3:25 Wexford
The 3:25 at Wexford is a Beginners Steeplechase run over 2m3f20y on good ground, featuring a small but competitive field of seven. The KTB Fit Scores range from 62 down to 41, highlighting a race where proven ability is thinly spread and several runners arrive with questions to answer. With a high-confidence lone-leader pace shape in play, the ability to settle and produce a late effort from off the pace will be critical.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to one clear front-runner enjoying an uncontested lead, with little pressure expected from the rest of the field. Most of the principals and field runners are held-up types who produce their effort late, meaning the race is likely to develop into a test of whether any closer can reel in the leader over the final stages. The key question is whether the uncontested lead will prove too much for the held-up brigade on this good ground, or if one of the patient runners can deliver a telling late burst.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1William Tell KTB Selection62/100High-class on his best days but has been a shadow of that form this season with a string of poor runs.
- 2Kelya52/100Kelya has shown mixed form in just two starts this year, winning a point before finishing down the field in a hunter chase.
- 3Jackson Lamb50/100Smart performer who has won at today's trip and holds a solid record on good ground with three wins from nine starts.
- 4Nadia's Boy50/100Nadia's Boy showed useful bumper form and has made a solid start over hurdles with a recent third here over two miles.
- 5West Away49/100Smart performer who has placed on both previous completed starts at Wexford and showed he retains ability when third on return last time.
- 6Scalpnagoon48/100Smart performer who arrives in solid form with three seconds and a couple of fourths from his last five starts.
- 7Begger41/100Lightly raced with just three career starts and a recent form line of U5-U70 that offers very little to go on.
The contenders
William Tell KTB Fit 62/100
William Tell possesses high-class ability on his best days yet has been a shadow of that form this season, producing a string of poor runs including recent figures of -972U5. He has placed once from two starts at Wexford and holds a solid record on good ground with one win from five starts. The first-time headgear is now applied, which suggests connections are clutching at straws, while the trainer's modest 5% strike rate at the track from 81 runs is a negative. The 7yo is usually held up and produces his effort late, a run-style that could be vulnerable given the uncontested lead likely to be set. The jockey's 11% strike rate at Wexford from 38 rides offers a little more encouragement.
Kelya KTB Fit 52/100
Kelya has shown mixed form in just two starts this year, winning a point before finishing down the field in a hunter chase, leaving her with recent figures of 52137/. She drops back in trip today to a distance she has never tried, which asks a fresh question of the 6yo. The Emmet Mullins yard has a solid 16% strike rate at Wexford from 25 runs, while Donagh Meyler sits on an 8% strike rate from 146 rides here. She is unproven on good ground having had no runs on it, and she has no course form on record. Kelya is usually held up and produces her effort late, though that read comes with limited evidence and low confidence.
Jackson Lamb KTB Fit 50/100
Jackson Lamb is a smart performer who has won at today's trip and holds a solid record on good ground with three wins from nine starts. He has been out of form this year with a recent string of modest efforts and recent figures of 10-P75, and he has never placed in three runs at Wexford. First-time headgear is now applied as the 7yo attempts to rediscover his spark. The trainer has a 12% strike rate at Wexford from 118 runs, while the jockey operates at 9% from 47 rides here. He is usually held up and produces his effort late with medium confidence in that assessment.
Nadia's Boy KTB Fit 50/100
Nadia's Boy showed useful bumper form and has made a solid start over hurdles with a recent third here over two miles, giving him recent figures of /110-3. He steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question of the 6yo while his course form reads just one run and a placing. The W P Mullins yard has a 26% strike rate at Wexford from 198 runs and Paul Townend is operating at a 24% strike rate from 101 rides here. He tends to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence, a run-style that aligns favourably with the projected lone-leader pace shape on good ground where he has one win from two starts.
The rest of the field
West AwayKTB Fit 49/100
West Away is a smart performer who has placed on both previous completed starts at Wexford and showed he retains ability when third on return last time, with recent figures of 0P76-3. Consistent at this trip without winning and with a solid record on good ground, the trainer remains without a winner here from five runs while the claiming jockey has a modest strike rate at the track.
ScalpnagoonKTB Fit 48/100
Scalpnagoon is a smart performer who arrives in solid form with three seconds and a couple of fourths from his last five starts and recent figures of -22342. He has already shown he handles this trip though the drop back from 3m1f asks a fresh question, and he was only fourth when he tried this track. First-time headgear is now applied while the yard has a respectable record here despite the jockey's modest strike-rate.
BeggerKTB Fit 41/100
Begger is lightly raced with just three career starts and a recent form line of U5-U70 that offers very little to go on. He has already been tried over hurdles here at Wexford without completing the course. The trainer is operating at a 0% strike rate from nine runs at the track while the jockey has a more respectable 10% from 71 rides.
KTB verdict
William Tell is the KTB Selection in a race where the pace shape could make life difficult for held-up runners. He retains high-class ability on his best days, has placed at this course before and possesses a solid record on good ground, even if recent form has been disappointing and the first-time headgear hints at problems. His main dangers are Nadia's Boy, who brings useful bumper form, solid hurdle efforts and the powerful Mullins-Townend combination while suiting the expected uncontested lead, and Scalpnagoon, who arrives in consistent form and has shown he handles the trip.
KTB Selection William Tell
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 8 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| William Tell | 7/2 | Bet365 |
| Kelya | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Jackson Lamb | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Nadia's Boy | Evens | LiveScore Bet |
| West Away | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Scalpnagoon | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Begger | 200/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 3:25 Wexford. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Wexford racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to set the uncontested lead?
Nadia's Boy tends to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence, fitting the lone-leader pace shape.
How many of the field are held-up runners?
Six of the seven runners are described as held up and producing their effort late, with varying levels of confidence in that assessment.
Which runners are wearing first-time headgear?
William Tell, Jackson Lamb and Scalpnagoon are all fitted with first-time headgear.
Which horse has the strongest trainer record at Wexford?
W P Mullins has a 26% strike rate at Wexford from 198 runs, the highest in the field.
Has any horse in the race won at the trip before?
Jackson Lamb has won at today's trip and Scalpnagoon has already shown he handles this trip.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies