What is Ryan Mania's strike rate?

Ryan Mania has won 124 of 930 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ryan Mania do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 23 wins from 92 rides (25%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ryan Mania ride most for?

Sandy Thomson, with 428 rides since 2022 — 46% of the total. That pairing has won 62 (14.5%).

Is Ryan Mania in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ryan Mania's Fair A/E?

1.12, from 927 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ryan Mania

930 rides in the last 5 seasons · 319 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

124–930

Wins / Runs

13.3%

Strike rate

n=930

279 (30%)

Placed

1.12

Fair A/E

n=927 · 0.97 incl. margin

−24.59

£1 level stake

n=930 at SP · −2.6%

£1.51m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 190 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.12). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (106 rides). Rides mostly for Sandy Thomson — 46% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 930 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 32% when favourite Sandy Thomson: 14.5% from 428 LTO winners: 21.7% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Musselburgh (25%, n=92), clear of the rider's 13.3% baseline. It is weakest at Wetherby (3.8% over 53 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.7% (n=106, Fair A/E 1.16). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 11.5% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +16.53 to a £1 stake over 253 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Sandy Thomson supplies 46% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (14.5%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the John Smith's Grand National Chase at Aintree (Apr 2013, £547,268). The standout partner of the record: Cedar Hill (IRE) — 6 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.5%−1.8

n=253 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +16.53

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.7%+8.4

n=106 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +8.66

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.6%−0.7

n=247 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −4.14

When favourite

32%

n=103 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −4.70

Big fields · 14+ runners

11.6%−1.7

n=95 · A/E 1.75 · £1 −8.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12%−1.3

n=25 · A/E 1.55 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 26.7% vs 13.3% · n=101

At Musselburgh 25% vs 13.3% · n=92

On last-time-out winners 21.7% vs 13.3% · n=106

At Wetherby 3.8% vs 13.3% · n=53

With Paul Robson 6.2% vs 13.3% · n=65

With headgear back on 20% vs 13.3% · n=40

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 538 70 13% −25.57

Chase 319 45 14.1% −16.10

NH Flat 72 9 12.5% +18.08

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 335 40 11.9% −55.02

Soft 270 34 12.6% +5.98

Good 258 38 14.7% −4.91

Heavy 51 8 15.7% −23.89

Good to Firm 12 3 25% +31.25

Standard (AW) 4 1 25% +22.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kelso 144 24 16.7% +4.76

Ayr 118 15 12.7% −32.96

Newcastle 107 14 13.1% +3.62

Musselburgh 92 23 25% +59.86

Hexham 91 12 13.2% −8.39

Carlisle 72 9 12.5% +77.50

Perth 68 8 11.8% −22.75

Wetherby 53 2 3.8% −34.00

Sedgefield 30 3 10% −10.00

Cartmel 28 3 10.7% −9.50

Catterick 16 2 12.5% −5.80

Doncaster 16 1 6.3% −1.00

Market Rasen 15 0 0% −15.00

Aintree 13 0 0% −13.00

Southwell 13 1 7.7% −11.43

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 411 48 11.7% −134.49

Class 5 276 39 14.1% +89.01

Class 3 135 22 16.3% +50.46

Class 2 72 12 16.7% −14.57

Class 1 36 3 8.3% −15.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 120 36 30% 1.05 −9.45

2nd–3rd fav 263 51 19.4% 1.15 +1.86

4th–6th fav 316 27 8.5% 1.07 −18.50

7th+ in betting 231 10 4.3% 1.39 +1.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.6% completed · 857 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 319 76.2% 10 5 59 1 1

Hurdle 538 84.8% 13 4 64 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Kilbrainy (IRE) 15 1 2 7 Apr 25

