A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed119the best of the last 2 graded (A or B) runs · Warwick, 5 Nov 2021
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps 5 figures · best 120C · median 95
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 22 Oct 2025
Good
2
119A
107
—
Soft
2
68A
62.5
—
Heavy
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 22 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f
4
120C
107
—
1m5f – 2m
1
—
—
—
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating98Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Ffos Las, 17 Nov 2021Official rating 100at the last run, 31 Dec 2021
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Jumps 5 figures · best 103A · median 98
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 22 Oct 2025
Good
2
103A
97
—
Soft
2
98A
98
—
Heavy
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 22 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f
4
103A
95
—
1m5f – 2m
1
—
—
—
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 345 runs since Jan 2008 (39 horses).
Weakest on good going: 7% from 100. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16% from 106.
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Firm
1
0
0%
−11.9
—
Good to Firm
15
0
0%
−11.9
—
Good
100
7
7%
−4.9
0 from 2
Good to Soft
44
3
6.8%
−5.1
—
Soft
98
13
13.3%
+1.4
0 from 2
Heavy
69
13
18.8%
+6.9
0 from 1
Standard (AW)
18
5
27.8%
+15.9
—
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
6f – 7f
1
0
0%
−11.9
—
1m – 1m1f
14
0
0%
−11.9
—
1m2f – 1m4f
26
4
15.4%
+3.5
—
1m5f – 2m
106
17
16%
+4.1
0 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f
97
9
9.3%
−2.6
0 from 4
2m5f – 3m
65
8
12.3%
+0.4
—
Over 3m
36
3
8.3%
−3.6
—
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
State Ur Case (IRE) (Snurge)
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Good
2
0
0%
−2.00
Soft
2
0
0%
−2.00
Heavy
1
0
0%
−1.00
Class
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Class 4
3
0
0%
−3.00
Class 5
1
0
0%
−1.00
Course
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Warwick
2
0
0%
−2.00
Hereford
1
0
0%
−1.00
Ffos Las
1
0
0%
−1.00
Tipperary
1
0
0%
−1.00
Distance
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
2m1f – 2m4f
4
0
0%
−4.00
1m5f – 2m
1
0
0%
−1.00
Jockey
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Shane Quinlan
2
0
0%
−2.00
Conor Ring
2
0
0%
−2.00
Mr E P O'Brien
1
0
0%
−1.00
Headgear
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Hood + tongue tie
4
0
0%
−4.00
None
1
0
0%
−1.00
Season
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
2021
4
0
0%
−4.00
2018
1
0
0%
−1.00
Type
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Hurdle
4
0
0%
−4.00
NH Flat
1
0
0%
−1.00
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Paschals Dream (IRE) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts between 2018 and 2021.
Who trained Paschals Dream (IRE)?
Paschals Dream (IRE) was trained by Daniel Bourne on the most recent run on record, at Warwick on 31 December 2021.
Who is Paschals Dream (IRE)'s sire?
Paschals Dream (IRE) is by Primary (USA) out of State Ur Case (IRE), whose sire is Snurge.
What is Paschals Dream (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 31 December 2021. That is also the highest on record.
What is Paschals Dream (IRE)'s sire's record?
Primary (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 345 runs since Jan 2008 (39 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good going: 7% from 100. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16% from 106.
Paschals Dream (IRE)·0–5·SR 0%
KTB
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