Warm Waters (IRE)
Warm Waters is a gelding by Too Darn Hot out of an Oasis Dream mare who has failed to win in five starts on the all-weather. He showed his best effort when third of eight at Wolverhampton in Feb 2026. All five runs have come on standard going, with three over 6f to 7f and two over 1m to 1m1f. He finished eighth of eight at Wolverhampton in Mar 2026 when last raced off a career-high mark of 47.
- 0–5Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 1 (20%)Placed
- −5.00£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=5 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 47Highest OR
- 14dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 79
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 79A | 49 | 5 · 79 / 49 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 79A | 66 | 3 · 79 / 66 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 41C | 20 | 2 · 41 / 20 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14.1% of 2,310 runs since Jan 2008 (319 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | +19.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 469 | 71 | 15.1% | +1 | — |
| Good | 622 | 82 | 13.2% | −0.9 | — |
| Good to Soft | 257 | 37 | 14.4% | +0.3 | — |
| Soft | 229 | 29 | 12.7% | −1.4 | — |
| Heavy | 60 | 11 | 18.3% | +4.2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 663 | 93 | 14% | −0.1 | 0 from 5 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 117 | 11 | 9.4% | −4.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 912 | 132 | 14.5% | +0.4 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 695 | 104 | 15% | +0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 473 | 66 | 14% | −0.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 91 | 13 | 14.3% | +0.2 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 22 | 0 | 0% | −14.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
8 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Saint Lawrence (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 5f–7f; the highest grade won is Group 2 (Daahyeh (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Lawrence (IRE) | 44 | 3 | 6f–7f | Listed |
| Daahyeh (GB) | 6 | 3 | 6f–7f | Group 2 |
| Aspirant (GB) | 23 | 3 | 5f–7f | Class 5 |
| Russet Gold (GB) | 30 | 2 | 5f | Class 4 |
| Lord Paramount (GB) | 7 | 1 | 7f | Class 5 |
| Brandywine Falls (GB) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Wealth Of Words (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Seizieme (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hood | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| None | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar 26+12d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Daily Profit Boosts At betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Div 2) Handy early - lost touch approaching 3f out and slipped to the back - well beaten and allowed to coast home last | 8/8 | 38 | 9-1 | 47 | -1C | 30C | J F Egan | 10/1 |
| 12 Mar 26+17d | Chelmsford City (AW) | tigerbet.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap settled in the pack - urged forward with over 2f left - made late progress inside final furlong - faded quickly to finish sixth | 6/11 | hd | 9-1 | 47 | 66A | 49A | J F Egan | 12/1 |
| 23 Feb 26+11d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Faltered at the break - sat third early - urged forward approaching 3f out - unable to land a blow on the leading pair and stayed on without gaining ground | 3/8 | 11 | 8-13 | — | 79A | 49A | J F Egan | 80/1 |
| 12 Feb 26+15d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Sweetheart Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Handy early - driven approaching final furlong-and-a-half then lost place - dropped away late to finish seventh | 7/10 | 2½ | 9-7 | — | 49A | 55A | J F Egan | 200/1 |
| 28 Jan 26 | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Settled in the pack - pushed along with 2f left - dropped away inside final furlong - finished 11th | 11/12 | 5 | 8-10 | — | 41C | 48C | J F Egan | 125/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Warm Waters (IRE) won?
- Warm Waters (IRE) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts in 2026. Placed 1 time in total (20% of starts).
- Who trains Warm Waters (IRE)?
- Warm Waters (IRE) is trained by Dean Ivory, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 24 March 2026.
- Who is Warm Waters (IRE)'s sire?
- Warm Waters (IRE) is by Too Darn Hot (GB) out of Affluent (GB), whose sire is Oasis Dream.
- What is Warm Waters (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 47, from the run on 24 March 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Warm Waters (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Too Darn Hot (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.1% of 2,310 runs since Jan 2008 (319 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.
- Who are Warm Waters (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Affluent (GB), Warm Waters (IRE) has 8 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Saint Lawrence (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Group 2 (Daahyeh (GB)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Oct 2026.