3:45 Nottingham
A small but competitive Class 4 nursery over the minimum trip at Nottingham on good to firm ground sees four two-year-olds line up. Glamorize tops the KTB Fit ratings on 63 and brings the strongest recent form having already won here, while the other three are rated between 49 and 40. The KTB numbers point to a race where course knowledge and proven speed over five furlongs should count for plenty.
How the race shapes up
With only four runners the pace shape is expected to be even. Glamorize has shown useful early speed in her three starts and is likely to take them along from draw three, while Havana Gift from stall two and Our Fella in one can track the pace. Location Location steps back to five furlongs having raced at six and may settle in mid-division. The key question is whether Glamorize can maintain her advantage once the headgear goes on or if any of the closers can pick her up in the final furlong.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Glamorize KTB Selection63/100Glamorize showed useful early speed to win on debut here over this trip on good to firm ground and has run creditably in two stronger races since.
- 2Location Location49/100Modest performer who has shown steady placed form in three starts at 6f.
- 3Havana Gift43/100Modest 2yo who has shown ordinary form in four starts, finishing no better than second on one occasion at today's trip.
- 4Our Fella40/100Modest performer who has shown some ability on his last two starts, finishing second over this trip at Windsor on the most recent one.
The contenders
Glamorize KTB Fit 63/100
Glamorize showed useful early speed to win on debut here over this trip on good to firm ground and has run creditably in two stronger races since. The form reads as fair for the level and the yard's 14 percent strike rate at Nottingham adds some confidence. First-time headgear is now fitted on a horse that has already shown she handles the track and the trip. David Egan takes the ride on a filly with a 1 from 1 course record and a solid record on good to firm. The trainer-jockey combination brings an 8 from 74 record overall though their Nottingham figures are respectable. Everything about her profile suggests she is the one to beat.
Location Location KTB Fit 49/100
Location Location is a modest performer who has shown steady placed form in three starts at 6f. Dropping back to 5f today asks a fresh question while first-time headgear is also an unknown. Trainer James Fanshawe has a solid 15% strike rate from 426 runs at Nottingham and teams up with Tom Marquand who himself has an 11% strike rate at the track. The colt steps up in class having been competitive on good to firm but without winning. His trainer-jockey partnership shows a healthy 19 from 80 record with a positive A/E. How he handles the drop in trip and the fitting of headgear will decide whether he can improve on his placed efforts.
Havana Gift KTB Fit 43/100
Havana Gift is a modest 2yo who has shown ordinary form in four starts, finishing no better than second on one occasion at today's trip. Ran respectably when fourth on course debut here last time but the yard's modest 5% strike rate at Nottingham offers little encouragement. Stall two is fine yet overall progress has been limited so far. Warren Fentiman takes the 3lb claim and the jockey has an 11% strike rate at the track from limited rides. The colt has one run on good to firm without placing and his overall figures leave him with a bit to find. Connections will hope the course experience can spark some improvement.
The rest of the field
Our FellaKTB Fit 40/100
Our Fella is a modest performer who has shown some ability on his last two starts, finishing second over this trip at Windsor on the most recent one. Drawn in stall 1 which could be an advantage on good to firm ground. Trainer has a 6% strike rate from 152 runs at Nottingham. He steps up in class having been competitive without winning on good to firm.
KTB verdict
Glamorize stands out as the KTB Selection. She has already won over course and distance on good to firm, brings the best recent form and is now fitted with first-time headgear that could sharpen her up further. Her ability looks a cut above the rest of this field and the yard's strike rate at Nottingham gives added confidence. The main dangers are Location Location if the drop to five furlongs and the headgear bring improvement, and Havana Gift if he can build on his respectable course run last time, though both look held on what they have shown so far. Our Fella is the other player but has the most to find on balance.
KTB Selection Glamorize
This is the narrative read of the 3:45 Nottingham. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Nottingham racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has already won over course and distance on good to firm?
Glamorize, who has a 1 from 1 course record and 1 win from 3 on good to firm.
What is the KTB Fit rating for the selection Glamorize?
63/100.
Which runners are wearing first-time headgear?
Glamorize and Location Location.
How many starts has Havana Gift had and what is his best result at this trip?
Four starts with a best of second on one occasion at today's trip.
Which horse steps back in trip from 6f to 5f?
Location Location.
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