3:45 Downpatrick
A competitive 14-runner Join Racing TV Now With A Free Trial Handicap Chase over 2m3f100y at Downpatrick on good to yielding ground. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Leave In Secret heading the numbers on 62, closely followed by Andys Flame and Magic Day on 59, Freddie Robdal on 58 and Finnians Row on 57. Several runners bring course-winning form to the table while others boast strong trainer course records, setting up an interesting puzzle where recent form, course aptitude and the ability to handle the prevailing surface will all come into play.
How the race shapes up
With a field of this size and no obvious front-runner declared, the pace shape is expected to be on the steady side early. Several prominent racers and hold-up types are present, suggesting the race could be decided by those who can produce their effort at the right time in the straight. The key question is whether the leaders can dictate matters or if the race will fall into the lap of a strong traveller from mid-division or the rear.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Leave In Secret KTB Selection62/100
- 2Andys Flame59/100
- 3Magic Day59/100
- 4Freddie Robdal58/100
- 5Finnians Row57/100
- 6Lake Chad56/100
- 7Truckers Cruising56/100
- 8Ringdufferin54/100
- 9Driveonwill52/100
- 10Listentillitellyea50/100
- 11Dorking Cock48/100
- 12Doyen Magic46/100
- 13King's Son45/100
- 14Parkgarve44/100
The contenders
Leave In Secret KTB Fit 62/100
Leave In Secret arrives as the KTB Selection with a Fit Score of 62. The 7-year-old has shown a decent level of ability, evidenced by form figures of 13467- that include a win and a third. Thomas Gibney sends him out having recorded a 10% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 1.08, while James Smith has a 16% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.39. He has won once and been placed three times from six runs on good to yielding ground. Although he has no course form on record, the combination of his recent efforts, trainer and jockey course stats and the selection status make him the one to beat.
Andys Flame KTB Fit 59/100
Andys Flame is rated just behind on a KTB Fit Score of 59. The 9-year-old has form figures of P1/4-6 and has been competitive on good to yielding ground, being placed twice from three starts without winning. John C McConnell has a 12% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 0.95, though the jockey Dylan Kidd is on a 6% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.69. He has won here from three starts at the track, which adds to his appeal in a race where course form is likely to count.
Magic Day KTB Fit 59/100
Magic Day also scores 59 on the KTB Fit scale. A 7-year-old with form figures of /8503-, he has been placed twice from three runs on good to yielding ground without winning. Henry De Bromhead has a strong 16% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 0.88, and Mike O'Connor posts an 11% strike rate at the venue with an A/E of 1.02. With no course form on record he will need to translate his trainer's local prowess to this track on his first visit, but he remains a respected contender.
Freddie Robdal KTB Fit 58/100
Freddie Robdal is next up with a KTB Fit Score of 58. The 9-year-old has form figures of 6220P- and has been competitive on good to yielding ground, placed three times from six starts without a win. Henry De Bromhead again supplies the 16% Downpatrick strike rate with an A/E of 0.88, though jockey Danny Power has no record at the track for a neutral score. He has run once here when finishing sixth with no win or place, meaning he will need to improve on that effort to figure prominently.
Finnians Row KTB Fit 57/100
Finnians Row completes the principals on a KTB Fit Score of 57. The 10-year-old showed renewed promise with form figures of 43PP-1, including a recent win. Dermot A McLoughlin has a 10% strike rate with this jockey combination and an A/E of 1.38, while the trainer himself has an 8% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 1.00. He has been placed twice from 11 runs on good to yielding ground and boasts a strong course record with two wins from eight starts here, making him a major player back at his favourite venue.
The rest of the field
Lake ChadKTB Fit 56/100
Lake Chad has a KTB Fit Score of 56 and recent form of 3201-8. The 11-year-old has won once and placed twice from eight runs on good to yielding ground. Philip Fenton has an 18% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 1.24, but Alan O'Sullivan is yet to score at the track from six rides for an A/E of 0. He has no course form on record.
Truckers CruisingKTB Fit 56/100
Truckers Cruising is on 56 for KTB Fit with form figures of 01U6-0. Gordon Elliott has a fine 19% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 0.9, and Kevin Sexton posts an 11% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.98. He has had two runs on good to yielding ground without placing and has no course form on record.
