2:15 Beverley
This Class 4 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes over the minimum 5f at Beverley on good to firm ground brings together a small but interesting field of six juveniles. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with the selection holding a clear but modest edge on 58. Experience is limited across the board, with only one previous winner in the line-up, which adds an element of guesswork to proceedings on a track where the yard and jockey combinations carry respectable records.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy is likely to pay. With four of the principals and the selection all inclined to be held up, the race could develop into a sprint for the line in the final couple of furlongs. The key question is whether any horse can produce the necessary early zip from off the pace or whether the race will fall into the lap of one of the more forward-going newcomers.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Not My Type KTB Selection58/100Not My Type showed a sharp turn of foot when winning on debut over this trip on good to firm ground.
- 2Empress Princess48/100Empress Princess is a newcomer with no racecourse experience so the assessment rests entirely on her pedigree and sales background.
- 3Flower Youmzain48/100Lightly raced with just two runs and form of 54 so far.
- 4What A Girl Wants45/100What A Girl Wants has shown fair form overall with three placed efforts from five starts and looks well drawn in stall 2.
- 5Classyfied44/100Classyfied is a newcomer with no racecourse experience so the form picture is entirely blank.
- 6Queen Of Tears41/100Queen Of Tears is a newcomer from the Tim Easterby yard which has a solid 10% strike rate at Beverley from a huge sample.
The contenders
Not My Type KTB Fit 58/100
Not My Type showed a sharp turn of foot when winning on debut over this trip on good to firm ground. The William Haggas yard posts a 28% strike rate at Beverley from 166 runs and Tom Marquand is equally effective here with a 26% strike rate. With only one run in the book the form needs treating with caution but the yard's juveniles often improve from first to second start. She is held up, usually producing her effort late, though that style carries limited evidence so far. The combination of trainer and jockey records at the track, her proven ability on the surface and the scope for progress make her the one to beat.
Empress Princess KTB Fit 48/100
Empress Princess is a newcomer with no racecourse experience so the assessment rests entirely on her pedigree and sales background. She cost 40,000 guineas as a yearling and is by Kodiac out of a dam who produced several winners, including a couple at sprint trips. Trainer James Tate has a solid 17% strike-rate at Beverley from 77 runs while Clifford Lee is the booked rider with a 20% strike rate at the track. By No Nay Never, she fits the profile of a sprint-bred filly who could make an impact at this trip on debut. Everything is unproven but the yard and jockey combination at Beverley offers some encouragement.
Flower Youmzain KTB Fit 48/100
Flower Youmzain is lightly raced with just two runs and form of 54 so far. The Kevin Ryan yard has a solid 15% strike rate at Beverley from a big sample of 784 runs while Tom Eaves is less proven at the track with a 7% strike rate. The trip looks about right but the small sample means this one has to be treated with caution. She is held up, usually producing her effort late, though that style carries limited evidence. Her placed effort on good to firm offers a baseline but she will need to improve to figure prominently here.
What A Girl Wants KTB Fit 45/100
What A Girl Wants has shown fair form overall with three placed efforts from five starts and looks well drawn in stall 2. She drops back to 5f having been placed at the trip without winning and the latest two runs were below her best. The trainer holds a 6% strike rate from 18 runs at Beverley. She is a confirmed held-up performer with high-confidence data on that run-style. Dropping in class is a positive but the lack of a win and recent dip in form leave her with questions to answer on good to firm.
The rest of the field
ClassyfiedKTB Fit 44/100
Classyfied is a newcomer with no racecourse experience so the form picture is entirely blank. Pedigree and sales background offer the only clues and the Tim Easterby yard has a modest 10% strike-rate here from a huge number of runners.
Queen Of TearsKTB Fit 41/100
Queen Of Tears is a newcomer from the Tim Easterby yard which has a solid 10% strike rate at Beverley from a huge sample. The pedigree and sales background offer the only real clues here as she has no racecourse form to go on.
KTB verdict
Not My Type is the KTB Selection. She arrives with the benefit of a winning debut over the course and distance on good to firm, a sharp turn of foot already shown, and the support of a yard and jockey who both operate at a high level at Beverley. The scope for the usual Haggas juvenile progression from first to second start adds further appeal in a race that could suit her held-up style if the expected steady pace materialises. Empress Princess and Flower Youmzain are the most obvious dangers, the former on pedigree and sales price, the latter on the back of two runs that at least provide a benchmark.
KTB Selection Not My Type
This is the narrative read of the 2:15 Beverley. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Beverley racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has already won over the course and distance on good to firm?
Not My Type, who showed a sharp turn of foot when winning on debut over this trip on good to firm ground.
How many of the principals are held-up types?
Three of the four principals are held up: Not My Type, Flower Youmzain and What A Girl Wants.
What is the trainer strike rate at Beverley for the yard of the selection?
William Haggas has a 28% strike rate at Beverley from 166 runs.
Which runner is dropping in class?
What A Girl Wants, who has shown fair form with three placed efforts from five starts.
Which two runners share the same trainer and what is that yard's strike rate at the track?
Classyfied and Queen Of Tears are both trained by Tim Easterby, who has a 10% strike rate at Beverley from 2392 runs.
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