What is Nicky Richards's strike rate?

Nicky Richards has won 181 of 995 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 18.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nicky Richards do best at?

Wetherby by strike rate: 11 wins from 39 runners (28.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Nicky Richards?

Danny McMenamin, with 422 runners since 2022 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 86 (20.4%).

Is Nicky Richards in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Nicky Richards's Fair A/E?

1.15, from 994 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Nicky Richards

995 runners in the last 5 seasons · 123 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 13.0% of 261 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Last runner 5 days ago 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

181–995

Wins / Runs

18.2%

Strike rate

n=995

387 (39%)

Placed

1.15

Fair A/E

n=994 · 1.00 incl. margin

−25.96

£1 level stake

n=995 at SP · −2.6%

£2.16m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

23.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 200 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 18% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.15). Debutants are a strength: 22% on first career starts (54 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 995 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Dec Fresh horses: 19.1% 42.1% when favourite Danny McMenamin: 20.4% from 422 Sends off the favourite in 17% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wetherby (28.2%, n=39) and Market Rasen (27.5%, n=40) — all clear of the yard's 18.2% baseline. It is weakest at Musselburgh (11.3% over 53 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants strike at 22.2% (n=54, Fair A/E 1.17). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 16.5% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.48 and +10.83 to a £1 stake over 127 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Danny McMenamin rides 42% of the entries and edges the yard's average (20.4% vs 18.2%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 7.7% over 39 runners, 10.5pts below the baseline. 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase at Ayr (Apr 2019, £122,443). The stable star of the record: Caius Marcius (IRE) — 17 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

19.1%+0.9

n=304 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +59.87

New recruits · first run for the yard

20%+1.8

n=20 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −2.26

Debutants · first career start

22.2%+4.0

n=54 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +15.94

First-time headgear · true-first definition

21.4%+3.2

n=28 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +5.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.3%−11.9

n=16 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −12.00

When favourite

42.1%

n=171 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +10.25

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16.5%−1.7

n=127 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +10.83

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.1%−9.1

n=22 · A/E 1.02 · £1 +14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 28.8% vs 18.2% · n=170

In Class 1 7.7% vs 18.2% · n=39

At Wetherby 28.2% vs 18.2% · n=39

At Market Rasen 27.5% vs 18.2% · n=40

At Perth 12.2% vs 18.2% · n=115

At Musselburgh 11.3% vs 18.2% · n=53

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 659 109 16.5% −28.81

Chase 247 55 22.3% −8.03

NH Flat 80 17 21.3% +19.88

Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 327 51 15.6% −18.33

Good 322 61 18.9% −28.15

Soft 252 51 20.2% +31.37

Heavy 87 15 17.2% −18.47

Good to Firm 5 3 60% +9.62

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 141 23 16.3% +7.06

Perth 115 14 12.2% −15.56

Carlisle 108 23 21.3% +17.70

Kelso 94 21 22.3% −1.72

Hexham 90 21 23.3% −1.51

Newcastle 84 16 19% −25.73

Musselburgh 53 6 11.3% −22.08

Doncaster 51 9 17.6% −8.76

Haydock 41 8 19.5% −4.25

Market Rasen 40 11 27.5% +16.70

Wetherby 39 11 28.2% +15.82

Uttoxeter 27 4 14.8% −12.25

Sedgefield 26 5 19.2% +28.00

Aintree 17 1 5.9% +2.00

Cartmel 14 1 7.1% −10.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 400 78 19.5% +27.22

Class 5 238 43 18.1% −37.37

Class 3 217 44 20.3% +7.86

Class 2 94 13 13.8% −20.67

Class 1 39 3 7.7% +4.00

Class 6 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 198 80 40.4% 1.22 +17.50

2nd–3rd fav 326 61 18.7% 1.04 −28.46

4th–6th fav 297 32 10.8% 1.23 +5.00

7th+ in betting 174 8 4.6% 1.18 −20.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

89% completed · 906 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 247 84.6% 6 3 29 0 0

Hurdle 659 90.6% 7 3 52 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rickety Gate (GB) 29 4 11 6 Jun 26

