What is David Allan's strike rate?

David Allan has won 345 of 3,238 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Allan do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 28 wins from 159 rides (17.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does David Allan ride most for?

Tim Easterby, with 2,620 rides since 2022 — 81% of the total. That pairing has won 280 (10.7%).

Is David Allan in form?

In the last 14 days: 39 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 12.8%. That is in line with the baseline of 10.7% since 2022.

What is David Allan's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 3,218 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

David Allan

3,238 rides in the last 5 seasons · 783 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

345–3,238

Wins / Runs

10.7%

Strike rate

n=3,238

1,029 (32%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=3,218 · 0.80 incl. margin

−957.38

£1 level stake

n=3,238 at SP · −29.6%

£5.04m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 650 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (304 rides). Rides mostly for Tim Easterby — 81% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,238 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 28.4% when favourite Tim Easterby: 10.7% from 2,620 LTO winners: 14.1% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (17.6%, n=159), clear of the rider's 10.7% baseline. It is weakest at York (2.1% over 189 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.1% (n=304, Fair A/E 0.87), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.1% (n=453, Fair A/E 0.70). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −178.92 to a £1 stake over 345 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Tim Easterby supplies 81% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.7%, A/E 0.90). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 4.4% over 180 rides, 6.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 2: Fair A/E 0.60 across 229 rides (4.8% strike, −159.99 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 42 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2023, £283,550). The standout partner of the record: Garden Oasis (GB) — 11 wins from 51 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.5%−2.2

n=672 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −211.64

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.1%+3.4

n=304 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −95.41

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.5%−5.2

n=345 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −178.92

When favourite

28.4%

n=342 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −52.82

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.1%−5.6

n=453 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −191.47

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.5%+1.8

n=72 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +24.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At York 2.1% vs 10.7% · n=189

With debutants 2.5% vs 10.7% · n=163

At Southwell (AW) 17.6% vs 10.7% · n=159

Off a break of 180+ days 4.4% vs 10.7% · n=180

In Class 2 4.8% vs 10.7% · n=229

At Chester 2.3% vs 10.7% · n=43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,030 119 11.6% −330.53

Good to Firm 716 68 9.5% −286.41

Good to Soft 502 45 9% −167.32

Standard (AW) 438 50 11.4% −44.02

Soft 428 55 12.9% −62.93

Heavy 124 8 6.5% −66.17

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ripon 310 43 13.9% −58.23

Redcar 304 32 10.5% −79.65

Beverley 264 28 10.6% −105.83

Thirsk 260 19 7.3% −108.05

Catterick 248 34 13.7% −76.41

Newcastle (AW) 237 19 8% −92.22

Pontefract 204 22 10.8% −83.01

Ayr 193 19 9.8% −72.32

York 189 4 2.1% −162.00

Southwell (AW) 159 28 17.6% +71.70

Hamilton 140 20 14.3% −58.62

Musselburgh 122 16 13.1% −43.89

Carlisle 119 10 8.4% −17.72

Doncaster 97 8 8.2% −3.00

Haydock 86 9 10.5% −25.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,049 111 10.6% −372.72

Class 6 876 122 13.9% +1.21

Class 4 738 75 10.2% −307.14

Class 3 274 17 6.2% −143.44

Class 2 229 11 4.8% −159.99

Class 1 72 9 12.5% +24.70

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 414 109 26.3% 0.99 −76.74

2nd–3rd fav 835 128 15.3% 0.95 −207.14

4th–6th fav 1,085 89 8.2% 0.98 −209.50

7th+ in betting 904 19 2.1% 0.58 −464.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Albegone (GB) 35 6 13 4 Nov 26

