Pagan Lightning (USA)
Pagan Lightning (USA) is 2 from 13. Hasn't won since Feb 2011.
- 2–13Wins / Runs
- 15.4%Strike rate
- 2 (15.4%)Placed
- +44.00£1 level staken=13 at SP
- 2.98Fair A/E n=13 · 2.38 incl. margin
- 88Highest OR
- 81dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.7% of 4,258 runs since Jan 2008 (373 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 15.8% from 1,577. Weakest on heavy going: 6.9% from 131.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 40 | 4 | 10% | −2.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 727 | 94 | 12.9% | +0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 880 | 92 | 10.5% | −2.2 | 0 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 427 | 46 | 10.8% | −1.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 476 | 48 | 10.1% | −2.6 | 2 from 5 |
| Heavy | 131 | 9 | 6.9% | −5.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,577 | 249 | 15.8% | +3.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 135 | 14 | 10.4% | −2.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 911 | 123 | 13.5% | +0.8 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,078 | 149 | 13.8% | +1.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,169 | 146 | 12.5% | −0.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 600 | 71 | 11.8% | −0.9 | 0 from 7 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 220 | 24 | 10.9% | −1.8 | 2 from 6 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 112 | 11 | 9.8% | −2.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | −0.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Johanna (USA) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 2 | 40% | +52.00 |
| Good | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +46.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Downpatrick | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Sedgefield | 1 | 1 | 100% | +50.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cartmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kilbeggan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wexford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 2 | 33% | +51.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr R O'Sullivan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Miss Emma Sayer | 2 | 1 | 50% | +49.00 |
| James O'Farrell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Richie McGrath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Miss N Sayer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Miss Robyn Gray | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Mania | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ms K Walsh | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Brian O'Connell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2011 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +47.00 |
| 2010 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2009 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 8 | 1 | 13% | +43.00 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Chase | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Pagan Lightning (USA) won?
- Pagan Lightning (USA) won 2 of 13 archived starts between 2009 and 2012, a strike rate of 15.4%. Placed 2 times in total (15.4% of starts).
- Who trained Pagan Lightning (USA)?
- Pagan Lightning (USA) was trained by Dianne Sayer on the most recent run on record, at Carlisle on 22 March 2012.
- Who is Pagan Lightning (USA)'s sire?
- Pagan Lightning (USA) is by Street Cry (IRE) out of Bloomin Thunder (USA), whose sire is Thunder Gulch.
- What going does Pagan Lightning (USA) prefer?
- Pagan Lightning (USA) has the best record on soft going: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Pagan Lightning (USA)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 85, from the run on 22 March 2012. The highest on record is 88.
- What is Pagan Lightning (USA)'s sire's record?
- Street Cry (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.7% of 4,258 runs since Jan 2008 (373 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 15.8% from 1,577. Weakest on heavy going: 6.9% from 131.
- Who are Pagan Lightning (USA)'s siblings?
- Out of Bloomin Thunder (USA), Pagan Lightning (USA) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.