Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
14.3%+0.0
n=7 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −3.55
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−14.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.3%+0.0
n=7 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −3.55
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)4125%−0.55
Firm100%−1.00
Good to Firm100%−1.00
Soft100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Saratoga (USA)300%−3.00
Ascot200%−2.00
Churchill Downs (USA)2150%+1.45
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite100%0.00−1.00
2nd–3rd fav2150%2.31+1.45
4th–6th fav400%0.00−4.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f300%−3.00
6f – 7f2150%+1.45
Under 6f200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2016100%−1.00
2017100%−1.00
20265120%−1.55
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
5-7 runners3133.3%+0.45
8-10 runners300%−3.00
17+ runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 7 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 10.3% of 87 runs since 2011 (10 horses).
Beau Liam (USA)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 0% of 5 runs since 2025 (2 horses). A small sample.
Colonel John (USA)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 7.1% of 14 runs since 2013 (3 horses). A small sample.
Into Mischief (USA)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 11.3% of 124 runs since 2017 (30 horses).
Maxfield (USA)0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 10% of 20 runs since 2025 (6 horses). A small sample.
Tiz The Law (USA)100% · 1–1
Progeny have won 17.4% of 23 runs since 2024 (9 horses). A small sample.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 117 · newest first
The latest 50 of 117 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 March 2005 to 7 June 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Florent Geroux's strike rate?
Florent Geroux has won 1 of 7 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 rides, so read the count before the percentage.
Florent Geroux·SR 14.3%·A/E 0.91
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