Soft Risk (FR)
Soft Risk (FR) is a gelding with five wins from eight starts, all over 1m5f – 2m on turf. He has won three of four starts at Ayr and both starts at Kelso, with victories on good to soft, soft and heavy ground. His last win came in the Class 3 Win Your Wedding At Western House Novices' Handicap Chase at Ayr in Dec 2023 off a mark of 124. He last ran at Carlisle in Feb 2026, finishing 7 of 7 off an official rating of 126.
- 5–8Wins / Runs
- 62.5%Strike rate
- 7 (87.5%)Placed
- +1.85£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 1.48Fair A/E n=8 · 1.26 incl. margin
- 126Highest OR
- 250dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 104
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 4 | 135C | 98.5 | 1 · — |
| Soft | 2 | 95C | 92 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 135C | 95 | 1 · — |
Of 8 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.2% of 973 runs since Jan 2008 (148 horses).
Strongest on heavy going: 15.5% from 110. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 5.9% from 287. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 129. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5% from 140.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −10.2 | — |
| Good | 174 | 19 | 10.9% | +0.7 | — |
| Good to Soft | 130 | 16 | 12.3% | +2.1 | 2 from 5 |
| Soft | 271 | 30 | 11.1% | +0.9 | 2 from 2 |
| Heavy | 110 | 17 | 15.5% | +5.3 | 1 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 287 | 17 | 5.9% | −4.3 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 31 | 3 | 9.7% | −0.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 213 | 17 | 8% | −2.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 271 | 23 | 8.5% | −1.7 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 140 | 7 | 5% | −5.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 129 | 23 | 17.8% | +7.6 | 5 from 8 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 163 | 21 | 12.9% | +2.7 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | +7.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | +23.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Beau Balko (FR) (4 wins).
The wins came over 2m–2m4f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Beau Balko (FR)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Balko (FR) | 20 | 4 | 2m–2m4f | Class 3 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 5 | 2 | 40% | −2.10 |
| Soft | 2 | 2 | 100% | +3.73 |
| Heavy | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.22 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.27 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 3 | 100% | +1.12 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr | 4 | 3 | 75% | +3.23 |
| Kelso | 2 | 2 | 100% | +0.62 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Quinlan | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.27 |
| Brian Hughes | 4 | 4 | 100% | +4.12 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2023 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| 2022 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.60 |
| 2021 | 3 | 3 | 100% | +3.72 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 5 | 3 | 60% | −0.88 |
| Chase | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.27 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 26+789d | Carlisle | Racing TV Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled towards the back - improved into contention 3 out - pressed for effort and dropped away nearing the last - finished 7th | 7/7 | 1½ | 11-11 | 126 | 85A | 117A | Sean Quinlan | 13/2 |
| 20 Dec 23+628d | Ayr | Win Your Wedding At Western House Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 1/3 | 11-8 | 124 | 95C | 132C | Sean Quinlan | 8/11F | |
| 01 Apr 22+34d | Ayr | Remus Uomo Handicap Hurdle | 2/7 | 1¼ | 11-6 | 124 | 75A | 133B | Sean Quinlan | 9/4 |
| 26 Feb 22+41d | Newcastle | Break From The Field With Vertem Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 2/5 | 3¼ | 11-2 | 123 | 135C | 136B | Sean Quinlan | EvensF |
| 16 Jan 22+18d | Kelso | William Hill Bookmakers Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/10 | 11-10 | 123 | — | 131A | Brian Hughes | 2/5F | |
| 29 Dec 21+43d | Kelso | Subscribe To Racing TV Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/9 | 11-5 | — | 104A | 145B | Brian Hughes | 2/9F | |
| 16 Nov 21+196d | Ayr | Coral Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/11 | 10-12 | — | 112A | 134A | Brian Hughes | 1/2F | |
| 04 May 21 | Ayr | 100% RacingTV Profits Back To Racing Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 1/8 | 11-0 | — | 89A | 133A | Brian Hughes | 3/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Soft Risk (FR) won?
- Soft Risk (FR) won 5 of 8 archived starts between 2021 and 2026, a strike rate of 62.5%. Placed 7 times in total (87.5% of starts).
- Who trains Soft Risk (FR)?
- Soft Risk (FR) is trained by Nicky Richards, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 16 February 2026.
- Who is Soft Risk (FR)'s sire?
- Soft Risk (FR) is by My Risk (FR) out of Douce Ambiance (FR), whose sire is Kouroun.
- What going does Soft Risk (FR) prefer?
- Soft Risk (FR) has the best record on good to soft going: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Soft Risk (FR)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 126, from the run on 16 February 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Soft Risk (FR)'s sire's record?
- My Risk (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.2% of 973 runs since Jan 2008 (148 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on heavy going: 15.5% from 110. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 5.9% from 287. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 129. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5% from 140.
- Who are Soft Risk (FR)'s siblings?
- Out of Douce Ambiance (FR), Soft Risk (FR) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Beau Balko (FR) (4). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Beau Balko (FR)). The wins came over 2m–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.