What is Alistair Findlay's strike rate?

Alistair Findlay has won 15 of 265 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alistair Findlay do best at?

Kelso by strike rate: 4 wins from 51 rides (7.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Alistair Findlay ride most for?

Jane Walton, with 150 rides since 2008 — 57% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (4.7%).

What is Alistair Findlay's Fair A/E?

0.79, from 265 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Alistair Findlay

265 rides in the lifetime window · 52 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Mar 2015 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

15–265

Wins / Runs

5.7%

Strike rate

n=265

49 (19%)

Placed

0.79

Fair A/E

n=265 · 0.69 incl. margin

−162.87

£1 level stake

n=265 at SP · −61.5%

£102k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 8% off breaks of two months or more (86 runs). Rode mostly for Jane Walton — 57% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 265 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 8.1% Jane Walton: 4.7% from 150 Claiming: 5.8%

The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 5.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −154.87 to a £1 stake over 257 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Jane Walton supplied 57% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.7%, A/E 0.82). The rider also read well in Class 3 (12.9%, n=31) and in Chase races (9.3%, n=97). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.62 across 138 rides (3.6% strike, −99.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.9%−1.8

n=51 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −31.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

7.1%+1.4

n=14 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −11.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.1%+2.4

n=86 · A/E 1.90 · £1 −19.25

When favourite

25%

n=12 · A/E 0.96 · £1 +0.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.8%+0.1

n=257 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −154.87

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.9%−2.8

n=68 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −38.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.7

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 3 12.9% vs 5.7% · n=31

In Chase races 9.3% vs 5.7% · n=97

On Soft going 8.8% vs 5.7% · n=57

In Hurdle races 3.6% vs 5.7% · n=138

Beyond 3m 8.6% vs 5.7% · n=35

Off a 61-180-day break 8.3% vs 5.7% · n=48

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 138 5 3.6% −99.75

Chase 97 9 9.3% −48.12

NH Flat 30 1 3.3% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 105 4 3.8% −75.75

Good to Soft 63 3 4.8% −33.50

Soft 57 5 8.8% −25.87

Heavy 22 3 13.6% −9.75

Good to Firm 18 0 0% −18.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hexham 58 3 5.2% −45.87

Kelso 51 4 7.8% −18.75

Newcastle 31 1 3.2% −16.00

Ayr 22 0 0% −22.00

Sedgefield 21 2 9.5% −10.00

Carlisle 16 1 6.3% −12.00

Perth 15 1 6.7% −2.00

Catterick 12 0 0% −12.00

Cartmel 10 2 20% −1.75

Wetherby 10 1 10% −3.50

Musselburgh 8 0 0% −8.00

Aintree 3 0 0% −3.00

Market Rasen 3 0 0% −3.00

Cheltenham 2 0 0% −2.00

Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 101 4 4% −64.25

Class 5 87 5 5.7% −62.37

Class 6 34 2 5.9% −13.50

Class 3 31 4 12.9% −10.75

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 14 4 28.6% 1.11 +0.88

2nd–3rd fav 36 6 16.7% 1.01 −6.25

4th–6th fav 85 4 4.7% 0.65 −42.50

7th+ in betting 130 1 0.8% 0.31 −115.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

77% completed · 235 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 97 69.1% 2 6 21 1 0

Hurdle 138 82.6% 0 1 23 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Heez A Steel (IRE) 32 4 12 20 Jan 15

Charming Knight (IRE) 22 0 3 4 May 13

Master Murphy (IRE) 21 2 7 12 Mar 15

Have You Had Yours (IRE) 18 3 4 14 Mar 15

Ice Image (IRE) 18 1 3 23 May 12

Sunarri (IRE) 14 1 3 2 May 13

I Witness (IRE) 12 0 0 25 Mar 12

Foxes Delight (IRE) 8 0 1 22 Nov 11

Westend Theatre (IRE) 7 0 0 17 Mar 15

Wildest Dreams (IRE) 7 0 0 12 Mar 15

Little Wizard (IRE) 7 0 2 31 Jan 11

Reel Charmer (GB) 7 2 2 19 Apr 10

All 52 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0488500400680

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJane Walton

57% of all rides
4.7% SR · A/E 0.82

TrainerRWSR£1

Jane Walton 150 7 4.7% −96.37

George Charlton 93 7 7.5% −50.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£103k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 5 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Reel Charmer (GB) — Chas Kendall Handicap Chase Cartmel · Aug 2009 · Class 3

