2:15 Ripon
This Class 5 restricted novice stakes over 6f at Ripon features an 11-runner field of mostly unexposed two-year-olds, with a mix of debutants and lightly raced runners. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, headed by Wong Fei Hong at 49, just ahead of Johns Power on 48 and Super Alpha on 46. Conditions are good ground and the race carries EBF, GBB and Irish incentive status, with several dropping in class while others step up in trip for the first time.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a fairly even breakdown with no overwhelming speed bias. Several runners, including Super Alpha, Boutblummintime and Inns And Out, have shown early pace or prominent styles in their limited starts, while others such as Wong Fei Hong and Persazz are expected to come from off the pace on debut. The key question is whether the step up to 6f will suit those coming from 5f runs or whether the newcomers can arrive on the scene with the necessary pace and fitness to challenge in what looks an open heat.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Wong Fei Hong KTB Selection49/100David O'Meara has a solid 16% strike rate at Ripon from a large sample.
- 2Johns Power48/100Roger Fell has a modest 10% strike rate at Ripon from a large sample while Joanna Mason fares better with a 15% record here.
- 3Super Alpha46/100Super Alpha has shown ordinary form in two starts over 5f, finishing third then fifth.
- 4Boutblummintime45/100Boutblummintime has shown only modest form in two starts at this trip and will need to improve to figure.
- 5Persazz44/100Persazz is a newcomer from the William Knight yard.
- 6Bigalo44/100Bigalo showed only modest early speed when sixth on debut over 5f.
- 7Pj's Corner44/100Pj's Corner showed little on debut over 7f and now drops back in trip to a distance that asks a fresh question.
- 8Inns And Out44/100Inns And Out showed fair pace on debut when finishing fifth over this trip on soft ground.
- 9Carry On Chaos43/100Carry On Chaos has twice finished well beaten over this trip on his only starts to date.
- 10Printing Money41/100Printing Money showed little at debut when finishing ninth over this trip.
- 11State Of Gold40/100State Of Gold has shown little in three starts to date and the form 857 offers no encouragement.
The contenders
Wong Fei Hong KTB Fit 49/100
Wong Fei Hong is the KTB Selection. David O'Meara brings a solid 16% strike rate at Ripon from a large sample of 774 runs, though the yard's overall trainer-jockey combination shows 11% from 457 runs with an A/E of 0.94. The jockey Mark Winn has a 10% strike rate at the track from 61 rides. As a newcomer by Persian Force, who has a 13% overall win rate from 60 runners, this colt carries the usual first-time unknowns and low data confidence. No course win on record and the modest jockey track record add a note of caution, yet the selection is taken to overcome the debutant factors from draw 3.
Johns Power KTB Fit 48/100
Johns Power is rated just behind the selection on KTB Fit. Roger Fell has a modest 10% strike rate at Ripon from 176 runs, but Joanna Mason fares better with a 15% record from 118 rides here. Their trainer-jockey combination stands at 16% from 70 runs with an A/E of 1.31. This newcomer by Perfect Power, who has a 14% overall win rate from 14 runners, brings no racecourse form so any judgement rests on pedigree and sales background which the low data confidence rating underlines. Connections will hope he is ready to go on debut over 6f on good ground from stall 9.
Super Alpha KTB Fit 46/100
Super Alpha has shown ordinary form in two starts over 5f, finishing third then fifth for official figures that reflect that level. He now steps up to 6f for the first time which asks a fresh question of him. Charlie Johnston has an 11% strike rate at Ripon from 94 runs while Connor Beasley is 10% from 246 rides here; their trainer-jockey record is 19% from 94 runs with an A/E of 1.29. Dropping in class, he has one run on good ground with no win or place. The run-style suggests he can be prominent, and he remains one of the more exposed and therefore measurable runners in the line-up.
Boutblummintime KTB Fit 45/100
Boutblummintime has shown only modest form in two starts at this trip and will need to improve to figure, with his recent form figures of 66 underlining that assessment. Adrian Paul Keatley holds a solid 17% strike rate at Ripon from 75 runs, though the jockey Mikey Sheehy has had just three rides here which is too small to judge and shows 0% so far. Their trainer-jockey combination is 6% from 36 runs with an A/E of 0.54. Dropping in class and with one run on good ground and no win or place, the colt remains largely unexposed though the wide draw in stall 10 is far from ideal on this track.
