4:15 Catterick
This Class 5 handicap over the minimum trip at Catterick brings together an eleven-strong field of largely modest performers on good ground. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched, headed by Tees Aggregates on 64, with four others between 55 and 60, underlining the competitive nature of the race. Several runners have previous experience of the track, and the drop in class for a few adds an extra layer of interest to the puzzle.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with at least two habitual front-runners present, including Betweenthesticks, Our Absent Friends, Staniel Cay and Miss Brazen all inclined to race prominently. This shape could see the leaders go hard early and potentially collapse in the latter stages, which would play into the hands of those held up towards the rear. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate matters or if the race will fall apart late, allowing the closers to capitalise from off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Tees Aggregates KTB Selection64/100Modest performer who has won twice at Catterick from five runs and also has a win at this trip from 26 starts.
- 2Betweenthesticks60/100Modest performer who has won once from three runs at Catterick and holds a solid 7-48 record at this trip.
- 3Our Absent Friends57/100Modest performer who has won over this trip and at this track from four visits.
- 4Beaumadier56/100Modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning, placing in four of his last seven starts.
- 5Canaria Queen55/100Modest performer who has run five times at Catterick without winning but has been placed twice.
- 6Staniel Cay54/100Modest performer who has shown his best at this trip, winning once and placing twice from four starts.
- 7Irish Dancer52/100Limited performer who has won twice at Catterick from nine runs and also has a respectable record at this trip.
- 8Emperor's Son52/100Modest performer with a patchy record and 23 runs already under his belt.
- 9Miss Brazen46/100Modest performer who has won four times at this trip but is 0-14 on good ground this season and has looked short of her best on her last two starts.
- 10Invincible Crown43/100Limited performer who has won four times over this trip but has looked only modest in recent runs.
- 11Cheerleader41/100Cheerleader is a limited performer who has shown enough at this track and trip to stay competitive in this grade.
The contenders
Tees Aggregates KTB Fit 64/100
Tees Aggregates is a modest performer who has won twice at Catterick from five runs and also has a win at this trip from 26 starts. He has been competitive on good ground without winning and his recent form of 533170 shows he can mix it at this level. Dropping in class looks a positive, while the trainer's 15% strike rate at Catterick from 67 runs and the jockey's 13% strike rate from 172 rides at the track provide further encouragement. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is well suited by the likely strong pace that could collapse. The yard and rider combination has produced a modest overall record together, but both have shown they can perform well individually at this venue.
Betweenthesticks KTB Fit 60/100
Betweenthesticks is a modest performer who has won once from three runs at Catterick and holds a solid 7-48 record at this trip. Consistent enough of late with form figures of 296234, he has three wins from 16 starts on good ground. First-time headgear is now tried while the yard posts a 12% strike-rate at the track from a large sample. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he could be in the vanguard in a race where the pace is likely to be strong. The trainer and jockey have a respectable combined record at Catterick, though their overall partnership figures are modest.
Our Absent Friends KTB Fit 57/100
Our Absent Friends is a modest performer who has won over this trip and at this track from four visits. Recent form is mixed but he has placed on good ground and the yard's Catterick record is solid. Dropping in class could help his cause, and the draw in stall four looks reasonable though he remains vulnerable to anything better handicapped. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he will be prominent in a contest where the pace shape is expected to be strong. The jockey has a lengthy record at the track, though his A/E is below 1.00.
Beaumadier KTB Fit 56/100
Beaumadier is a modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning, placing in four of his last seven starts. He has a win on good ground and four victories at this trip from 37 attempts, though his overall strike-rate remains modest. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be suited by the likely strong pace that could collapse. The trainer has a 7% strike-rate from 28 runs at Catterick, while the jockey has no record at the track. No course form on record means he will need to prove himself on this track.
Canaria Queen KTB Fit 55/100
Canaria Queen is a modest performer who has run five times at Catterick without winning but has been placed twice. She has won eight times at this trip overall and handles good ground, though her recent form has been patchy. First-time headgear is now tried and the yard's record here is solid. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she will be towards the rear in a race that could fall apart late. Dropping in class is another factor in her favour, though her overall profile suggests she needs things to go her way.
