Rossa Ryan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 1,030 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (677 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 6 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.
The record is strongest at Ffos Las (32.8%, n=64), clear of the rider's 16.8% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (8.7% over 206 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 24.2% (n=677, Fair A/E 1.13), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 9.7% (n=559, Fair A/E 1.18). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 6 from 56 rides in the last 14 days (10.7%, 6.1pts below the 16.8% baseline). Ralph Beckett supplies 19% of the rides and edges the rider's average (19.9% vs 16.8%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (30.5%, n=177). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 9.7% over 517 rides, 7.1pts below the baseline. 57 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2024, £2,484,348). The standout partner of the record: Annaf (IRE) — 5 wins from 12 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Dec–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 16.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Quiet spellBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,827 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,827 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 October 2016 to 26 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Rossa Ryan's strike rate?
- Rossa Ryan has won 861 of 5,135 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 16.8% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Rossa Ryan do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 136 wins from 615 rides (22.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Rossa Ryan ride most for?
- Ralph Beckett, with 979 rides since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 195 (19.9%).
- Is Rossa Ryan in form?
- In the last 14 days: 56 rides, 6 winners, a strike rate of 10.7%. That is below the baseline of 16.8% since 2022.
- What is Rossa Ryan's Fair A/E?
- 1.07, from 5,107 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.