What is Saeed bin Suroor's strike rate?

Saeed bin Suroor has won 109 of 530 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 20.6% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Saeed bin Suroor do best at?

Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 12 wins from 49 runners (24.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Saeed bin Suroor?

Oisin Murphy, with 68 runners since 2022 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (39.7%).

Is Saeed bin Suroor in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Saeed bin Suroor's Fair A/E?

1.14, from 527 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Saeed bin Suroor

530 runners in the last 5 seasons · 120 individual horses

As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

109–530

Wins / Runs

20.6%

Strike rate

n=530

225 (43%)

Placed

1.14

Fair A/E

n=527 · 0.98 incl. margin

−10.22

£1 level stake

n=530 at SP · −1.9%

£2.85m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

19.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 21% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.14).

Deterministic profile computed from 530 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Fresh horses: 20.9% 41.9% when favourite Oisin Murphy: 39.7% from 68 Sends off the favourite in 24% of races

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 14.3% (n=49, Fair A/E 0.94). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 20.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.17 and +20.63 to a £1 stake over 134 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Oisin Murphy rides 13% of the entries and beats the yard's average (39.7% vs 20.6%, A/E 1.52) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 6f – 7f (26.1%, n=199). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 4.9% over 41 runners, 15.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.76 across 151 runners (12.6% strike, −16.27 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 234 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qipco Champion Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2013, £737,230). The stable star of the record: Passion And Glory (IRE) — 7 wins from 18 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 20.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

20.9%+0.3

n=134 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +20.63

Debutants · first career start

18.2%−2.4

n=66 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −12.13

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.3%−6.3

n=49 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −13.58

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.5%−8.1

n=24 · A/E 0.86 · £1 +10.20

When favourite

41.9%

n=129 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +11.46

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

18.2%−2.4

n=44 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −14.73

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.4%−4.2

n=61 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +30.37

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 20.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Oisin Murphy 39.7% vs 20.6% · n=68

On Good to Soft going 4.9% vs 20.6% · n=41

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 12.6% vs 20.6% · n=151

Over 6f – 7f 26.1% vs 20.6% · n=199

On last-time-out winners 26.4% vs 20.6% · n=106

With first-time headgear 14.3% vs 20.6% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 195 46 23.6% −30.08

Good to Firm 147 26 17.7% +9.51

Good 118 26 22% +32.71

Good to Soft 41 2 4.9% −34.25

Soft 17 5 29.4% +11.95

Heavy 12 4 33.3% −0.06

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 63 12 19% −13.71

Chelmsford City (AW) 49 12 24.5% +4.25

Ascot 44 9 20.5% +24.25

York 28 4 14.3% −1.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 28 7 25% −11.38

Newmarket 22 4 18.2% +8.25

Goodwood 21 3 14.3% −13.69

Newmarket 21 5 23.8% −2.25

Leicester 20 4 20% −1.26

Southwell (AW) 19 3 15.8% −11.84

Lingfield (AW) 18 4 22.2% −4.84

Newbury 18 3 16.7% +12.00

Yarmouth 18 5 27.8% +5.20

Newcastle (AW) 18 8 44.4% +7.44

Sandown 16 4 25% +26.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 155 37 23.9% −11.97

Class 2 107 21 19.6% +24.77

Class 5 104 21 20.2% −32.13

Class 3 102 20 19.6% −20.26

Class 1 61 10 16.4% +30.37

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 142 57 40.1% 1.17 +10.96

2nd–3rd fav 168 36 21.4% 1.16 +0.32

4th–6th fav 153 14 9.2% 1.06 +1.50

7th+ in betting 67 2 3% 0.76 −23.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

First View (IRE) 13 2 4 1 Oct 25

Dubai Future (GB) 12 2 4 5 Sep 26

Global Heat (IRE) 12 0 1 26 Jul 24

Open Mind (GB) 12 2 6 14 Sep 23

Desert Shadow (GB) 11 2 8 3 Oct 26

Shining Blue (IRE) 11 4 5 26 Aug 23

Passion And Glory (IRE) 10 2 2 17 Jun 25

Arctic Mountain (IRE) 9 1 7 18 Sep 24

Al Khazneh (IRE) 9 1 4 16 Oct 23

Chief of Staff (GB) 9 1 4 20 Oct 22

Midnight Thunder (GB) 8 2 4 11 Oct 26

Dubai Treasure (IRE) 8 4 6 11 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 120 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 60 had their first archived run here.

7 have since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

···182422201718270·

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderOisin Murphy

13% of all rides
39.7% SR · A/E 1.52

RiderRWSR£1

Oisin Murphy 68 27 39.7% +34.78

Louis Steward 33 7 21.2% +12.87

Daniel Tudhope 33 9 27.3% +10.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,502

Archived wins

234

Pattern / graded wins

£33.4m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 156 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Farhh (GB) — Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2013 · Group 1

£737,230

Shamardal (USA) — Prix du Jockey Club (Colts & Fillies) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2005 · Group 1

£607,872

Mastery (GB) — Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (Group 1) Doncaster · Sep 2009 · Group 1

£306,586

Notable horses

Passion And Glory (IRE) Echo Of Light (GB) Rio de La Plata (USA) Prince Siegfried (FR) Hidden Gold (IRE) Dubai One (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dubawi (IRE) 18.7% · 14–75

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,943 runs since 2008 (1,524 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 26.7% · 16–60

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,028 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Dark Angel (IRE) 17.6% · 6–34

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,887 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Iffraaj (GB) 19.2% · 5–26

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,958 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses).

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 32% · 8–25

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,825 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Shamardal (USA) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,411 runs since 2008 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,287. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,848 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,848 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 April 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Wesam (IRE)J: Sam James bettingsites.co.uk Find Your New Bookmaker Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 11/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Meeting Point (GB)J: Sean Kirrane bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 66/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Al Sham (GB)J: Jason Hart bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 5/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Stormy Winter (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 6/5F

17 Oct 26 Ascot Victory Gold (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Qatar Racing British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 10th 28/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Soft Landing (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 13/8

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Sword Maker (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Inkerman London Handicap StakesClass 2 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 17/2

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Midnight Thunder (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 5/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Light Snowfall (GB)J: William Carson Brooklyn Ground Works Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 11/2

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Arabian Summer (IRE)J: Christian Howarth Brooklyn Ground Works Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 5/4F

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Meeting Point (GB)J: Tom Marquand bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 20/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Al Sham (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Unibet More Extra Place Races EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 4th 9/2

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Cloud Forest (GB)J: William Carson Bettingsites.co.uk Free Bet Offers Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 1/1F

03 Oct 26 Ascot Desert Shadow (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Betmgm Challenge Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 7th 20/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Soft Landing (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson attheraces.com/marketmovers Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 13/2

26 Sep 26 Newmarket Sword Maker (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Hunt Family Fund Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 5th 7/2J

21 Sep 26 Leicester Wesam (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 11th 10/1

17 Sep 26 Yarmouth Midnight Thunder (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Boodles Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 8th 5/6F

05 Sep 26 Thirsk Midnight Thunder (GB)J: Pierre-Louis Jamin Rudding Park Harrogate Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 13/2

05 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Dubai Future (GB)J: Jack Mitchell William Hill September Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 5 ran 5th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Saeed bin Suroor's strike rate?: Saeed bin Suroor has won 109 of 530 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 20.6% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Saeed bin Suroor do best at?: Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 12 wins from 49 runners (24.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Saeed bin Suroor?: Oisin Murphy, with 68 runners since 2022 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (39.7%).
Is Saeed bin Suroor in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Saeed bin Suroor's Fair A/E?: 1.14, from 527 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.