True Cause (USA)
True Cause (USA) is 2 from 6, including a Listed win. The biggest win we hold: the Stardom Stakes at Goodwood (Sep 2005). Hasn't won since Sep 2005.
- 2–6Wins / Runs
- 33.3%Strike rate
- 3 (50%)Placed
- −0.52£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 1.38Fair A/E n=6 · 1.25 incl. margin
- 105Highest OR
- 74dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 511 runs since Jan 2008 (72 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 3 | 30% | +18.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 125 | 13 | 10.4% | −1.5 | 1 from 2 |
| Good | 143 | 15 | 10.5% | −1.4 | 1 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 62 | 10 | 16.1% | +4.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 74 | 6 | 8.1% | −3.8 | — |
| Heavy | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | +4.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 85 | 12 | 14.1% | +2.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | +17.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 204 | 25 | 12.3% | +0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 163 | 18 | 11% | −0.9 | 2 from 4 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 69 | 8 | 11.6% | −0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 31 | 0 | 0% | −11.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 10 | 0 | 0% | −11.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Count Paris (USA) (2 wins).
The wins came over 6f–7f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Count Paris (USA)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count Paris (USA) | 10 | 2 | 6f–7f | Class 3 |
| Sunset Avenue (USA) | 1 | 1 | 7f | Class 4 |
| Ormindo (USA) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Londolozi (USA) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.27 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.75 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwood | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.75 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 2 | 50% | +1.48 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerrin McEvoy | 4 | 2 | 50% | +1.48 |
| Frankie Dettori | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 4 | 2 | 50% | +1.48 |
| Visor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2005 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +1.48 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 · 2 runs | |||||||||
| 05 Aug 06+23d | Goodwood | Vodafone Thoroughbred Stakes (Listed) | 5/8 | hd | 9-0 | 103 | 76C | Frankie Dettori | 6/1 |
| 13 Jul 06+291d | Epsom Downs | Friends Of Jonathan Cooper Conditions Stakes | 2/4 | ½ | 8-3 | 105 | 67C | Kerrin McEvoy | 4/1 |
| 2005 · 4 runs | |||||||||
| 25 Sep 05+15d | Newmarket | Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) | 5/8 | nk | 8-11 | 100 | 91C | Frankie Dettori | 10/3 |
| 10 Sep 05+26d | Goodwood | Stardom Stakes (Listed) | 1/8 | 8-12 | — | 96C | Kerrin McEvoy | 11/4F | |
| 15 Aug 05+16d | Nottingham | E.B.F.Colwick Park Novice Stakes | 1/4 | 8-12 | — | 74C | Kerrin McEvoy | 8/11F | |
| 30 Jul 05 | Goodwood | Vodafone E.B.F. Maiden Stakes | 2/12 | 1½ | 8-11 | — | 82C | Kerrin McEvoy | 9/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has True Cause won?
- True Cause (USA) won 2 of 6 archived starts between 2005 and 2006, a strike rate of 33.3%. Placed 3 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trained True Cause?
- True Cause (USA) was trained by Saeed bin Suroor on the most recent run on record, at Goodwood on 5 August 2006.
- Who is True Cause's sire?
- True Cause (USA) is by Storm Cat (USA) out of Dearly (GB), whose sire is Rahy.
- What going does True Cause prefer?
- True Cause (USA) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is True Cause's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 103, from the run on 5 August 2006. The highest on record is 105.
- What is True Cause's sire's record?
- Storm Cat (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 511 runs since Jan 2008 (72 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are True Cause's siblings?
- Out of Dearly (GB), True Cause (USA) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Count Paris (USA) (2). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Count Paris (USA)). The wins came over 6f–7f. As at Oct 2026.