What is Emilien Manceau's strike rate?

Emilien Manceau has won 5 of 35 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

What is Emilien Manceau's Fair A/E?

2.04, from 32 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Emilien Manceau

35 rides in the last 5 seasons · 24 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 19 days ago 94% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2022

5–35

Wins / Runs

14.3%

Strike rate

n=35

7 (20%)

Placed

2.04

Fair A/E

n=32 · 1.70 incl. margin

−7.20

£1 level stake

n=33 at SP · −21.8%

£108k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.7%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

20.8%+6.5

n=24 · A/E 2.82 · £1 +3.80

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−14.3

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

23.1%+8.8

n=13 · A/E 4.28 · £1 +10.60

When favourite

100%

n=1 · A/E 2.54 · £1 +1.20

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

12.5%−1.8

n=24 · A/E 1.72 · £1 −4.10

Big fields · 14+ runners

11.1%−3.2

n=9 · A/E 3.11 · £1 +1.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

25%+10.7

n=4 · A/E 4.89 · £1 +1.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 19 2 10.5% −1.10

Chase 13 2 15.4% −8.80

Flat 2 1 50% +3.70

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 18 2 11.1% −4.70

Heavy 12 1 8.3% −4.20

Good to Soft 3 1 33.3% +2.70

Good to Firm 1 1 100% —

Good 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 15 1 6.7% −7.20

Compiegne (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Dieppe (FR) 2 1 50% +0.20

Craon (FR) 2 1 50% +3.70

Cholet (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Maure-De-Bretagne (FR) 1 1 100% —

Machecoul (FR) 1 1 100% +9.10

Saint-Brieuc (FR) 1 0 0% —

Saint-Malo (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 4 1 25% +1.70

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1 1 100% 2.54 +1.20

2nd–3rd fav 3 1 33.3% 2.45 +2.70

4th–6th fav 8 2 25% 3.49 +9.90

7th+ in betting 21 0 0% 0.00 −21.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.6% completed · 31 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 12 66.7% 2 1 1 0 0

Hurdle 19 89.5% 0 0 2 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Slice And Dice (FR) 5 0 0 24 Oct 23

Project Fear (FR) 4 0 1 19 Jul 23

Bien Divin (FR) 3 0 1 30 Sep 26

Ptiturf (FR) 2 1 1 25 Feb 23

Venus De Bellouet (FR) 2 0 0 2 Sep 22

Balentine (FR) 1 0 0 5 Sep 26

Modus Operendi (FR) 1 1 1 17 Jul 26

Monsieur Bach (FR) 1 0 0 25 Apr 26

Ringo Star (FR) 1 0 0 7 Mar 26

Kyalight (FR) 1 0 0 26 Oct 25

Mac First (FR) 1 0 0 20 Oct 25

Let Us Breathe (FR) 1 0 0 1 Oct 25

All 24 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

·50200003301300·

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

W Menuet 22 3 13.6% −4.20

D Cadot 5 0 0% −5.00

J Delaunay 4 1 25% +3.80

Patrice Quinton 1 0 0% −1.00

G Lecomte 1 0 0% −1.00

Mme Celine Lequien 1 0 0% −1.00

P & C Peltier 1 1 100% +1.20

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£114k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 3 wins

Bomari (FR) — Prix Super U Craon (Listed Cross Country Race) (5yo+) (Turf) Craon (FR) · Sep 2023 · Listed

£34,602

Jumping Charlie (FR) — Prix de la Source (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2024

£22,000

Modus Operendi (FR) — Prix Kauto Star Dieppe (FR) · Jul 2026

£11,699

Notable horses

Ptiturf (FR) Modus Operendi (FR) Jumping Charlie (FR) Bomari (FR) Jodhpur A La Motte (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Gengis (FR) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 11.8% of 68 runs since 2008 (10 horses).

Intello (GER) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,471 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15% from 227. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 184.

On Est Bien (IRE) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 9.1% of 231 runs since 2008 (27 horses).

Bande (IRE) 0% · 0–2

Progeny have won 5.5% of 182 runs since 2008 (60 horses).

Feel Like Dancing (GB) 0% · 0–2

Progeny have won 6.4% of 233 runs since 2008 (58 horses).

Konig Turf (GER) 50% · 1–2

Progeny have won 14.9% of 517 runs since 2008 (76 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 39 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Emilien Manceau's 39 archived rides, from 21 May 2020 to 30 September 2026, newest first — 5 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Bien Divin (FR)T: D Cadot Prix De Salers19.5f · Heavy · 14 ran — 14/1

05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Balentine (FR)T: D Cadot Prix Hegler (Prix Des Bumpers)Class 3 · 15f · Heavy · 16 ran 7th 100/1

07 Aug 26 Dieppe (FR) Bien Divin (FR)T: D Cadot Prix Societe Nouvelle Abraham Depannage (Prix Arenice)19.5f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 16/1

17 Jul 26 Dieppe (FR) Modus Operendi (FR)T: P & C Peltier Prix Kauto Star19.5f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 6/5F

25 Apr 26 Auteuil (FR) Monsieur Bach (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Claude Cohen - Peloton A (Conditions Hurdle) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 18 ran PU 53/1

07 Mar 26 Auteuil (FR) Ringo Star (FR)T: Mme Celine Lequien Prix Defile (Handicap Hurdle) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran 9th 60/1

26 Oct 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Kyalight (FR)T: D Cadot Prix Glorieuse (National Hunt Flat) (AQPS (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)12.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 5th 35/1

20 Oct 25 Compiegne (FR) Mac First (FR)T: Patrice Quinton Prix Falzarego (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 15/1

01 Oct 25 Auteuil (FR) Let Us Breathe (FR)T: W Menuet Prix La Turbie (Hurdle) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 12 ran PU 44/1

29 May 25 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Adsum (FR)T: W Menuet France Sire Prix Anjou-Loire Challenge (Listed Cross Country Chase) (5yo+) (Turf)36.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran F 37/1

24 Sep 24 Auteuil (FR) Bien Divin (FR)T: D Cadot Prix Mandarin (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 12 ran F 21/1

24 Sep 24 Auteuil (FR) Storlight (FR)T: J Delaunay Prix Amati (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)15f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 11/2

16 Apr 24 Auteuil (FR) Klong Dao (FR)T: J Delaunay Prix Philippe Menager (Chase) () (4yo) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 60/1

09 Mar 24 Auteuil (FR) Jumping Charlie (FR)T: J Delaunay Prix de la Source (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 68/10

17 Feb 24 Angers (FR) Pendulum Valley (FR)T: J Delaunay Prix de l'Ile de Behuart (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 12 ran 8th 68/10

24 Oct 23 Auteuil (FR) Slice And Dice (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Haras du Reuilly (Chase) (Conditions) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 28/1

20 Oct 23 Auteuil (FR) Jazz Festival (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Robert Bates (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 29/1

27 Sep 23 Auteuil (FR) Slice And Dice (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Julien Decrion (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 14 ran 9th 34/1

03 Sep 23 Craon (FR) Bomari (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Super U Craon (Listed Cross Country Race) (5yo+) (Turf)30f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 47/10

01 Sep 23 Auteuil (FR) Slice And Dice (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Gelas (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran 4th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Emilien Manceau's strike rate?: Emilien Manceau has won 5 of 35 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Emilien Manceau's Fair A/E?: 2.04, from 32 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.