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Jockey profile

Adrian O'Shea

153 rides in the lifetime window · 26 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2024 97% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–153
Wins / Runs
1.3%
Strike rate
n=153
14 (9%)
Placed
0.44
Fair A/E
n=153 · 0.36 incl. margin
−140.50
£1 level stake
n=153 at SP · −91.8%
£49,106
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.44). Rides mostly for Mrs A M O'Shea — 100% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 153 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Mrs A M O'Shea: 1.3% from 153 Claiming: 1.4%
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 1.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.46 and −130.50 to a £1 stake over 143 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mrs A M O'Shea supplies 100% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (1.3%, A/E 0.44). The market has consistently overbet the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.58 across 59 rides (1.7% strike, −54.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−1.3
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−1.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−1.3
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
1.4%+0.1
n=143 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −130.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−1.3
n=55 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −55.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 3.6% vs 1.3% · n=56
Over 6f – 7f 1.7% vs 1.3% · n=59 · A/E 0.58
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 148 2 1.4% −135.50
Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 46 0 0% −46.00
Soft 27 1 3.7% −22.50
Heavy 24 1 4.2% −16.00
Good to Firm 23 0 0% −23.00
Standard (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 30 0 0% −30.00
Dundalk (AW) 21 0 0% −21.00
Gowran Park 18 0 0% −18.00
Tipperary 9 1 11.1% −1.00
Cork 9 0 0% −9.00
Navan 9 0 0% −9.00
Leopardstown 9 0 0% −9.00
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Down Royal 5 0 0% −5.00
Galway 4 0 0% −4.00
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Bellewstown 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 11 0 0% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 8 1 12.5% 0.89 −3.50
4th–6th fav 25 1 4% 0.96 −17.00
7th+ in betting 120 0 0% 0.00 −120.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Contrapposto (IRE) 18 0 2 19 Sep 20
Fainleog (IRE) 14 1 3 27 Sep 16
Writewhenyouland (IRE) 11 0 0 1 Sep 21
Hittin'the Skids (IRE) 11 0 0 14 Oct 12
Surviving Murmansk (IRE) 10 0 0 5 Jul 23
My Lucky Penny (IRE) 10 0 0 10 Sep 20
Diamondsinthesand (IRE) 9 0 2 6 Jan 23
Ustinov (GB) 7 0 0 28 Oct 19
Secret Secret (IRE) 7 0 0 9 Aug 19
Dudes And Diamonds (GB) 7 0 2 17 Sep 14
Diamond Avalanche (IRE) 6 0 1 10 Oct 15
Mc Diamond (IRE) 5 0 2 31 Oct 14
All 26 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00·060050000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardMrs A M O'Shea
100% of all rides
1.3% SR · A/E 0.44
TrainerRWSR£1
Mrs A M O'Shea 153 2 1.3% −140.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
3
Archived wins
£67,847
Prize money
2016
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Invincible Diamond (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Median Auction Maiden Sligo · Aug 2014
£8,970
Dontbebrushedaside (IRE) — Rubys Double (C&G) Maiden Hurdle Punchestown · Jun 2005
£8,292
Fainleog (IRE) — Book Online At TipperaryRaces.ie Maiden Tipperary · May 2016
£6,765
Notable horses
Fainleog (IRE) Invincible Diamond (IRE) Dontbebrushedaside (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cacique (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 11.4% of 1,500 runs since 2010 (107 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 17% from 135. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.9% from 173.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,567 runs since 2008 (871 horses).
Fruits Of Love (USA) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,778 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 944. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 182. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4% from 150.
Prince Of Lir (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,388 runs since 2020 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.
Fulbright (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 6.7% of 629 runs since 2019 (52 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 9.8% from 215.
The Carbon Unit (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.2% of 683 runs since 2013 (44 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 286 · newest first

The latest 50 of 286 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 2 October 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Oct 24 Bellewstown Easyshineadiamond (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Seamus Murphy Memorial Optional Claiming Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 9th 150/1
23 Sep 23 Curragh Easyshineadiamond (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Bermingham Cameras Photo Finish Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 11th 150/1
05 Jul 23 Tipperary Surviving Murmansk (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)12.5f · Good · 14 ran 8th 66/1
14 Jun 23 Limerick Surviving Murmansk (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea SP Or Better Guaranteed With Tote Claiming Race11.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 33/1
04 Jun 23 Listowel Surviving Murmansk (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Lane Family Memorial Handicap16f · Good · 14 ran 11th 125/1
23 May 23 Gowran Park Surviving Murmansk (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Racing Again June 5th Handicap (47-70)13.5f · Good · 15 ran 8th 80/1
07 May 23 Leopardstown Surviving Murmansk (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea John R Fitzpatrick Agricultural Contractor Maiden7f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 10th 150/1
16 Apr 23 Curragh Surviving Murmansk (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Holden Plant Rentals Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden6f · Heavy · 18 ran 6th 150/1
18 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Surviving Murmansk (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Crowne Plaza Dundalk Race & Stay Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)6f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 25/1
06 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Diamondsinthesand (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Join Us On Instagram At dundalk_stadium Maiden6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 5/1
02 Dec 22 Dundalk (AW) Diamondsinthesand (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Irishinjuredjockeys.com Maiden6f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 15/2
06 Nov 22 Naas Diamondsinthesand (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Sobac Healthy Soil soil.ie Maiden6f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 28/1
19 Oct 22 Navan Diamondsinthesand (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea NavanRacecourse.ie Maiden5f · Heavy · 17 ran 10th 28/1
31 Aug 22 Gowran Park Surviving Murmansk (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Racing Again September 17th Maiden14f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 200/1
05 Aug 22 Tipperary Surviving Murmansk (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea www.tipperaryraces.ie (C & G) Maiden7.5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 200/1
05 Aug 22 Tipperary Diamondsinthesand (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Good · 12 ran 9th 33/1
23 Jul 22 Gowran Park Surviving Murmansk (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Tote Always SP Or Better At Gowran Park Race9.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 150/1
22 Jul 22 Cork Diamondsinthesand (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Sign Up To Our Newsletter Maiden6f · Good · 11 ran 7th 20/1
01 Jul 22 Bellewstown Diamondsinthesand (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea Phil & Patsy Kierans Memorial Maiden5f · Yielding · 15 ran 6th 12/1
05 Nov 21 Dundalk (AW) Diamondsinthesand (IRE)T: Mrs A M O'Shea BetVictor Proud To Support Irish Racing Maiden5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 10/3

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adrian O'Shea's strike rate?
Adrian O'Shea has won 2 of 153 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 1.3% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Adrian O'Shea do best at?
Curragh by strike rate: 0 wins from 30 rides (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Adrian O'Shea ride most for?
Mrs A M O'Shea, with 153 rides since 2008 — 100% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (1.3%).
What is Adrian O'Shea's Fair A/E?
0.44, from 153 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).