Jonjo O'Neill
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 250 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.00). Debutants are a strength: 16% on first career starts (96 runs).
The record is strongest at Hereford (28.3%, n=53) and Carlisle (25%, n=36) — all clear of the yard's 14.1% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (3.7% over 54 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1.8% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.21). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 15.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.19 and +20.71 to a £1 stake over 136 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Jonjo O'Neill Jr rides 65% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15.6%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2.4% over 85 runners, 11.7pts below the baseline. 43 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the John Smith's Grand National Chase at Aintree (Apr 2010, £521,053). The stable star of the record: Albertas Run (IRE) — 15 wins from 36 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 12,544 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 12,544 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 February 2005 to 30 April 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jonjo O'Neill's strike rate?
- Jonjo O'Neill has won 176 of 1,246 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jonjo O'Neill do best at?
- Hereford by strike rate: 15 wins from 53 runners (28.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Jonjo O'Neill?
- Jonjo O'Neill Jr, with 815 runners since 2022 — 65% of the total. That pairing has won 127 (15.6%).
- What is Jonjo O'Neill's Fair A/E?
- 1.00, from 1,242 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.