Royal Bay Cen (IRE)
Royal Bay Cen won the Listed Goffs Irish EBF Polonia Stakes at Cork over under 6f on soft ground in May 2026 off an official rating of 98. The filly has one win and two places from nine turf starts and finished third of 16 in the Class 1 Hailey Equine Irish EBF Brigid's Pastures Stakes at the Curragh in Oct 2026 off an official rating of 100. She has never won over 6f to 7f. Her highest ever mark is 107.
- 1–9Wins / Runs
- 11.1%Strike rate
- 2 (22.2%)Placed
- −0.50£1 level staken=9 at SP
- 0.96Fair A/E n=9 · 0.80 incl. margin
- 107Highest OR
- 21dBetween runs (median)longest 204 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 115
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 2 | 99C | 91 | 2 runs · 99 / 91 |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 115A | 109 | 3 runs · 115 / 109 |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 4 runs · as at 12 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs since May 2026
- Prominent 2 (50%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 1 (25%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (25%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 4,005 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 587 | 92 | 15.7% | +1.4 | — |
| Good | 996 | 140 | 14.1% | −0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 474 | 70 | 14.8% | +0.5 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 629 | 81 | 12.9% | −1.4 | 1 from 3 |
| Heavy | 183 | 27 | 14.8% | +0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,128 | 161 | 14.3% | 0 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 102 | 11 | 10.8% | −3.5 | 1 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,186 | 183 | 15.4% | +1.1 | 0 from 7 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,286 | 165 | 12.8% | −1.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,099 | 165 | 15% | +0.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 273 | 40 | 14.7% | +0.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 54 | 7 | 13% | −1.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Royal Pippen (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m1½f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Belisa De Vega (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal Pippen (IRE) | 39 | 2 | 7f–7½f | — |
| Belisa De Vega (IRE) | 12 | 2 | 1m–1m1½f | Class 6 |
| Lady Razalma (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +5.50 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantilly (FR) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Curragh (IRE) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.50 |
| Deauville (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Saint-Cloud (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.50 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Coen | 4 | 1 | 25% | +4.50 |
| Augustin Madamet | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cristian Demuro | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +4.50 |
| 2025 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Oct 26+7d | Curragh (IRE) | Hailey Equine Irish EBF Brigid's Pastures Stakes (Listed) Settled in the pack early - 7th halfway - moved up to 2nd just inside 2f out and challenged for the lead - passed over 1f out - outpaced inside the final furlong before staying on to finish 3rd | 3/16 | 1¼ | 9-5 | 100 | 99C | 110A | Ben Coen | 7/1 |
| 27 Sep 26+133d | Curragh (IRE) | Qatar Racing And Equestrian Club Renaissance Stakes (Group 3) Sat close to front pack early - 4th at halfway - asked for effort inside final 2f but couldn't quicken - stayed on same gear to finish 4th | 4/7 | nk | 9-2 | 104 | 109A | 95A | Ben Coen | 11/4 |
| 17 May 26+14d | Naas | Goffs Lacken Stakes (Group 3) Sat behind front group early - 4th at halfway - pushed along with 2f left - into 3rd and closing a furlong out - stayed on well for 4th beaten three quarters of a length | 4/8 | hd | 9-2 | 107 | 115A | 96A | Ben Coen | 7/1 |
| 03 May 26+204d | Cork | Goffs Irish EBF Polonia Stakes (Fillies' Listed) Held up towards the back - still 6th at halfway - moved up to hit the front a furlong out - pushed out to score comfortably | 1/8 | 9-2 | 98 | 83A | 128A | Ben Coen | 15/2 | |
| 2025 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Oct 25+21d | Chantilly (FR) | Criterium de Maisons-Laffitte (2yo) (Turf) | 5/5 | 3 | 8-13 | — | — | — | Augustin Madamet | 17/1 |
| 20 Sep 25+48d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix Eclipse - Fonds Europeen de l'Elevage (2yo) (Turf) | 4/8 | hd | 8-10 | — | — | — | Augustin Madamet | 13/1 |
| 03 Aug 25+94d | Deauville (FR) | Sky Sports Racing Prix Six Perfections - Fonds Europeen de l'Elevage (2yo Fillies) (Round | 4/8 | hd | 8-11 | — | — | — | Augustin Madamet | 13/1 |
| 01 May 25+17d | Saint-Cloud (FR) | Prix Royal Hampton (Conditions) (2yo) (Turf) | 4/12 | 1 | 8-8 | — | — | — | Cristian Demuro | 3/1F |
| 14 Apr 25 | Chantilly (FR) | Prix Epinard (Maiden) (2yo) (Turf) | 4/8 | ¾ | 8-5 | — | — | — | Cristian Demuro | 51/10 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Royal Bay Cen won?
- Royal Bay Cen (IRE) won 1 of 9 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 11.1%. Placed 2 times in total (22.2% of starts).
- Who trains Royal Bay Cen?
- Royal Bay Cen (IRE) is trained by J. P. Murtagh, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 4 October 2026.
- Who is Royal Bay Cen's sire?
- Royal Bay Cen (IRE) is by New Bay (GB) out of Royal Razalma (IRE), whose sire is Lope De Vega.
- What going does Royal Bay Cen prefer?
- Royal Bay Cen (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Royal Bay Cen's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 4 October 2026. The highest on record is 107.
- What is Royal Bay Cen's sire's record?
- New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 4,005 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
- Who are Royal Bay Cen's siblings?
- Out of Royal Razalma (IRE), Royal Bay Cen (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Royal Pippen (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Belisa De Vega (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–1m1½f. As at Nov 2026.