What is Brian O'Connell's strike rate?

Brian O'Connell has won 188 of 2,939 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Brian O'Connell do best at?

Gowran Park by strike rate: 13 wins from 160 rides (8.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Brian O'Connell ride most for?

Philip Fenton, with 418 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 52 (12.4%).

What is Brian O'Connell's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 2,937 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Brian O'Connell

2,939 rides in the lifetime window · 1,267 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2017 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

188–2,939

Wins / Runs

6.4%

Strike rate

n=2,939

593 (20%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=2,937 · 0.76 incl. margin

−1,296.73

£1 level stake

n=2,939 at SP · −44.1%

£2.86m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 290 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (186 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,939 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr 35.6% when favourite Philip Fenton: 12.4% from 418 LTO winners: 15.6% Group/Graded: 11.5% Rode the favourite in 4% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.6% (n=186, Fair A/E 1.13), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=1,249, Fair A/E 0.64). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 5.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −277.84 to a £1 stake over 555 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Philip Fenton supplied 14% of the rides and beats the rider's average (12.4% vs 6.4%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Class 1 (11.5%, n=165). 20 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Hennessy Gold Cup at Leopardstown (Feb 2014, £92,000). The standout partner of the record was Caim Hill (IRE) — 10 wins from 36 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.1%−3.3

n=1,249 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −879.43

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15.6%+9.2

n=186 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −51.86

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.8%−0.6

n=690 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −249.64

When favourite

35.6%

n=118 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −6.73

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.9%−0.5

n=555 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −277.84

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.5%−0.9

n=1,737 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −796.13

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.5%+5.1

n=156 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −46.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 15.6% vs 6.4% · n=186

With Philip Fenton 12.4% vs 6.4% · n=418

With John J Walsh 11.3% vs 6.4% · n=266

With debutants 1.4% vs 6.4% · n=213

In Class 1 11.5% vs 6.4% · n=165

In Group / Graded races 11.5% vs 6.4% · n=156

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,877 124 6.6% −879.26

Chase 828 46 5.6% −322.87

NH Flat 196 17 8.7% −64.60

Flat 38 1 2.6% −30.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 921 57 6.2% −349.93

Heavy 823 63 7.7% −300.95

Good 773 46 6% −386.34

Good to Soft 215 13 6% −107.88

Good to Firm 184 9 4.9% −128.63

Firm 16 0 0% −16.00

Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 290 20 6.9% −136.33

Thurles 207 14 6.8% −40.85

Tramore 200 15 7.5% −63.50

Cork 200 11 5.5% −130.69

Clonmel 188 11 5.9% −94.62

Punchestown 180 9 5% −122.58

Fairyhouse 176 9 5.1% −80.20

Gowran Park 160 13 8.1% −22.52

Navan 120 4 3.3% −97.00

Downpatrick 111 2 1.8% −96.00

Kilbeggan 108 8 7.4% −53.50

Galway 100 7 7% −62.48

Wexford 99 7 7.1% −49.78

Tipperary 95 5 5.3% −52.37

Naas 92 4 4.3% −52.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 165 19 11.5% −50.40

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 150 50 33.3% 1.31 +3.02

2nd–3rd fav 429 66 15.4% 1.11 −43.25

4th–6th fav 748 47 6.3% 0.96 −235.50

7th+ in betting 1,612 25 1.6% 0.52 −1,021.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.9% completed · 2,705 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 828 75.7% 48 23 123 3 4

Hurdle 1,877 90.4% 36 9 131 2 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Caim Hill (IRE) 36 10 14 18 Jul 14

Kilflora (GB) 25 3 13 22 Jul 12

Serra Nova (IRE) 23 1 7 6 Dec 14

On My Own (IRE) 21 2 5 7 Aug 14

Sonny B (IRE) 20 4 9 17 Apr 17

Drive On Locky (IRE) 20 1 4 6 Jun 15

Bentelimar (IRE) 18 4 12 18 Aug 17

Patsio (IRE) 18 2 8 17 Mar 17

Passing Through (GB) 18 0 4 20 Apr 13

Dunguib (IRE) 16 10 12 12 Mar 14

Hard Bought (IRE) 15 3 4 16 Feb 17

Couleur De La Loi (IRE) 15 1 4 31 May 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,267 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5610957774565

