No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−2.9
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.9%+0.0
n=35 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −29.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.1%+0.2
n=32 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −26.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle2913.4%−23.50
NH Flat300%−3.00
Flat200%−2.00
Chase100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Heavy1218.3%−6.50
Good800%−8.00
Soft800%−8.00
Good to Firm400%−4.00
Good to Soft300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Down Royal7114.3%−1.50
Fairyhouse400%−4.00
Leopardstown400%−4.00
Punchestown400%−4.00
Navan300%−3.00
Cork200%−2.00
Thurles200%−2.00
Wexford100%−1.00
Ballinrobe100%−1.00
Clonmel100%−1.00
Downpatrick100%−1.00
Gowran Park100%−1.00
Killarney100%−1.00
Limerick100%−1.00
Sligo100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav4125%2.51+1.50
4th–6th fav300%0.00−3.00
7th+ in betting2800%0.00−28.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m2015%−14.50
2m1f – 2m4f1300%−13.00
2m5f – 3m200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20091516.7%−9.50
20102000%−20.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1600%−16.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners2000%−20.00
14-16 runners1218.3%−6.50
11-13 runners200%−2.00
5-7 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 21 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00000····0014
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,876 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Old Vic (GB)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Bob Back (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Redback (GB)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.
Winged Love (IRE)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Oscar (IRE)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 35 archived runs · newest first
Every one of F Lawlor's 35 archived rides, from 21 March 2009 to 28 May 2010, newest first — one winner among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is F Lawlor's strike rate?
F Lawlor has won 1 of 35 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is F Lawlor's Fair A/E?
0.77, from 35 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
F Lawlor·SR 2.9%·A/E 0.77
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