State The Obvious (IRE)
State The Obvious (IRE) is 2 from 14, both wins coming at Class 4 level. Won last time out at Market Rasen (Class 4). Both wins came on good or faster ground (0 from 3 on softer).
- 2–14Wins / Runs
- 14.3%Strike rate
- 7 (50%)Placed
- −8.09£1 level staken=14 at SP
- 0.97Fair A/E n=14 · 0.82 incl. margin
- 103Highest OR
- 50dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 114
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 121A | 85 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 93A | 92.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 121A | 94 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 83A | 59 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 92A | 86 | — |
Of 13 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1) · did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 13 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11% of 20,049 runs since Jan 2008 (1,686 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 24.3% from 136.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 62 | 13 | 21% | +10 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,240 | 171 | 13.8% | +2.8 | 1 from 2 |
| Good | 7,022 | 840 | 12% | +1 | 1 from 9 |
| Good to Soft | 3,503 | 321 | 9.2% | −1.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 5,327 | 545 | 10.2% | −0.8 | — |
| Heavy | 2,759 | 274 | 9.9% | −1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 136 | 33 | 24.3% | +13.3 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −11 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −11 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 62 | 6 | 9.7% | −1.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4,727 | 517 | 10.9% | −0.1 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6,696 | 722 | 10.8% | −0.2 | 1 from 7 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 6,537 | 742 | 11.4% | +0.4 | 1 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 2,018 | 210 | 10.4% | −0.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Better Times (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m6f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Better Times (IRE) | 13 | 1 | 2m6f | — |
| Viva Jez Vegas (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Knightphase (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 1 | 11% | −7.09 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 10 | 2 | 20% | −4.09 |
| Class 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.09 |
| Uttoxeter | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 7 | 1 | 14% | −5.09 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie McLernon | 13 | 2 | 15% | −7.09 |
| Killian Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 12 | 1 | 8% | −10.09 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
| 2017 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −4.09 |
| 2016 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 11 | 1 | 9% | −9.09 |
| Chase | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has State The Obvious (IRE) won?
- State The Obvious (IRE) won 2 of 14 archived starts between 2016 and 2018, a strike rate of 14.3%. Placed 7 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trained State The Obvious (IRE)?
- State The Obvious (IRE) was trained by Jonjo O'Neill on the most recent run on record, at Market Rasen on 22 June 2018.
- Who is State The Obvious (IRE)'s sire?
- State The Obvious (IRE) is by Presenting (GB) out of New Vega (FR), whose sire is Blushing Flame.
- What going does State The Obvious (IRE) prefer?
- State The Obvious (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 9 starts (11.1%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is State The Obvious (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 101, from the run on 22 June 2018. The highest on record is 103.
- What is State The Obvious (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Presenting (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11% of 20,049 runs since Jan 2008 (1,686 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 24.3% from 136.
- Who are State The Obvious (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of New Vega (FR), State The Obvious (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Better Times (IRE) (1). The wins came over 2m6f. As at Oct 2026.