John Egan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 210 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (91 rides).
The record is strongest at Yarmouth (14.3%, n=49), clear of the rider's 8.2% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.3% (n=91, Fair A/E 1.11), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=108, Fair A/E 1.23). Dean Ivory supplies 7% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (3.8% vs 8.2%, A/E 0.68). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (17%, n=47) and over 1m5f – 2m (15.3%, n=59). 32 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Darley July Cup at Newmarket (Jul 2006, £204,408). The standout partner of the record: Gracious John (IRE) — 7 wins from 19 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Dec.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 8,123 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 8,123 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 5 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 21 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 26 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is John Egan's strike rate?
- John Egan has won 86 of 1,054 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does John Egan do best at?
- Yarmouth by strike rate: 7 wins from 49 rides (14.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does John Egan ride most for?
- Dean Ivory, with 79 rides since 2022 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (3.8%).
- Is John Egan in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 8 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is John Egan's Fair A/E?
- 1.02, from 1,047 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.