Recency Bias (IRE)
Recency Bias is a gelding by Havana Grey out of an Apadana mare. He has one win from seven starts, the success coming at Class 4 level in a 6f-7f novice at Newcastle on standard going in Mar 2026. All seven runs have been over 6f-7f. He last ran at York in Jun 2026, finishing eighth of 19 in a Class 3 handicap off a mark of 85.
- 1–7Wins / Runs
- 14.3%Strike rate
- 4 (57.1%)Placed
- −4.12£1 level staken=7 at SP
- 0.73Fair A/E n=7 · 0.62 incl. margin
- 85Highest OR
- 77dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 105
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 105A | 98 | 3 · 105 / 101 |
| Good | 2 | 83C | 79 | 1 · — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 7 | 105A | 94 | 5 · 105 / 94 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs
- Held up 2 (50%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 2 (50%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13.3% of 4,524 runs since Jan 2008 (415 horses).
Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | +14 | — |
| Good to Firm | 924 | 144 | 15.6% | +2.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 1,102 | 148 | 13.4% | +0.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 411 | 44 | 10.7% | −2.6 | — |
| Soft | 423 | 54 | 12.8% | −0.5 | — |
| Heavy | 88 | 7 | 8% | −5.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,554 | 200 | 12.9% | −0.4 | 1 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1,361 | 217 | 15.9% | +2.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2,643 | 327 | 12.4% | −0.9 | 1 from 7 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 405 | 42 | 10.4% | −2.9 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 104 | 17 | 16.3% | +3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 0 | 0% | −13.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −13.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Cotai Eye Joe (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 7f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Cotai Eye Joe (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cotai Eye Joe (IRE) | 6 | 1 | 7f | Class 5 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.12 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.88 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.88 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam James | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.12 |
| Jack Nicholls | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Clifford Lee | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.12 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun 26+14d | York | Sky Bet Supporting Macmillan Handicap Settled at the back - pushed along 2f out - drifted left inside the final furlong - stayed on modestly without threatening | 8/19 | nk | 9-1 | 85 | 83C | 87A | Jack Nicholls | 9/1 |
| 30 May 26+29d | Carlisle | Betway Reverence Handicap Ran wide early holding position behind the front group - pressed for effort with 2f left - moved into second inside the final furlong - stayed on to the line but unable to reel in winner - finished second | 2/14 | 1¼ | 8-12 | 84 | 91C | 105A | Jack Nicholls | 7/1 |
| 01 May 26+25d | Newcastle (AW) | Hays Travel: Nobody Offers You More Handicap Settled behind the front-runner - hit the front over 2f out - driven clear inside final furlong - overhauled close home to miss out by a short head | 2/8 | nk | 9-11 | 82 | 105A | 99A | Sam James | 10/11F |
| 06 Apr 26+16d | Wolverhampton (AW) | attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Dwelt and settled at rear - urged into effort with 2f left - driven approaching final furlong - closed steadily late to finish fourth beaten 3.25 lengths | 4/6 | nk | 9-2 | 83 | 101A | 86B | Sam James | 6/4F |
| 21 Mar 26+356d | Newcastle (AW) | Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Novice Stakes Handy behind the pace early - asked for effort to hit front two out and quickly opened daylight - eased along inside final furlong - won comfortably | 1/6 | 9-7 | — | 94A | 96B | Sam James | 15/8 | |
| 30 Mar 25+19d | Doncaster | William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Handy early - hit front 2f out under pressure - driven inside final furlong before overtaken close home - unable to reel in winner | 2/11 | 1½ | 9-7 | — | 75A | 92A | Clifford Lee | 20/1 |
| 11 Mar 25 | Wolverhampton (AW) | 30 In Free Bets With BetUK Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Settled towards the back - urged forward with 2f left - moved into 4th inside the final furlong but couldn't get on terms | 4/8 | 1½ | 9-2 | — | 95A | 87A | Clifford Lee | 12/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Recency Bias (IRE) won?
- Recency Bias (IRE) won 1 of 7 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 14.3%. Placed 4 times in total (57.1% of starts).
- Who trains Recency Bias (IRE)?
- Recency Bias (IRE) is trained by K R Burke, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 13 June 2026.
- Who is Recency Bias (IRE)'s sire?
- Recency Bias (IRE) is by Havana Grey (GB) out of Apadana (IRE), whose sire is Footstepsinthesand.
- What going does Recency Bias (IRE) prefer?
- Recency Bias (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Recency Bias (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 85, from the run on 13 June 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Recency Bias (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Havana Grey (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.3% of 4,524 runs since Jan 2008 (415 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104.
- Who are Recency Bias (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Apadana (IRE), Recency Bias (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Cotai Eye Joe (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Cotai Eye Joe (IRE)). The wins came over 7f. As at Oct 2026.