No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 13.5%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−12.5
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
40%+27.5
n=5 · A/E 2.36 · £1 +1.60
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.3%−4.2
n=12 · A/E 2.01 · £1 +14.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.69 · £1 +0.10
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
13.5%+1.0
n=37 · A/E 1.80 · £1 +11.60
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−12.5
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−12.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle28414.3%+12.60
NH Flat500%−5.00
Chase4125%+4.00
Flat300%−3.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft12216.7%+0.50
Soft10330%+26.10
Good600%−6.00
Heavy600%−6.00
Good to Firm300%−3.00
Standard (AW)300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Wincanton13323.1%+1.60
Taunton7114.3%+1.00
Exeter3133.3%+23.00
Ludlow200%−2.00
Sandown200%−2.00
Worcester100%−1.00
Kempton100%−1.00
Hereford100%−1.00
Fontwell100%−1.00
Ascot100%−1.00
Ffos Las100%−1.00
Chepstow100%−1.00
Lingfield (AW)100%−1.00
Uttoxeter100%−1.00
Wolverhampton (AW)100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 416318.8%+20.10
Class 38112.5%−3.50
Class 57114.3%+1.00
Class 6500%−5.00
Class 2300%−3.00
Class 1100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite3266.7%2.59+3.60
2nd–3rd fav300%0.00−3.00
4th–6th fav18316.7%1.99+24.00
7th+ in betting1600%0.00−16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m27311.1%−12.40
2m1f – 2m4f6116.7%+20.00
2m5f – 3m4125%+4.00
Over 3m200%−2.00
1m2f – 1m4f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20081119.1%−3.00
20096116.7%+20.00
2010200%−2.00
20115120%+3.00
201211218.2%−4.40
2013200%−2.00
2014300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps25416%−2.40
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners14428.6%+32.50
14-16 runners1200%−12.00
5-7 runners7114.3%−4.90
17+ runners400%−4.00
8-10 runners300%−3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 9 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
330000····03317
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Joe Deane (IRE) — Stables Business Park Clients Day Out Handicap Chase Taunton · Nov 2008 · Class 4
£5,342
Chesil Beach Boy (GB) — Bathwick Tyres Yeovil Handicap Hurdle Wincanton · Jan 2012 · Class 3
£3,899
Joe Deane (IRE) — Legionnaire Handicap Chase Exeter · Nov 2006 · Class 5
Progeny have won 7.3% of 384 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.4% from 125. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4% from 101.
Bering (GB)12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 8.8% of 701 runs since 2008 (69 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.9% from 108. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 109. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 156.
Alphabatim (USA)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 6.9% of 116 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Namaqualand (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.6% of 241 runs since 2008 (18 horses).
Rudimentary (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).
Polish Precedent (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.3% of 838 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11% from 145.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 55 · newest first
The latest 50 of 55 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 January 2006 to 18 February 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mrs M Roberts's strike rate?
Mrs M Roberts has won 5 of 40 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mrs M Roberts's Fair A/E?
1.62, from 40 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mrs M Roberts·SR 12.5%·A/E 1.62
KTB
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