4:08 Redcar
A compact but competitive Class 4 handicap over 1m2f1y at Redcar on good to firm ground brings together just four runners at the Sky Bet Go-Racing-In-Yorkshire Summer Festival. The KTB Fit Scores identify Be Patient as the clear top pick on 67, narrowly ahead of Nepal on 65, with Blue To Blue and Financer some way behind on 54 and 42 respectively. Recent form and progressive profiles point to the younger horses holding the key, though course familiarity gives one of the older contingent a small foothold.
How the race shapes up
With only four runners the pace shape is expected to be even and tactical. Be Patient and Nepal are both comfortable tracking or sitting prominently, while Blue To Blue tends to come from off the pace and Financer can be ridden handy from the inside draw. The key question is whether the race develops into a sprint for the line up the straight or if an early injection of pace allows the prominent runners to dictate terms and stretch the closers.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Be Patient KTB Selection67/100Be Patient has shown steady improvement, winning both starts this year after a placed debut and looks a fair sort who is not yet fully exposed.
- 2Nepal65/100Nepal is a fair sort who showed his best this year when winning at Pontefract in May before a lesser effort last time.
- 3Blue To Blue54/100Blue To Blue is a fair 3-year-old with placed form on good to firm but no win from four runs on the surface.
- 4Financer42/100Modest performer who won on his only previous visit to Redcar and has scored three times at today's trip.
The contenders
Be Patient KTB Fit 67/100
Be Patient has shown steady improvement, winning both starts this year after a placed debut and looks a fair sort who is not yet fully exposed. The yard has a solid 25% strike rate at Redcar while Tudhope is aboard, and the colt has already won on this good to firm ground and at today's trip. Stall three is no hindrance on a straight track. Trainer Edward Bethell and jockey Daniel Tudhope combine with a 10/58 record. The three-year-old's recent form figures of 31-1 underline his upward curve and he holds the highest KTB Fit Score of 67.
Nepal KTB Fit 65/100
Nepal is a fair sort who showed his best this year when winning at Pontefract in May before a lesser effort last time. He drops back in trip having won over this distance in the past and acts on good to firm ground with two wins from four starts. The yard has a solid 10 percent strike rate at Redcar from 88 runs while this is his first run here. Ivan Furtado and Jason Hart have a 39/347 record together. Recent form reads 35-810 and with a KTB Fit Score of 65 he is the closest rival to the selection.
Blue To Blue KTB Fit 54/100
Blue To Blue is a fair 3-year-old with placed form on good to firm but no win from four runs on the surface. He steps up to 1m2f for the first time today having shown his best this year when second over a mile. The Redcar debut adds another unknown while the yard has no recorded runners at the track. Ruth Jefferson and Billy Garritty team up with the trainer holding an overall 17% strike rate. Dropping in class is a positive and the KTB Fit Score reads 54.
The rest of the field
FinancerKTB Fit 42/100
Financer is a modest performer who won on his only previous visit to Redcar and has scored three times at today's trip. Recent form is ordinary and the first-time headgear is an unknown, while the yard's modest strike-rate at the track adds little encouragement. Steps up in distance today having last run over 1m1f. The KTB Fit Score is 42.
KTB verdict
Be Patient stands out as the KTB Selection. He has progressed nicely with two wins already this season, remains unexposed, and enjoys the services of Daniel Tudhope at a track where the yard operate at a 25% strike rate. The colt has already shown he handles good to firm ground and the trip, and stall three should be ideal. Nepal is the most obvious danger having won over this distance before and shown fair form this term, while Blue To Blue and Financer both have questions to answer stepping up in trip or class respectively.
KTB Selection Be Patient
This is the narrative read of the 4:08 Redcar. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Redcar racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course winning form at Redcar?
Financer won on his only previous visit to Redcar.
Which runner is stepping up in trip for the first time?
Blue To Blue steps up to 1m2f for the first time today.
What is the trainer strike rate at Redcar for the yard of the selection?
Edward Bethell has a 25% strike rate at Redcar.
Which horse is wearing first-time headgear?
Financer is fitted with first-time headgear.
Who has the highest KTB Fit Score in the race?
Be Patient has the highest KTB Fit Score on 67.
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