Garden Oasis (GB) 35 7 14 1 Oct 26

Vince Le Prince (GB) 32 3 15 4 Nov 26

Bay Breeze (GB) 32 6 11 31 Oct 26

Mount King (IRE) 30 4 15 29 Oct 26

Vince L'amour (IRE) 28 4 12 28 Oct 26

Little Ted (GB) 28 2 11 18 Sep 26

Highwaygrey (GB) 26 2 10 9 Jun 25

Jewel Maker (IRE) 25 3 7 3 Oct 26

Poet's Dawn (GB) 24 2 11 6 Jul 26

Manila Scouse (GB) 23 3 6 11 Sep 26

Art Power (IRE) 23 4 6 28 Mar 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 783 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

5 from 39 12.8% · +2.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days12.8%

5-season base10.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

914091111101012121124

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardTim Easterby

81% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 0.90

TrainerRWSR£1

Tim Easterby 2,620 280 10.7% −765.78

David Thompson 63 5 7.9% −28.26

Steph Hollinshead 45 5 11.1% −6.50

Ann Duffield 43 5 11.6% −12.42

Linda Perratt 39 6 15.4% −13.90

Geoffrey Harker 33 2 6.1% −17.00

Gay Kelleway 30 4 13.3% +13.00

R Mike Smith 30 5 16.7% −0.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,341

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£16.1m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 83 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Art Power (IRE) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Oct 2023 · Group 1

£283,550

Take Cover (GB) — Qatar King George Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2016 · Group 2

£176,992

Midnight Martini (GB) — Dbs 300000 St Leger Yearling Stakes York · Aug 2009 · Class 2

£147,720

Notable horses

Garden Oasis (GB) Malcheek (IRE) Hamish McGonagall (GB) Copper Knight (IRE) Regal Mirage (IRE) Highwaygrey (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 12.6% · 14–111

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,245 runs since 2018 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.

Dandy Man (IRE) 4.6% · 4–87

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,978 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Ardad (IRE) 9.6% · 8–83

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,543 runs since 2021 (352 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 10.3% · 8–78

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,595 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Profitable (IRE) 12.3% · 9–73

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,443 runs since 2021 (358 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 11.1% · 7–63

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,934 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 12,507 · newest first

The latest 50 of 12,507 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Vince Le Prince (GB)T: Tim Easterby Thank You For The Fun Gweedore Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 4/1F

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Quest For Fun (GB)T: Tim Easterby Nairns Oatcakes Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 11/2

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Barley (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Hibernian FC Emerald Club Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 7/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Bollin Neil (GB)T: Tim Easterby Joe Fanning Fond Farewell Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 14/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Off Spin (IRE)T: Gay Kelleway Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 9/2

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh So Farhh (GB)T: Tim Easterby British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 5/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Albegone (GB)T: Tim Easterby Veronika Walker: Moments That Matter Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 10/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Daydreama (GB)T: Tim Easterby Munich's Allianz-grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 7th 10/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Bearin Up (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Dusseldorf's Henkel 169 German Oaks Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 7th 17/2

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Bay Breeze (GB)T: Tim Easterby Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 25/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Blue To Blue (IRE)T: Ruth Jefferson Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 15/2

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Tatterstall (IRE)T: Michael Dods Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 9/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Storm Esme (GB)T: Tim Easterby Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 7/2

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Grand Traverse (IRE)T: Geoffrey Harker AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 40/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Diligent Henry (GB)T: Gemma Tutty AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 16/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Keep Me Stable (IRE)T: Linda Perratt AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 18/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mount King (IRE)T: Tim Easterby All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 22/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Marbuzet (GB)T: Tim Easterby Racing TV Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 40/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Vince L'Amour (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Halloween Spooktacular Fireworks 31st Oct Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 9/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Golden West (GB)T: Tim Easterby Jumps Season Starts 20th November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 8 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 2) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is David Allan's strike rate?: David Allan has won 345 of 3,238 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Allan do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 28 wins from 159 rides (17.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does David Allan ride most for?: Tim Easterby, with 2,620 rides since 2022 — 81% of the total. That pairing has won 280 (10.7%).
Is David Allan in form?: In the last 14 days: 39 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 12.8%. That is in line with the baseline of 10.7% since 2022.
What is David Allan's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 3,218 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.