Sure Cert (IRE)
Sure Cert (IRE) is 1 from 9. Hasn't won since Sep 2020. The win came on good or faster ground (0 from 3 on softer). Last raced off 64, 10lb below the career-high mark.
- 1–9Wins / Runs
- 11.1%Strike rate
- 1 (11.1%)Placed
- +20.00£1 level staken=9 at SP
- 2.23Fair A/E n=9 · 1.79 incl. margin
- 74Highest OR
- 56dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 77
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 98C | 78 | — |
| Soft | 3 | 70C | 66 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 98C | 74 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 83C | 62.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 70C | 69 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 14,898 runs since Jan 2008 (930 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 92 | 14 | 15.2% | +6.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2,477 | 256 | 10.3% | +1.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 3,165 | 264 | 8.3% | −0.8 | 1 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 1,338 | 109 | 8.1% | −1 | — |
| Soft | 1,708 | 135 | 7.9% | −1.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 463 | 49 | 10.6% | +1.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 5,655 | 533 | 9.4% | +0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 4,426 | 506 | 11.4% | +2.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 7,609 | 642 | 8.4% | −0.7 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,035 | 157 | 7.7% | −1.4 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 579 | 44 | 7.6% | −1.5 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 170 | 9 | 5.3% | −3.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 66 | 2 | 3% | −6.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 12 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Sequoiaspirit (IRE) (7 wins).
The wins came over 1m3f–2m6½f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sequoiaspirit (IRE) | 58 | 7 | 1m3f–2m6½f | — |
| Nuit Fauve (FR) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 1 | 25% | +25.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairyhouse | 2 | 1 | 50% | +27.00 |
| Curragh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Naas | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 1 | 20% | +24.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 6 | 1 | 17% | +23.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2020 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +24.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 21+25d | Dundalk (AW) | BetVictor Proud To Support Irish Racing Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 12/13 | 2½ | 9-11 | 64 | 77B | 59A | Luke McAteer | 16/1 |
| 20 Sep 21+102d | Fairyhouse | Treo Eile Apprentice Handicap (45-75) | 9/17 | hd | 9-8 | 66 | 74C | 71A | Luke McAteer | 12/1 |
| 10 Jun 21+38d | Leopardstown | RACE Academy Apprentice Handicap | 10/12 | 6 | 9-8 | 71 | 73A | 58A | Luke McAteer | 9/1 |
| 03 May 21+218d | Curragh | Sentinel Ireland Handicap (45-75) | 11/28 | ½ | 9-10 | 74 | 66C | 70A | Luke McAteer | 50/1 |
| 27 Sep 20+6d | Curragh | extra.ie Apprentice Handicap (45-70) | 11/13 | 9½ | 10-6 | 74 | 42C | 56C | Luke McAteer | 7/2F |
| 21 Sep 20+40d | Fairyhouse | Fairyhouse Apprentice Handicap (45-75) | 1/16 | 9-9 | 68 | 98C | 93A | Luke McAteer | 28/1 | |
| 12 Aug 20+9d | Gowran Park | Irish EBF Supporting Irish Champions Weekend Fillies Maiden (Div 1) | 6/15 | 1 | 9-3 | — | 83C | 64A | Luke McAteer | 33/1 |
| 03 Aug 20+12d | Naas | Nursery Of Champions Maiden | 5/16 | 1¼ | 9-3 | — | 70C | 67A | Luke McAteer | 150/1 |
| 22 Jul 20 | Naas | Naas Fillies Maiden | 7/10 | 5½ | 9-4 | — | 68A | 58A | Luke McAteer | 100/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Sure Cert (IRE) won?
- Sure Cert (IRE) won 1 of 9 archived starts between 2020 and 2021, a strike rate of 11.1%. Placed 1 time in total (11.1% of starts).
- Who trained Sure Cert (IRE)?
- Sure Cert (IRE) was trained by Patrick T Foley on the most recent run on record, at Dundalk (AW) on 15 October 2021.
- Who is Sure Cert (IRE)'s sire?
- Sure Cert (IRE) is by Dandy Man (IRE) out of Handicraft (IRE), whose sire is Halling.
- What going does Sure Cert (IRE) prefer?
- Sure Cert (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Sure Cert (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 64, from the run on 15 October 2021. The highest on record is 74.
- What is Sure Cert (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Dandy Man (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 14,898 runs since Jan 2008 (930 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
- Who are Sure Cert (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Handicraft (IRE), Sure Cert (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Sequoiaspirit (IRE) (7). The wins came over 1m3f–2m6½f. As at Oct 2026.