As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won last time outWon at HexhamNew yardRan 15 days ago · 1st of 7Last raced off OR 72
KTB Profile
Stay Hopeful is 1 from 8 with the win at Class 5 level. The gelding won last time out at Hexham in Oct 2026 in the Lee Bazza Jenkinson Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase over 2m5f to 3m on good ground off an official rating of 72. That success was his first for trainer Cian Collins. He has raced five times on good ground for one win and is held up in his races.
Based on 8 archived runs · run-style from 6 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceWins on good or fasterWin at Class 5OR ↓ 8lb off peak
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating72↓ 8lb off peak
7272–80
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed107the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Worcester, 16 Jul 2026
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps 8 figures · best 107B · median 81
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 18 Oct 2025
Good
5
107B
82
5 · 107 / 82
Good to Soft
1
—
—
1 · —
Heavy
1
—
—
1 · —
Soft
1
—
—
1 · —
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 18 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m
3
107B
81
3 · 107 / 81
1m5f – 2m
3
81C
69
3 · 81 / 69
2m1f – 2m4f
2
99C
90.5
2 · 99 / 90.5
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 10 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating105Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Hexham, 2 Oct 2026Official rating 72at the last run, 2 Oct 2026
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Jumps 8 figures · best 105A · median 95
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 18 Oct 2025
Good
5
105A
86
5 · 105 / 86
Good to Soft
1
—
—
1 · —
Heavy
1
—
—
1 · —
Soft
1
—
—
1 · —
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 18 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m
3
105A
97
3 · 105 / 97
1m5f – 2m
3
103C
99
3 · 103 / 99
2m1f – 2m4f
2
86A
80.5
2 · 86 / 80.5
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Progeny in our archive have won 13.2% of 6,925 runs since Jan 2008 (686 horses).
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Good to Firm
49
11
22.4%
+9.2
—
Good
1,859
253
13.6%
+0.4
1 from 5
Good to Soft
1,545
210
13.6%
+0.4
0 from 1
Soft
2,445
314
12.8%
−0.4
0 from 1
Heavy
990
128
12.9%
−0.3
0 from 1
Standard (AW)
37
1
2.7%
−10.5
—
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Under 6f
1
0
0%
−13.2
—
6f – 7f
18
1
5.6%
−7.6
—
1m – 1m1f
26
0
0%
−13.2
—
1m2f – 1m4f
75
9
12%
−1.2
—
1m5f – 2m
2,212
307
13.9%
+0.7
0 from 3
2m1f – 2m4f
2,779
395
14.2%
+1
0 from 2
2m5f – 3m
1,530
170
11.1%
−2.1
1 from 3
Over 3m
284
35
12.3%
−0.9
—
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
J'Espere (IRE) (Oscar)
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Good
5
1
20%
−3.09
Good to Soft
1
0
0%
−1.00
Heavy
1
0
0%
−1.00
Soft
1
0
0%
−1.00
Class
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Class 5
5
1
20%
−3.09
Class 3
2
0
0%
−2.00
Class 4
1
0
0%
−1.00
Course
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Worcester
3
0
0%
−3.00
Uttoxeter
2
0
0%
−2.00
Hexham
1
1
100%
+0.91
Chepstow
1
0
0%
−1.00
Bangor-on-Dee
1
0
0%
−1.00
Distance
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
2m5f – 3m
3
1
33%
−1.09
1m5f – 2m
3
0
0%
−3.00
2m1f – 2m4f
2
0
0%
−2.00
Jockey
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Lee Edwards
7
0
0%
−7.00
Sean Bowen
1
1
100%
+0.91
Headgear
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Cheekpieces
3
0
0%
−3.00
None
3
0
0%
−3.00
Visor
2
1
50%
−0.09
Season
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
2026
5
1
20%
−3.09
2025
3
0
0%
−3.00
Type
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Hurdle
5
0
0%
−5.00
Chase
3
1
33%
−1.09
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Lee "Bazza" Jenkinson Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ranIn mid-pack and wide all the way - closed on the front pair 3 out - up to second on the bend before the last - pushed along after the last - stayed on strongly to hit the front inside the final 110yds - pulled clear to win
Stay Hopeful (IRE) won 1 of 8 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 2 times in total (25% of starts).
Who trains Stay Hopeful (IRE)?
Stay Hopeful (IRE) is trained by Cian Collins, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 2 October 2026.
Who is Stay Hopeful (IRE)'s sire?
Stay Hopeful (IRE) is by Walk In The Park (IRE) out of J'Espere (IRE), whose sire is Oscar.
What going does Stay Hopeful (IRE) prefer?
Stay Hopeful (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Stay Hopeful (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 72, from the run on 2 October 2026. The highest on record is 80.
What is Stay Hopeful (IRE)'s sire's record?
Walk In The Park (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.2% of 6,925 runs since Jan 2008 (686 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Stay Hopeful (IRE)·1–8·SR 12.5%·Won LTO
KTB
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