What is Richie McLernon's strike rate?

Richie McLernon has won 178 of 1,530 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Richie McLernon do best at?

Cartmel by strike rate: 22 wins from 98 rides (22.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Richie McLernon ride most for?

Neil Mulholland, with 325 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (12.3%).

Is Richie McLernon in form?

In the last 14 days: 23 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 17.4%. That is above the baseline of 11.6% since 2022.

What is Richie McLernon's Fair A/E?

1.16, from 1,525 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Richie McLernon

1,530 rides in the last 5 seasons · 613 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 4 winners last 14 days Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

178–1,530

Wins / Runs

11.6%

Strike rate

n=1,530

390 (26%)

Placed

1.16

Fair A/E

n=1,525 · 1.00 incl. margin

−239.52

£1 level stake

n=1,530 at SP · −15.7%

£2.21m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 310 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.16). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 28% (180 rides). The rider is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,530 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 44.9% when favourite Neil Mulholland: 12.3% from 325 LTO winners: 27.8% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Cartmel (22.4%, n=98) and Newcastle (21.7%, n=46) — all clear of the rider's 11.6% baseline. It is weakest at Chepstow (0% over 40 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 27.8% (n=180, Fair A/E 1.43), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=175, Fair A/E 1.02). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 6.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −236.07 to a £1 stake over 540 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is firing: 4 winners from 23 rides in the last 14 days (17.4%, 5.8pts above the 11.6% baseline). Neil Mulholland supplies 21% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12.3%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well beyond 3m (19.4%, n=139). 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase at Cheltenham (Nov 2013, £91,120). The standout partner of the record: Ever So Much (IRE) — 10 wins from 45 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.5%−5.1

n=540 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −236.07

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

27.8%+16.2

n=180 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +52.59

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.2%−3.4

n=352 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −76.88

When favourite

44.9%

n=127 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +15.36

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.6%−7.0

n=175 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −52.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.1%−4.5

n=28 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +23.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 27.8% vs 11.6% · n=180

At Cartmel 22.4% vs 11.6% · n=98

At Chepstow 0% vs 11.6% · n=40

With Richenda Ford 0% vs 11.6% · n=35

At Newcastle 21.7% vs 11.6% · n=46

Beyond 3m 19.4% vs 11.6% · n=139

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 928 102 11% −163.78

Chase 523 72 13.8% −33.97

NH Flat 75 4 5.3% −37.77

Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 704 87 12.4% +36.53

Good to Soft 412 44 10.7% −138.87

Soft 296 35 11.8% −66.01

Heavy 87 9 10.3% −54.00

Good to Firm 30 3 10% −16.17

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 109 10 9.2% +22.50

Cartmel 98 22 22.4% +26.31

Uttoxeter 97 8 8.2% −27.27

Fontwell 80 16 20% +28.16

Southwell 68 7 10.3% −25.34

Sedgefield 63 7 11.1% −1.57

Warwick 58 6 10.3% −31.37

Market Rasen 54 7 13% +6.75

Ffos Las 49 6 12.2% −25.01

Wincanton 47 6 12.8% −21.88

Newcastle 46 10 21.7% +10.25

Hexham 46 9 19.6% −9.21

Wetherby 44 4 9.1% −10.84

Stratford 43 2 4.7% −27.50

Taunton 40 1 2.5% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 681 77 11.3% −188.13

Class 5 467 48 10.3% −161.47

Class 3 213 38 17.8% +131.58

Class 2 104 12 11.5% −26.50

Class 1 59 3 5.1% +11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 145 63 43.4% 1.34 +21.27

2nd–3rd fav 289 58 20.1% 1.13 −2.62

4th–6th fav 541 45 8.3% 1.11 −11.17

7th+ in betting 555 12 2.2% 0.80 −247.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.5% completed · 1,451 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 523 79% 13 10 87 0 0

Hurdle 928 86.1% 14 3 110 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Arthur's Quay (IRE) 23 5 7 25 May 26