RingdufferinKTB Fit 54/100
Ringdufferin scores 54 on the KTB Fit scale and has form of P/04-8. He has been placed once from six runs on good to yielding ground. A L T Moore has a 10% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 0.69, and Ricky Doyle is on 7% here with an A/E of 0.73. He has won here once from six starts.
DriveonwillKTB Fit 52/100
Driveonwill has a KTB Fit Score of 52 and recent form of 444-U1. The 6-year-old has won once and been placed once from four runs on good to yielding ground. Ross O'Sullivan has a 10% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 0.73, while Shane Markey has no record at the track. He has won here once from two starts.
ListentillitellyeaKTB Fit 50/100
Listentillitellyea is rated 50 by KTB with form figures of 5/F-76. He has been placed three times from eight runs on good to yielding ground. Thomas Gibney has a 10% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 1.08, but Harry Sexton is on 0% from 20 rides here with an A/E of 0. He has no course form on record.
Dorking CockKTB Fit 48/100
Dorking Cock has a KTB Fit Score of 48 and form of P/5-24. The 12-year-old has had three runs on good to yielding ground without placing. S R B Crawford has a 6% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 0.55, and John Shinnick has no wins from 21 rides here. He finished fourth on his only previous start at the track.
Doyen MagicKTB Fit 46/100
Doyen Magic scores 46 on the KTB Fit scale with form of 1P22-5. He has won once and been placed once from four runs on good to yielding ground. P J Rothwell has a 7% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 0.74, and Shane O'Callaghan posts a 9% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.93. He has run twice here without winning or placing.
King's SonKTB Fit 45/100
King's Son has a KTB Fit Score of 45 and recent form of 52800-. The 6-year-old has had three runs on good to yielding ground without placing. Seamus Neville has an 8% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 1.14, and Philip Donovan is on 6% here with an A/E of 0.72. He has no course form on record.
ParkgarveKTB Fit 44/100
Parkgarve is the lowest rated on KTB Fit with a mark of 44 and form of U30-86. He has had five runs at Downpatrick, finishing placed on two occasions without winning. Ian Patrick Donoghue has an 11% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.77, though P J O'Hanlon is on 3% from 95 rides here with an A/E of 0.38. He is unproven on good to yielding ground.
KTB verdict
Leave In Secret is the KTB Selection and heads a field where several horses have strong claims on course and going. His combination of recent form, trainer and jockey course statistics and the highest Fit Score of 62 make him the one to side with. Finnians Row, with two course wins from eight starts and a recent victory, is the most obvious danger, while Andys Flame's course success and Magic Day's powerful yard both command respect. Freddie Robdal and a couple of the longer-priced runners could also get involved if the race develops as anticipated.
KTB Selection Leave In Secret
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:02 UTC, 13 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Leave In Secret | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Andys Flame | 20/1 | BetTom |
| Magic Day | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Freddie Robdal | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Finnians Row | 5/1 | BetTom |
| Lake Chad | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| Truckers Cruising | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Ringdufferin | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Driveonwill | 7/2 | Bet365 |
| Listentillitellyea | 20/1 | Bet365 |
| Dorking Cock | 25/1 | BetTom |
| Doyen Magic | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| King's Son | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Parkgarve | 9/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 3:45 Downpatrick. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Downpatrick racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest recent course record at Downpatrick?
Finnians Row has two wins from eight starts here, while Andys Flame, Ringdufferin and Driveonwill each have one win at the track.
Who holds the best trainer strike rate at Downpatrick in this race?
Gordon Elliott has a 19% strike rate at Downpatrick, followed by Philip Fenton on 18% and Henry De Bromhead on 16%.
Which runners have the best going records on good to yielding ground?
Leave In Secret has one win and three places from six runs, Freddie Robdal has three places from six, and both Andys Flame and Magic Day have two places from three starts.
How does the pace shape look for this handicap chase?
The pace shape is expected to be on the steady side with no obvious front-runner, meaning the race could suit prominent racers or those coming from mid-division.
Which jockey has the strongest record at Downpatrick among those riding?
James Smith has a 16% strike rate at Downpatrick with an A/E of 1.39, while Kevin Sexton is on 11% with an A/E of 0.98.
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