from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
0–10
Wins / Runs
0%
Strike rate
n=10
1 (10%)
Placed
0.00
Fair A/E
n=10 · 0.00 incl. margin
−10.00
£1 level stake
n=10 at SP · −100.0%
£847
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 0% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%+0.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0%+0.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%+0.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 100% of the archive so far; the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good700%−7.00
Good to Firm200%−2.00
Good to Soft100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Ludlow700%−7.00
Bangor-on-Dee100%−1.00
Towcester100%−1.00
Hereford100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 5700%−7.00
Class 6300%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
4th–6th fav100%0.00−1.00
7th+ in betting900%0.00−9.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f600%−6.00
2m5f – 3m400%−4.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2009500%−5.00
2010500%−5.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners300%−3.00
8-10 runners300%−3.00
14-16 runners200%−2.00
17+ runners100%−1.00
5-7 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.