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardPhilip Fenton

14% of all rides
12.4% SR · A/E 1.21

TrainerRWSR£1

Philip Fenton 418 52 12.4% −149.10

John J Walsh 266 30 11.3% +44.73

P J Rothwell 254 5 2% −175.00

Liz Doyle 166 14 8.4% +17.78

J R Barry 121 11 9.1% −36.50

Kieran Purcell 81 6 7.4% −42.09

F Flood 71 7 9.9% +2.50

Eoin Doyle 64 7 10.9% −10.00

J H Culloty 61 2 3.3% −50.62

Michael J McDonagh 57 3 5.3% −26.00

Michael G Cleary 48 1 2.1% −43.00

John Joseph Hanlon 45 3 6.7% −30.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

205

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.09m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 33 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Last Instalment (IRE) — Hennessy Gold Cup (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Feb 2014 · Grade 1

£92,000

Dunguib (IRE) — Bar One Racing Royal Bond Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) Fairyhouse · Dec 2009 · Grade 1

£55,250

Dunguib (IRE) — Deloitte Novice Hurdle (grade 1) Leopardstown · Feb 2010 · Grade 1

£52,000

Notable horses

Caim Hill (IRE) Dunguib (IRE) Sonny B (IRE) Bentelimar (IRE) Desertmore Stream (IRE) Last Instalment (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 11.3% · 17–151

Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Beneficial (GB) 7.4% · 8–108

Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 1.1% · 1–92

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Milan (GB) 3.5% · 3–85

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,848 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 7.2% · 5–69

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Dushyantor (USA) 8.2% · 4–49

Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,917 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 139.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,144 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,144 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 15 October 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 17 Cork Chestnut Brave (IRE)T: J R Barry Rockmills Limestone & Tom Lynes Plant Hire Supporting The Rickie Healy Appeal Handicap Hurdle19f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 13th 16/1

13 Oct 17 Downpatrick Ardera Cross (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Frank Fitzsimons Memorial Beginners Chase19f · Yielding · 15 ran 14th 8/1

12 Oct 17 Thurles Dubai Key (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Devils Bit 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 17th 50/1

05 Oct 17 Tramore Class Honours (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Graun Hill Suite - Perfect For Parties Beginners Chase22f · Yielding · 5 ran 4th 14/1

05 Oct 17 Tramore Ardera Cross (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Waterford & Tramore Racecourse On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-109)21f · Yielding · 9 ran 2nd 7/4F

05 Oct 17 Tramore Kalanisi King (IRE)T: J R Barry Waterford & Tramore Racecourse Supporters Club Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Yielding · 13 ran F 16/1

03 Oct 17 Tipperary Swipe West (IRE)T: Denis Leahy Join The Tipperary Supporter's Club 2018 (c & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 66/1

30 Sep 17 Gowran Park Ted (IRE)T: Liam Kenny Thomastown Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 11th 6/1

29 Sep 17 Gowran Park St Lawrence Gap (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Bennettesbridge Handicap Hurdle20f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 7/1

29 Sep 17 Gowran Park Daigreen (IRE)T: Miss Evanna McCutcheon Bramblestown Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Heavy · 19 ran 15th 33/1

29 Sep 17 Gowran Park Fern Owl (GB)T: Eoin Doyle Racing Again Tomorrow Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 15 ran 9th 66/1

29 Sep 17 Gowran Park In A Pinch (IRE)T: S Slevin Paulstown Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 19 ran 14th 100/1

28 Sep 17 Clonmel Tsarina Sophia (IRE)T: Diarmuid P Ryan Kilmore Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 17 ran 16th 100/1

28 Sep 17 Clonmel Swedish Connection (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Laganore Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 18 ran 17th 100/1

27 Sep 17 Sligo Dorkas (GB)T: J R Finn Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Chase (0-109)24.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 2nd 5/2F

27 Sep 17 Sligo Corskeagh Express (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Frank O'beirne Memorial Beginners Chase21f · Heavy · 5 ran 5th 33/1

27 Sep 17 Sligo Adimelo (FR)T: Mark Michael McNiff Printfix Beginners Chase17.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 5th 12/1

23 Sep 17 Navan The Winkler (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle At The Races Handicap Chase20f · Yielding · 11 ran 4th 9/2

23 Sep 17 Navan Fern Owl (GB)T: Eoin Doyle At The Races Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 30 ran 23rd 33/1

22 Sep 17 Downpatrick Cottonvale (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle JP Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 4/1J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brian O'Connell's strike rate?: Brian O'Connell has won 188 of 2,939 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Brian O'Connell do best at?: Gowran Park by strike rate: 13 wins from 160 rides (8.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Brian O'Connell ride most for?: Philip Fenton, with 418 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 52 (12.4%).
What is Brian O'Connell's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 2,937 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.