Persazz KTB Fit 44/100
Persazz is a newcomer from the William Knight yard. The trainer has a 13% strike rate at Ripon from 15 runs while jockey Luke Morris sits on 11% from 92 rides here; their trainer-jockey record is 9% from 164 runs with an A/E of 0.78. By Persian Force, who has a 13% overall win rate from 60 runners, he brings no racecourse form to go on so the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background with low data confidence. From draw 8 he is likely to be seen late, and while the yard and jockey have shown some track competence this remains very much an unknown at this stage.
The rest of the field
BigaloKTB Fit 44/100
Bigalo showed only modest early speed when sixth on debut over 5f. He now steps up to 6f for the first time which asks a fresh question of him. Roger Fell's 10% strike rate at Ripon from 176 runs and Oisin McSweeney's 9% from 32 rides offer no particular edge, and with no runs on good he is unproven on the ground.
Pj's CornerKTB Fit 44/100
Pj's Corner showed little on debut over 7f and now drops back in trip to a distance that asks a fresh question. Dylan Cunha has yet to strike at Ripon from six runs while Jason Hart has a solid 14% strike rate from 316 rides here. With only one run on the board, low data confidence and no runs on good this remains very much a watching brief.
Inns And OutKTB Fit 44/100
Inns And Out showed fair pace on debut when finishing fifth over this trip on soft ground. Tim Easterby has a modest 10% strike rate at Ripon from a huge sample of 2364 runs while David Allan is operating at 13% from 1130 rides here. With only one run in the book, one run on good with no win or place and no strong clues from pedigree or sales background this remains very much an unknown at this stage.
Carry On ChaosKTB Fit 43/100
Carry On Chaos has twice finished well beaten over this trip on his only starts to date. Tim Easterby's 10% strike rate at Ripon from 2364 runs is fair but nothing to shout about, while Duran Fentiman has a 7% record here from 484 rides. With two runs on good and no win or place plus low data confidence this one has to be treated with real caution.
Printing MoneyKTB Fit 41/100
Printing Money showed little at debut when finishing ninth over this trip. Dylan Cunha has failed to land a blow in six runs at Ripon while the small sample makes it impossible to gauge whether the going or the track will suit. Kevin Stott does have a solid 15% strike rate here from 159 rides but this remains a very lightly raced colt who needs to improve markedly.
State Of GoldKTB Fit 40/100
State Of Gold has shown little in three starts to date and the form 857 offers no encouragement. Craig Lidster’s modest 6% strike rate at Ripon from 36 runs adds no confidence while William Pyle’s 9% strike rate from 44 rides here is equally uninspiring. With two runs on good and no win or place, only one run at the trip and too few starts to judge this remains very much an unknown quantity.
KTB verdict
Wong Fei Hong is the KTB Selection in a race where the top ratings are very close and several runners remain largely unexposed. The selection benefits from the yard's proven record at Ripon and can overcome the debutant questions from a favourable draw. Super Alpha brings the most public form and is dropping in class while Boutblummintime and Persazz are capable of improving, but the balance of KTB numbers and trainer track form points to the selection coming out on top. Johns Power is the other main danger among the newcomers.
KTB Selection Wong Fei Hong
This is the narrative read of the 2:15 Ripon. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ripon racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up from 5f to 6f and has shown ordinary form so far?
Super Alpha has shown ordinary form in two starts over 5f, finishing third then fifth, and now steps up to 6f for the first time.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Ripon for the yard of the KTB Selection?
David O'Meara has a 16% strike rate at Ripon from 774 runs.
Which runner has a wide draw that is far from ideal on this track?
Boutblummintime has the wide draw in stall 10 which is far from ideal on this track.
How many runs has Jason Hart had at Ripon and what is his strike rate?
Jason Hart has a 14% strike rate at Ripon from 316 rides.
Which horse showed fair pace on debut over this trip but on soft ground?
Inns And Out showed fair pace on debut when finishing fifth over this trip on soft ground.
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