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Jockey profile

Junior Alvarado

12 rides in the last 5 seasons · 11 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 132 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)
from 1 Jan 2022
0–12
Wins / Runs
0%
Strike rate
n=12
3 (25%)
Placed
0.00
Fair A/E
n=12 · 0.00 incl. margin
−12.00
£1 level stake
n=12 at SP · −100.0%
£438k
Prize money (window)

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%+0.0
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%+0.0
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Firm 6 0 0% −6.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Saratoga (USA) 8 0 0% −8.00
Delaware Park (USA) 2 0 0% −2.00
Churchill Downs (USA) 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
7th+ in betting 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Capitol Hill (USA) 2 0 1 5 Jul 26
Stars And Stripes (USA) 1 0 0 4 Jul 26
Sovereignty (USA) 1 0 0 27 Jun 26
Alluring Angel (GB) 1 0 1 13 Jun 26
Majestic Lucia (USA) 1 0 0 13 Jun 26
Bold Journey (USA) 1 0 0 6 Jun 26
Knightsbridge (USA) 1 0 1 6 Jun 26
Gilded Bandit (USA) 1 0 0 6 Jun 26
Ready To Jam (USA) 1 0 0 4 Jun 26
Noble Dynasty (USA) 1 0 0 4 Jun 26
Kapoor (USA) 1 0 0 25 May 26
All 11 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
William Mott 10 0 0% −10.00
Brad H Cox 1 0 0% −1.00
Victor Barboza Jr 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Into Mischief (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.3% of 124 runs since 2017 (30 horses).
Charlatan (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 10% of 10 runs since 2026 (6 horses). A small sample.
Fastnet Rock (AUS) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 12.1% of 5,487 runs since 2013 (557 horses).
Hard Spun (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 12.2% of 1,389 runs since 2011 (120 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 8.2% from 147. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 15.3% from 476. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 9.2% from 282.
Kingman (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,535 runs since 2018 (779 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 8.9% from 123.
McKinzie (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 0% of 3 runs since 2026 (3 horses). A small sample.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 12 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Junior Alvarado's 12 archived rides, from 25 May 2026 to 5 July 2026, newest first — no winners among them.

Best finish: 2nd of 7 — Knightsbridge (USA), Saratoga (USA), 6 Jun 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Jul 26 Saratoga (USA) Capitol Hill (USA)T: William Mott Kelso Stakes (Turf)8f · Firm · 10 ran 4th 104/10
04 Jul 26 Saratoga (USA) Stars And Stripes (USA)T: William Mott Suburban Stakes Presented By Subourbon Life (Dirt)10f · Fast · 11 ran 8th 56/10
27 Jun 26 Churchill Downs (USA) Sovereignty (USA)T: William Mott Stephen Foster Stakes (Dirt)9f · Muddy · 5 ran 3rd 9/10F
13 Jun 26 Delaware Park (USA) Alluring Angel (GB)T: William Mott Robert G Dick Memorial Stakes (Fillies & Mares) (Turf)11f · Firm · 6 ran 2nd 44/5
13 Jun 26 Delaware Park (USA) Majestic Lucia (USA)T: Victor Barboza Jr Delaware Oaks (Fillies) (Dirt)8.5f · Fast · 7 ran 4th 158/10
07 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Capitol Hill (USA)T: William Mott Poker Stakes (Turf)8f · Firm · 5 ran 2nd 127/10
06 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Knightsbridge (USA)T: William Mott Hill 'N' Dale Metropolitan Handicap (Dirt)8f · Fast · 7 ran 2nd 53/10
06 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Gilded Bandit (USA)T: William Mott Woody Stephens Stakes Presented By Mohegan Sun (Dirt)7f · Fast · 9 ran 4th 132/10
06 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Bold Journey (USA)T: William Mott Jaipur Stakes (Turf)5.5f · Firm · 10 ran 7th 178/10
04 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Ready To Jam (USA)T: Brad H Cox Intercontinental Stakes (Fillies & Mares) (Turf)5.5f · Firm · 9 ran 8th 31/1
04 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Noble Dynasty (USA)T: William Mott Pennine Ridge Stakes (Turf)8.5f · Firm · 9 ran 5th 13/2
25 May 26 Churchill Downs (USA) Kapoor (USA)T: William Mott Winning Colors Stakes (Fillies & Mares) (Dirt)6f · Fast · 7 ran 7th 41/20F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Junior Alvarado's strike rate?
Junior Alvarado has won 0 of 12 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 0% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 rides, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).