The rest of the field
Staniel CayKTB Fit 54/100
Staniel Cay is a modest performer who has shown his best at this trip, winning once and placing twice from four starts. Catterick run was only a fair fourth and he has been a bit in and out overall. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he could be involved early in what is likely to be a strong pace. The trainer holds a solid 14% strike-rate here while the good ground looks suitable.
Irish DancerKTB Fit 52/100
Irish Dancer is a limited performer who has won twice at Catterick from nine runs and also has a respectable record at this trip. Recent form is patchy yet he has shown enough at this level to stay competitive, though first-time headgear is now needed to sharpen him up. Stepping up in class and usually held up, he will be towards the rear in a race with a strong pace likely. The trainer holds a 10% strike rate here while the jockey is 0-11 at the track.
Emperor's SonKTB Fit 52/100
Emperor's Son is a modest performer with a patchy record and 23 runs already under his belt. Drops back to his winning trip today having scored twice at 5f, and he has shown he can handle good ground. First-time headgear is now applied while the trainer has too few runners here to form any clear view. Usually held up, he will be suited by the anticipated strong pace.
Miss BrazenKTB Fit 46/100
Miss Brazen is a modest performer who has won four times at this trip but is 0-14 on good ground this season and has looked short of her best on her last two starts. Only one run at Catterick and that was a poor effort, while the yard's 5% strike-rate here from 130 runs adds little confidence. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, stall nine is no help either on a track where low numbers usually dominate.
Invincible CrownKTB Fit 43/100
Invincible Crown is a limited performer who has won four times over this trip but has looked only modest in recent runs. Has run twice at Catterick without placing and is drawn wide today from stall 10. Usually held up, he should be suited by the likely strong pace. The trainer has a solid 12% strike rate here from a big sample while the jockey has yet to score from 31 rides at the track.
CheerleaderKTB Fit 41/100
Cheerleader is a limited performer who has shown enough at this track and trip to stay competitive in this grade. She won over Catterick 5f last season and has a solid 1 from 3 course record, while her two placed efforts on good ground from five attempts suggest the surface is fine. The yard's modest 7% strike rate here from a large sample is offset by a slightly positive A/E of 1.05. Usually held up, she will be towards the rear.
KTB verdict
Tees Aggregates is the KTB Selection. A modest performer with two wins at Catterick from five starts and a previous success at this trip, he drops in class and is well suited by the likely strong pace as a usual hold-up performer. The trainer and jockey both have above-average records at the track individually, and his recent form suggests he can be competitive at this level. Main dangers include Betweenthesticks, who brings first-time headgear and a course win, and Our Absent Friends, who is dropping in class and has a solid yard record at Catterick. Beaumadier and Canaria Queen, both hold-up types with headgear applied, could also be suited by the shape if the leaders go too hard.
KTB Selection Tees Aggregates
This is the narrative read of the 4:15 Catterick. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Catterick racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runners are likely to set the early pace?
Betweenthesticks, Our Absent Friends, Staniel Cay and Miss Brazen all tend to make the running or race on the pace.
How many previous course winners are in the field?
Tees Aggregates (2 from 5), Betweenthesticks (1 from 3), Our Absent Friends (1 from 4), Irish Dancer (2 from 9) and Cheerleader (1 from 3) have all won at Catterick.
Which horses are wearing headgear for the first time?
Betweenthesticks, Canaria Queen, Irish Dancer and Emperor's Son are all fitted with first-time headgear.
Who are the hold-up performers in the race?
Tees Aggregates, Beaumadier, Canaria Queen, Irish Dancer, Emperor's Son, Invincible Crown and Cheerleader are all usually held up and produce their effort late.
Which horses are dropping in class?
Tees Aggregates, Our Absent Friends, Canaria Queen and Emperor's Son are dropping in class.
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