Dr Sanderson (IRE) 23 2 6 23 Sep 24

Lord Accord (IRE) 19 4 10 2 Nov 26

Sainte Doctor (FR) 18 6 9 27 Feb 26

Ilikedwayurthinkin (IRE) 18 5 6 3 Dec 25

Jongleur D'etoiles (FR) 15 4 6 6 Jun 26

Our Laura B (IRE) 15 1 3 13 Apr 26

Groom De Cotte (FR) 14 1 5 3 Jun 26

Mersey Street (IRE) 13 2 5 3 Nov 26

Smart Casual (GB) 13 0 6 8 Dec 25

Jasmin De Grugy (FR) 12 6 7 2 May 26

Horn Cape (FR) 11 2 6 29 Jun 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 613 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

4 from 23 17.4% · +5.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days17.4%

5-season base11.6%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

11161110141311189101011

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNeil Mulholland

21% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.19

TrainerRWSR£1

Neil Mulholland 325 40 12.3% −24.59

Ben Haslam 297 47 15.8% +20.98

Jonjo & A J O'Neill 224 28 12.5% +32.69

Jonjo O'Neill 122 11 9% −62.63

Anthony Honeyball 69 13 18.8% −24.34

Gary Brown 54 5 9.3% −25.25

Richenda Ford 35 0 0% −35.00

Charlie Longsdon 33 4 12.1% −1.17

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

535

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.41m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 50 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Johns Spirit (IRE) — Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Cheltenham · Nov 2013 · Grade 3

£91,120

Johnnywho (IRE) — Trustmarque Ultima Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2026 · Class 1

£84,405

Regal Encore (IRE) — Dave Dawes Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed) Ascot · Dec 2019 · Listed

£56,950

Notable horses

Ever So Much (IRE) Sainte Doctor (FR) Lock's Corner (IRE) Jasmin De Grugy (FR) Arthur's Quay (IRE) Johns Spirit (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 10.9% · 6–55

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,033 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Yeats (IRE) 18.9% · 10–53

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,857 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Flemensfirth (USA) 14.9% · 7–47

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,297 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Shirocco (GER) 4.7% · 2–43

Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,206 runs since 2010 (927 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Jeremy (USA) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.

Mahler (GB) 14.7% · 5–34

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,894 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,807 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,807 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 March 2005 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Nov 26 Warwick Yes Day (IRE)T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill Newton LDP Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 4 ran 1st 4/1

10 Nov 26 Lingfield Castle Quarter (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Careersinracing Step On Track Programme Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 6/1

10 Nov 26 Lingfield Unknown Stranger (IRE)T: Jim & Suzi Best Sharon Knapp Memorial Cup EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 80/1

09 Nov 26 Stratford Klassy Pearl (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Annual Membership For Christmas Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 9/1

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Clondaw Royale (IRE)T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill Dandara Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 18/1

07 Nov 26 Aintree Down Memory Lane (IRE)T: Faye Bramley Play Lucky Stable With William Hill Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 66/1

07 Nov 26 Aintree Walden (FR)T: Tom Lacey Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 11/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Fire Flyer (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Gary Wrights Big 40th Birthday Celebration Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 19f · Good · 8 ran 1st 40/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Max D'airy (FR)T: Neil Mulholland KSR Lighting Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 18/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Snow Is In The Sky (IRE)T: Gary Brown Grahame Church Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 300/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury Youcancountonme (IRE)T: Anthony Honeyball CSP Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 18/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Are You Joking (IRE)T: Charlie Longsdon Floyds Turfcare & Weed Solutions Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran PU 9/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow The Sky At Night (GB)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 40/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Mersey Street (IRE)T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 14/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Uncle Remus (GB)T: Henrietta C Knight Southern Access Platforms Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 4th 7/4F

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Lord Accord (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Kalm Club Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 9/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Scorsese (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Southern Cranes Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 28/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Known Warrior (FR)T: Richard Bandey Southern Contract Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 7th 10/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Could Be You (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Richard Soan Roofing Services Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 4 ran 1st 3/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Half The Battle (IRE)T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill Copybet Follow Us On X Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 16th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 8 runs (won 5, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 7 runs (won 4, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 2) · to 11 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Richie McLernon's strike rate?: Richie McLernon has won 178 of 1,530 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richie McLernon do best at?: Cartmel by strike rate: 22 wins from 98 rides (22.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Richie McLernon ride most for?: Neil Mulholland, with 325 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (12.3%).
Is Richie McLernon in form?: In the last 14 days: 23 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 17.4%. That is above the baseline of 11.6% since 2022.
What is Richie McLernon's Fair A/E?: 1.16, from 1,525 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.