Parisencore (FR) 28 6 13 14 Oct 26

No Regrets (IRE) 26 4 9 10 Oct 26

Nells Son (GB) 25 5 6 24 Apr 26

Summergrounds (GB) 24 3 12 23 Sep 26

Kajaki (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 24 3 7 27 Aug 25

Famous Bridge (IRE)from Damian Murphy 23 6 9 18 Apr 26

Serious Ego (GER)from Gordon Elliott 23 3 5 18 Mar 25

Marown (IRE) 20 0 5 25 Mar 26

Florida Dreams (IRE)then Sandy Thomson 20 4 10 28 Feb 26

President Scottie (IRE) 19 2 9 24 Apr 26

Caius Marcius (IRE) 18 5 5 26 Sep 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 123 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 52 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Stuart Coltherd (3); 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

101725171116141614272419

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDanny McMenamin

42% of all rides
20.4% SR · A/E 1.21

RiderRWSR£1

Danny McMenamin 422 86 20.4% +4.68

Sean Quinlan 275 48 17.5% −45.57

Brian Hughes 111 19 17.1% −15.98

Conor Rabbitt 94 18 19.1% +24.25

Callum Bewley 48 6 12.5% +15.08

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

832

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£9.00m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 62 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Takingrisks (IRE) — Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Ayr · Apr 2019 · Grade 3

£122,443

Monet's Garden (IRE) — John Smith's Melling Chase (Grade 1) Aintree · Apr 2007 · Class 1

£114,040

Monet's Garden (IRE) — Betfair Ascot Chase (Grade 1) Ascot · Feb 2010 · Class 1

£84,894

Notable horses

Caius Marcius (IRE) Monet's Garden (IRE) Simply Ned (IRE) Noble Alan (GER) Benmadigan (IRE) Takingrisks (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 17.9% · 15–84

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,844 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Trans Island (GB) 18.2% · 12–66

Progeny have won 9% of 4,740 runs since 2008 (295 horses).

Fame And Glory (GB) 16.7% · 10–60

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).

Getaway (GER) 11.4% · 5–44

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,914 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Court Cave (IRE) 17.1% · 7–41

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,928 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 23.7% · 9–38

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,933 runs since 2008 (689 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,938 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,938 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Oct 26 Redcar Pedro The Poet (IRE)J: Mr Harvey James Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 4/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Centurion's Sister (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 1st 13/8F

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Parisencore (FR)J: Danny McMenamin Bobby Renton Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 1st 5/1

10 Oct 26 Hexham No Regrets (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Tynedale Rfc Community Rugby Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 4th 12/1

02 Oct 26 Hexham Ballynoe Boy (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin El Tel's 61 Racecourse's & Done Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 1st 15/8F

23 Sep 26 Redcar Pedro The Poet (IRE)J: Mr Harvey James Aja Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (Riders Had Ridden No More Than 3 Winners At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 6/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Luckie Devil (IRE)J: Ella McGarry Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 7th 18/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Summergrounds (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Lord Mansfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 11/1

08 Sep 26 Catterick Pedro The Poet (IRE)J: Mr Harvey James Racing Again 30th September Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 20/1

07 Sep 26 Perth Sauce Of Life (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Auto Services Perth Sales And Rentals Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 10/1

07 Sep 26 Perth Lowlands (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin www.asp.scot Stellantis Commercial Aftersales Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran PU 9/4F

07 Sep 26 Perth No Regrets (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Auto Services Mercedes Benz Truck Aftersales Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 4/1

04 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Ballynoe Boy (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 3/1J

27 Aug 26 Carlisle Pedro The Poet (IRE)J: Mr Harvey James Paul Kavanagh Memorial AJA Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Jockeys With Three Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 5 · 9f · Good · 8 ran 6th 14/1

20 Aug 26 Stratford Parisencore (FR)J: Danny McMenamin Brian And Sheila Vaughan Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 8/1

15 Aug 26 Market Rasen Ballynoe Boy (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin oddschecker.com Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 7/1

15 Aug 26 Market Rasen Lowlands (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Oddschecker Free Bets Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23f · Good · 6 ran 4th 7/2

15 Aug 26 Market Rasen Centurion's Sister (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Get Best Odds With Oddschecker Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 11/4F

15 Aug 26 Perth Summergrounds (GB)J: Ella McGarry IM Group Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 5/1

18 Jul 26 Cartmel High Dancer (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Cartmel Crystal Cup Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 22f · Good · 13 ran 6th 5/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nicky Richards's strike rate?: Nicky Richards has won 181 of 995 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 18.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nicky Richards do best at?: Wetherby by strike rate: 11 wins from 39 runners (28.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Nicky Richards?: Danny McMenamin, with 422 runners since 2022 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 86 (20.4%).
Is Nicky Richards in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nicky Richards's Fair A/E?: 1.15, from 994 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.