£7,828

Reel Charmer (GB) — Bedmax Handicap Chase (For The Wilfred & Patricia Crawford Memorial Trophy) Kelso · Apr 2010 · Class 3

£6,505

Heez A Steel (IRE) — More Live Football Betting At Totesport.com Novices' Chase Carlisle · Apr 2010 · Class 3

£6,505

Notable horses

Heez A Steel (IRE) Have You Had Yours (IRE) Master Murphy (IRE) Reel Charmer (GB) Ice Image (IRE) Sunarri (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Naheez (USA) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 7% of 457 runs since 2008 (55 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Mohaajir (USA) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 5.1% of 374 runs since 2008 (26 horses).

Darnay (GB) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 4.1% of 666 runs since 2008 (97 horses).

Whitmore's Conn (USA) 16.7% · 3–18

Progeny have won 9% of 1,102 runs since 2008 (78 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.8% from 329.

Sonus (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 7.7% of 469 runs since 2008 (54 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11% from 109.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 281 · newest first

The latest 50 of 281 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 April 2005 to 17 March 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Mar 15 Wetherby Westend Theatre (IRE)T: Jane Walton Racing UK 1 Price 3 Devices Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 12/1

14 Mar 15 Newcastle Have You Had Yours (IRE)T: Jane Walton Mtrec For All Your Agency Labour Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 10/3

12 Mar 15 Hexham Wildest Dreams (IRE)T: Jane Walton Come Again 'national Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 40/1

12 Mar 15 Hexham Master Murphy (IRE)T: Jane Walton Minster Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 14th 33/1

23 Feb 15 Ayr Westend Theatre (IRE)T: Jane Walton BetVictor Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 12/1

23 Feb 15 Ayr Wildest Dreams (IRE)T: Jane Walton Download The BetVictor App Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 25/1

20 Jan 15 Wetherby Westend Theatre (IRE)T: Jane Walton Bramham Hall For Conferences & Events Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 33/1

20 Jan 15 Wetherby Heez A Steel (IRE)T: Jane Walton wetherbyracing.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 20/1

03 Jan 15 Newcastle Master Murphy (IRE)T: Jane Walton DSE Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 33/1

02 Jan 15 Ayr Have You Had Yours (IRE)T: Jane Walton Play Casino At Betvictor.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 11/1

02 Jan 15 Ayr Heez A Steel (IRE)T: Jane Walton Back Of The Net At Betvictor.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 9/1

20 Dec 14 Newcastle Reverse The Charge (IRE)T: Jane Walton Catalyst4soccer & Legends World Cup Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 80/1

07 Dec 14 Kelso Neville Woods (GB)T: J L Gledson Kevin Oliver Christmas Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 11/1

07 Dec 14 Kelso Alwaysrecommended (IRE)T: Jane Walton Kenny Lynn Celebration Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 200/1

15 Nov 14 Wetherby Have You Had Yours (IRE)T: Jane Walton 100% Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 3 ran 2nd EvensF

11 Nov 14 Sedgefield Wildest Dreams (IRE)T: Jane Walton Newcastle Flooring Novices' Hurdle (Betfred Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 80/1

08 Nov 14 Kelso Alwaysrecommended (IRE)T: Jane Walton George Harrow Memorial 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 200/1

07 Nov 14 Hexham Reverse The Charge (IRE)T: Jane Walton Lucky 7th 'national Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 66/1

27 Oct 14 Ayr Have You Had Yours (IRE)T: Jane Walton Download The BetVictor Instabet App Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 14/1

27 Oct 14 Ayr Reverse The Charge (IRE)T: Jane Walton BetVictor.com Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alistair Findlay's strike rate?: Alistair Findlay has won 15 of 265 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alistair Findlay do best at?: Kelso by strike rate: 4 wins from 51 rides (7.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Alistair Findlay ride most for?: Jane Walton, with 150 rides since 2008 — 57% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (4.7%).
What is Alistair Findlay's Fair A/E?: 0.79, from 265 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.