Marc-Antoine Dragon
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.53). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 11% off breaks of two months or more (54 runs). Rode mostly for E Leray — 42% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Auteuil (FR) (2.7% over 73 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 11.1% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.94), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.00). E Leray supplied 42% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.1%, A/E 0.84). The rider also read well in Chase races (9.8%, n=61). The record read poorly in Hurdle races — 2.9% over 69 rides, 3.8pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 134 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 134 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 October 2009 to 23 May 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Marc-Antoine Dragon's strike rate?
- Marc-Antoine Dragon has won 9 of 134 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Marc-Antoine Dragon do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 73 rides (2.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Marc-Antoine Dragon ride most for?
- E Leray, with 56 rides since 2008 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7.1%).
- What is Marc-Antoine Dragon's Fair A/E?
- 0.53, from 110 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.