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Trainer profile

J. P. Murtagh

2,281 runners in the last 5 seasons · 341 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 6.4% of 513 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.
In form — 9 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
249–2,281
Wins / Runs
10.9%
Strike rate
n=2,281
750 (33%)
Placed
0.96
n=2,277 · 0.79 incl. margin
−711.10
£1 level stake
n=2,281 at SP · −31.2%
£6.69m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 460 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 14% (188 runs, true-first definition). The yard is in form now — 9 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,281 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 30.7% when favourite Ben Coen: 13.3% from 1,362 New recruits: 12.1% Headgear returns: 14.3% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Fairyhouse (22.1%, n=68), Tipperary (23.3%, n=43) and Gowran Park (19.2%, n=193) — all clear of the yard's 10.9% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 14.4% (n=188, Fair A/E 1.15), but debutants struggle at 4% (n=272, Fair A/E 0.72). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 8.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −146.17 to a £1 stake over 337 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 9 winners from 51 runners in the last 14 days (17.6%, 6.7pts above the 10.9% baseline). Ben Coen rides 60% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13.3% vs 10.9%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. 52 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sky Bet Ebor Handicap at York (Aug 2021, £300,000). The stable star of the record: Urban Beat (IRE) — 6 wins from 35 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.9%−2.0
n=337 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −146.17
New recruits · first run for the yard
12.1%+1.2
n=33 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −13.75
Debutants · first career start
4%−6.9
n=272 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −124.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
14.4%+3.5
n=188 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −38.11
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
14.3%+3.4
n=84 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −8.80
When favourite
30.7%
n=283 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −38.22
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.6%−1.3
n=416 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −88.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.8%−3.1
n=306 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −88.23

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Fairyhouse 22.1% vs 10.9% · n=68
At Tipperary 23.3% vs 10.9% · n=43
At Gowran Park 19.2% vs 10.9% · n=193
With N G McCullagh 0% vs 10.9% · n=39
With debutants 4% vs 10.9% · n=272
With Seamie Heffernan 2.9% vs 10.9% · n=70
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 2,280 249 10.9% −710.10
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 856 91 10.6% −266.64
Soft 632 79 12.5% −129.74
Standard (AW) 302 29 9.6% −139.49
Good to Soft 216 23 10.6% −67.61
Heavy 176 18 10.2% −50.70
Good to Firm 99 9 9.1% −56.92

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 483 45 9.3% −164.38
Dundalk (AW) 287 28 9.8% −130.99
Leopardstown 247 23 9.3% −83.51
Naas 203 21 10.3% −19.62
Gowran Park 193 37 19.2% +27.24
Cork 149 12 8.1% −73.34
Navan 120 15 12.5% −28.17
Roscommon 68 10 14.7% −22.83
Fairyhouse 68 15 22.1% +12.44
Galway 60 4 6.7% −33.00
Down Royal 53 6 11.3% −27.75
Limerick 47 5 10.6% −5.96
Tipperary 43 10 23.3% +4.02
Bellewstown 42 7 16.7% −6.00
Killarney 39 2 5.1% −34.15

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 306 24 7.8% −88.23
Class 2 34 1 2.9% −26.00
Class 3 4 1 25% +2.50
Class 6 2 1 50% +1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 327 97 29.7% 1.06 −42.85
2nd–3rd fav 570 82 14.4% 0.88 −117.65
4th–6th fav 680 56 8.2% 1.05 −135.60
7th+ in betting 704 14 2% 0.62 −415.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Final Voyage (IRE)from James Tate 47 3 17 16 Oct 26
Daamberdiplomat (IRE) 32 6 10 17 Oct 25
Blues Emperor (IRE)then William Harvey 28 5 9 17 Oct 25
Rahmi (IRE)from F-H Graffard 25 3 8 26 Sep 26
Pandion Power (IRE) 23 2 6 19 Oct 25
Emerald Harmony (IRE)then Paul Midgley 23 2 10 1 Oct 25
Ob La Di (IRE) 21 2 4 23 Aug 26
Brigid's Cloak (GB) 21 2 6 11 Oct 25
Chicago Fireball (IRE) 20 3 7 11 Oct 25
Mashhoor (GB)from Sir Michael Stoute 20 4 5 14 Sep 25
Pascalia (IRE)then Noel Meade 18 2 6 25 Oct 24
Safecracker (GB)from John M Oxx 18 2 10 8 Aug 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 341 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 52 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard; 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form
9 from 51 17.6% · +6.7pts vs baseline
Last 14 days17.6%
5-season base10.9%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
101831413911101211126
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderBen Coen
60% of all rides
13.3% SR · A/E 1.02
RiderRWSR£1
Ben Coen 1,362 181 13.3% −339.79
Shane B Kelly 224 11 4.9% −114.25
Rory Mulligan 110 16 14.5% +9.50
Jamie Powell 102 5 4.9% −44.00
Patrick McGettigan 79 9 11.4% −24.83
Danny Sheehy 73 8 11% −9.85
Seamie Heffernan 70 2 2.9% −55.50
Yudish Geerdharry 60 3 5% −27.00
N G McCullagh 39 0 0% −39.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
511
Archived wins
52
Pattern / graded wins
£13.1m
Prize money
2025
Best season · 57 wins
Sonnyboyliston (IRE) — Sky Bet Ebor Handicap (Heritage Handicap) York · Aug 2021 · Class 2
£300,000
Sonnyboyliston (IRE) — Comer Group International Irish St. Leger (Group 1) Curragh · Sep 2021 · Group 1
£285,000
Mutual Regard (IRE) — Betfred Ebor (Heritage Handicap) York · Aug 2014 · Class 2
£164,963

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Night Of Thunder (IRE) 15.4% · 14–91
Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,064 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.
Siyouni (FR) 11.1% · 9–81
Progeny have won 13% of 8,320 runs since 2008 (975 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.1% from 453.
Dark Angel (IRE) 13.2% · 10–76
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Lope De Vega (IRE) 4.1% · 3–74
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,150 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.
Acclamation (GB) 6.2% · 4–65
Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.
Kodi Bear (IRE) 11.9% · 7–59
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,926 runs since 2008 (386 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7% from 256.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,587 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,587 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 May 2013 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J. P. Murtagh's strike rate?
J. P. Murtagh has won 249 of 2,281 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J. P. Murtagh do best at?
Tipperary by strike rate: 10 wins from 43 runners (23.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J. P. Murtagh?
Ben Coen, with 1,362 runners since 2022 — 60% of the total. That pairing has won 181 (13.3%).
Is J. P. Murtagh in form?
In the last 14 days: 51 runners, 9 winners, a strike rate of 17.6%. That is above the baseline of 10.9% since 2022.
What is J. P. Murtagh's Fair A/E?
0.96, from 2,277 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).