Rebel's Gamble (IRE)
Rebel's Gamble (IRE) won three of eight starts, including the BetMGM Spring Cup Stakes, a Listed race at Lingfield (AW) in Mar 2025. All three wins came on the all-weather over 6f – 7f. The colt, by Dark Angel out of Charlotte Rua, was held up in all five of his analysed runs. He finished 5 of 6 at Newbury in Sep 2025, last raced off an official rating of 102.
- 3–8Wins / Runs
- 37.5%Strike rate
- 4 (50%)Placed
- +1.00£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 1.69Fair A/E n=8 · 1.47 incl. margin
- 105Highest OR
- 37dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 91
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 128A | 101.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 89A | 78.5 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 8 | 128A | 90 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs
- Held up 5 (100%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 21,863 runs since Jan 2008 (1,593 horses).
Strongest on firm going: 15% from 107.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 107 | 16 | 15% | +3.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3,694 | 452 | 12.2% | +0.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 4,838 | 510 | 10.5% | −0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 2,406 | 251 | 10.4% | −0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 2,722 | 253 | 9.3% | −2 | — |
| Heavy | 822 | 69 | 8.4% | −2.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 7,273 | 916 | 12.6% | +1.3 | 3 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 2,064 | 278 | 13.5% | +2.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 10,694 | 1,251 | 11.7% | +0.4 | 3 from 8 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4,990 | 546 | 10.9% | −0.4 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,464 | 236 | 9.6% | −1.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,089 | 109 | 10% | −1.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 472 | 41 | 8.7% | −2.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 86 | 7 | 8.1% | −3.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −11.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Nahaarr (IRE) (6 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Nahaarr (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahaarr (IRE) | 14 | 6 | 6f–7f | Class 2 |
| Gleneagle Bay (IRE) | 19 | 2 | 7f–1m | — |
| Boomerang Bill (IRE) | 19 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 3 | 75% | +5.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.75 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +3.75 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.25 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clifford Lee | 6 | 3 | 50% | +3.00 |
| Rossa Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Allan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 25+69d | Newbury | Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed) (Str) Held up towards back of field - made ground under pressure over 2f out - lost momentum inside final furlong - finished 5th | 5/6 | 1½ | 9-1 | 102 | 89A | 89B | Rossa Ryan | 10/1 |
| 12 Jul 25+36d | Chester | Raymond & Kathleen Corbett Memorial City Plate Stakes (Listed) Held up towards the back - urged forward with three furlongs left - made progress inside the final furlong - kept on to finish fifth | 5/8 | 1¼ | 9-2 | 104 | 91B | 94A | David Allan | 18/1 |
| 06 Jun 25+37d | Epsom Downs | Nyetimber Surrey Stakes (Listed) Settled among leading group on rail - lost ground and drifted right approaching final 2f then pushed along - stayed on late to finish 5th beaten 5.5 lengths | 5/8 | nk | 9-5 | 105 | 68A | 91A | Clifford Lee | 11/1 |
| 30 Apr 25+56d | Ascot | eventmasters.co.uk Commonwealth Cup Trial Stakes (Group 3) (Registered As The Pavilion Stakes) Settled just behind the front pack early on holding an edgy pace - pushed along and lost ground inside final 2f - finished 9th beaten 5 1/4 lengths | 9/10 | ½ | 9-3 | 105 | 76A | 82A | Clifford Lee | 7/2F |
| 05 Mar 25+26d | Lingfield (AW) | BetMGM Spring Cup Stakes (Listed) Sluggish start - settled towards the back - moved through and shifted left approaching the final furlong - burst clear inside the last - stayed on strongly to win | 1/7 | 9-4 | 95 | 128A | 102A | Clifford Lee | 9/4 | |
| 07 Feb 25+15d | Southwell (AW) | Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap Sluggish start - settled just behind the front group on the inner - shifted wide at halfway - pushed along and stayed on well inside the final furlong - snatched second right on the line but no answer for the winner | 2/5 | 1¾ | 9-9 | 95 | 108C | 100B | Clifford Lee | 10/11F |
| 23 Jan 25+20d | Newcastle (AW) | Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Sat behind pace early - moved to front nearing final furlong and quickly opened up - strolled home unchallenged | 1/9 | 9-7 | — | 95A | 107A | Clifford Lee | EvensF | |
| 03 Jan 25 | Southwell (AW) | Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Settled in the pack - pushed along with 2f left then found extra to hit the front inside the final furlong - edged right but stayed on strongly to score | 1/11 | 9-7 | — | 87A | 92A | Clifford Lee | 11/4 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Rebel's Gamble (IRE) won?
- Rebel's Gamble (IRE) won 3 of 8 archived starts in 2025, a strike rate of 37.5%. Placed 4 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trained Rebel's Gamble (IRE)?
- Rebel's Gamble (IRE) was trained by K R Burke on the most recent run on record, at Newbury on 19 September 2025.
- Who is Rebel's Gamble (IRE)'s sire?
- Rebel's Gamble (IRE) is by Dark Angel (IRE) out of Charlotte Rua (IRE), whose sire is Redback.
- What going does Rebel's Gamble (IRE) prefer?
- Rebel's Gamble (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 3 wins from 4 starts (75%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Rebel's Gamble (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 102, from the run on 19 September 2025. The highest on record is 105.
- What is Rebel's Gamble (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Dark Angel (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.3% of 21,863 runs since Jan 2008 (1,593 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on firm going: 15% from 107.
- Who are Rebel's Gamble (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Charlotte Rua (IRE), Rebel's Gamble (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Nahaarr (IRE) (6). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Nahaarr (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m. As at Oct 2026.