (IRE) · Nov 2026
£7,800

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Doyen (IRE) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,390 runs since 2009 (606 horses).
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,898 runs since 2013 (687 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Mount Nelson (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 10% of 6,287 runs since 2012 (538 horses).
Ocovango (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,022 runs since 2019 (308 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.
Court Cave (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,969 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Malinas (GER) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,963 runs since 2010 (420 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 306 · newest first

The latest 50 of 306 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 April 2019 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Rokanako (IRE)T: Edward F Power WTW Willis Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 13 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 26 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Mr J Dunne's strike rate?
Mr J Dunne has won 15 of 214 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mr J Dunne ride most for?
Gavin Cromwell, with 59 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.1%).
Is Mr J Dunne in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mr J Dunne's Fair A/E?
0.89, from 214 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).