Leading Force (IRE) 15 1 8 7 Mar 25

Benson (GB) 14 3 4 3 Feb 25

Carcaci Castle (IRE) 13 2 3 23 Mar 25

Empire Steel (IRE) 13 3 4 17 Jan 25

Faithfulflyer (IRE) 12 4 7 6 Oct 24

The Jad Factor (IRE) 10 2 5 11 Feb 25

War Soldier (IRE) 10 3 5 13 Dec 24

Cedar Hill (IRE) 10 2 4 14 Jun 24

Massini Man (GB) 10 2 7 16 May 24

The Electrician (IRE) 10 2 5 3 Jun 23

Athair Mor (IRE) 9 0 5 9 Feb 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 319 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

3 from 10

Only 10 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

191111618196018111414

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardSandy Thomson

46% of all rides
14.5% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

Sandy Thomson 428 62 14.5% −59.35

Adam Nicol 81 15 18.5% −4.23

R Mike Smith 77 9 11.7% +7.38

Paul Robson 65 4 6.2% −18.50

James Ewart 39 6 15.4% −12.50

Sue Smith 35 4 11.4% −5.62

Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford 32 4 12.5% +52.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

396

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.59m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 42 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Auroras Encore (IRE) — John Smith's Grand National Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Aintree · Apr 2013 · Grade 3

£547,268

Midnight Shadow (GB) — Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Nov 2021 · Grade 3

£90,032

Benson (GB) — bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap) (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2023 · Class 2

£51,440

Notable horses

Cedar Hill (IRE) Empire Steel (IRE) No Planning (GB) Brotherly Company (IRE) Seeyouatmidnight (GB) More Equity (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 20% · 8–40

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,967 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Leading Light (IRE) 10.5% · 4–38

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,206 runs since 2018 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.

Shirocco (GER) 28.1% · 9–32

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,179 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Beat Hollow (GB) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,034 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Court Cave (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,949 runs since 2008 (552 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Doyen (IRE) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,372 runs since 2009 (605 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,411 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,411 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 May 2007 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Wise Eagle (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Pricedup Bog From 10am Castletown Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 5/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Tommy Combats (IRE)T: Martin Todhunter Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 100/30F

31 Oct 26 Ayr Didntgotwenty (IRE)T: Martin Todhunter Bsb Structural Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 3/1F

31 Oct 26 Ayr Flaming Norman (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Ben Arthur's Bothy Of Arrochar Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 150/1

24 Oct 26 Kelso Too Cool Forshrule (IRE)T: Jackie Stephen Myles Mcnulty You'Re Never Sixty Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran PU 5/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Order Another One (IRE)T: Dianne Sayer Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 6th 18/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Lady Phoebe (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 1st 7/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Lecanvey Lady (IRE)T: Martin Todhunter Class Of '63: 63 Years On Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 13 ran PU 300/1

20 Oct 26 Hexham Conquer The Breeze (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 6th 9/2

20 Oct 26 Hexham Tracker Issue (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 10th 12/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Follow Charlie (IRE)T: R. Mike Smith Racingtv, Home Of Live Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 7 ran PU 9/4

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Fine Point (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran F 3/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Evaluation (GB)T: Adam Nicol Over The Rainbow Alison Stretton Birthday Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 9/2

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Watcha Snoop (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Visit racingtv.com Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 11/1

10 Oct 26 Hexham Jet Legs (IRE)T: Martin Todhunter Tynedale Rfc Community Rugby Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 6th 14/1

04 Oct 26 Kelso Evaluation (GB)T: Adam Nicol Percy's Racing Dream Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 21f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 7/2J

02 Oct 26 Hexham Order Another One (IRE)T: Dianne Sayer Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 10/1

29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Tracker Issue (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 5th 50/1

29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Watcha Snoop (IRE)T: Adam Nicol Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 11/1

24 Sep 26 Perth On The Bubble (GB)T: Gary Rutherford A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran PU 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 20 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 20 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ryan Mania's strike rate?: Ryan Mania has won 124 of 930 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ryan Mania do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 23 wins from 92 rides (25%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ryan Mania ride most for?: Sandy Thomson, with 428 rides since 2022 — 46% of the total. That pairing has won 62 (14.5%).
Is Ryan Mania in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ryan Mania's Fair A/E?: 1.12, from 927 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.