4:25 Yarmouth
This Class 4 handicap over a mile at Yarmouth brings together ten fair performers on good to firm ground. The KTB Fit scores identify a compact top half headed by Knights Gold on 69, with Sea Suite, Gorgeous Mr George, Rogue Encore and Shihoku completing the principals between 65 and 52. Several runners have previous experience around this track, while others bring recent wins or placed form at the trip, setting up a competitive renewal where course knowledge and conditions could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape suggests a fairly even gallop with no obvious front-runner dominating. Knights Gold from stall 1 and Shihoku in stall 3 are likely to race prominently, while Sea Suite is expected to come from off the pace having been ridden that way in recent wins. Gorgeous Mr George and Rogue Encore should settle in mid-division, posing the key question of whether the prominent runners can dictate matters or if the race will be won from off the pace in the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Knights Gold KTB Selection69/100Knights Gold is a fair handicapper who has been running respectably without winning lately, finishing third in his most recent start.
- 2Sea Suite65/100Sea Suite is a fair performer who has won over course and distance in the past and arrives in solid form after a recent win over 7f.
- 3Gorgeous Mr George62/100Gorgeous Mr George is a fair performer who has won three times at Yarmouth from ten runs and holds solid recent course connections.
- 4Rogue Encore58/100Rogue Encore is a fair performer who has won three times at this trip from 17 attempts and arrives off the back of a string of ordinary efforts.
- 5Shihoku52/100Shihoku is a fair performer who has been below form on his last three starts.
- 6Red Hat Eagle51/100Red Hat Eagle is a fair handicapper who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts.
- 7Hitched49/100Hitched is a fair handicapper who has been in and out of form this year with a recent string of modest efforts.
- 8Influential49/100Fair performer who showed his best yet when winning over this trip last time.
- 9Cancan In The Rain47/100Cancan In The Rain is a fair performer with a solid record here, including one win from four runs at Yarmouth.
- 10Kalamunda42/100Kalamunda is a modest performer who has been largely consistent without winning for some time.
The contenders
Knights Gold KTB Fit 69/100
Knights Gold is a fair handicapper who has been running respectably without winning lately, finishing third in his most recent start. He has won on good to firm ground and at today's trip, though his record shows only one success from the last 12 attempts at this distance. The yard has a strong 30 percent strike rate at Yarmouth while the jockey is more modest at 9 percent from 22 rides here. Drawn in stall 1, he is expected to race prominently which could be an advantage given the shape. His recent form figures of -90593 show consistency at this level without quite landing a blow. Overall he arrives with the strongest KTB Fit rating of 69 and is taken to capitalise.
Sea Suite KTB Fit 65/100
Sea Suite is a fair performer who has won over course and distance in the past and arrives in solid form after a recent win over 7f. He acts on good to firm ground and steps back up to a trip where he has placed three times from seven starts. The yard and jockey both have strong recent records at Yarmouth, with the trainer on 19 percent and the jockey on 22 percent. His recent form of -14341 underlines his current wellbeing. From a wide draw in stall 10 he is likely to be ridden with restraint and come from off the pace. With a KTB Fit of 65 he is the obvious danger to the selection.
Gorgeous Mr George KTB Fit 62/100
Gorgeous Mr George is a fair performer who has won three times at Yarmouth from ten runs and holds solid recent course connections. He has won twice on good to firm from five starts and has also scored at this trip though his recent form of 28-888 suggests he is not at his peak right now. The trainer has a 16 percent strike rate here from 58 runs while the jockey is operating at 24 percent from 17 rides. His three wins at the track give him a clear course edge over several rivals. Drawn in stall 4 he should find a nice position in mid-division. Rated 62 on KTB Fit he remains a contender if he can rediscover his best.
Rogue Encore KTB Fit 58/100
Rogue Encore is a fair performer who has won three times at this trip from 17 attempts and arrives off the back of a string of ordinary efforts. He has run just once here, finishing a respectable third, while both trainer and jockey have solid records at Yarmouth with strike rates of 15 percent and 11 percent respectively. He has limited experience on good to firm ground. Dropping in class is a positive and his recent form of 1-5090 can be forgiven given the tougher tasks he has faced. With a KTB Fit of 58 he is capable of bouncing back to form if the drop in grade sparks improvement.
Shihoku KTB Fit 52/100
Shihoku is a fair performer who has been below form on his last three starts. He has run just once at Yarmouth and finished 13th, while he has never tackled good to firm ground so that remains an unknown. The drop back to 1m looks a sensible move given he has placed twice at the trip, and both trainer and jockey have solid 19 percent strike rates here. Silvestre De Sousa takes the ride which is a notable booking. His recent form of 26-470 is modest but the return to a mile could help him get back on track. He holds a KTB Fit of 52 and cannot be entirely dismissed.
The rest of the field
Red Hat EagleKTB Fit 51/100
Red Hat Eagle is a fair handicapper who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts. He has won at this trip in the past but was well held when last tried over it and drops back from 1m1f today. The yard and jockey both have solid Yarmouth records while he has handled good to firm ground in the past.
HitchedKTB Fit 49/100
Hitched is a fair handicapper who has been in and out of form this year with a recent string of modest efforts. He has run well at this track before when second and the yard's solid 17 percent strike rate at Yarmouth adds some confidence. Dropping back to 1m looks a positive as he has won seven times at the trip though his record on good to firm is only ordinary.
InfluentialKTB Fit 49/100
Influential is a fair performer who showed his best yet when winning over this trip last time. He has already run once here without much impact and the small sample on this ground leaves his effectiveness open to question. Trainer holds a solid 21 percent strike rate at Yarmouth while the jockey has too few rides at the track to assess. He steps up in class.
Cancan In The RainKTB Fit 47/100
Cancan In The Rain is a fair performer with a solid record here, including one win from four runs at Yarmouth. He has won twice on good to firm and has two wins from ten starts at today's 1m trip, though he steps up from 7f last time. The trainer's modest 8 percent strike rate from 49 runs at the track and the jockey's 7 percent from 29 rides suggest the pair need things to fall right.
KalamundaKTB Fit 42/100
Kalamunda is a modest performer who has been largely consistent without winning for some time. He has placed over course and distance and acts on good to firm, though his three runs on this ground have produced no win or place. The trainer holds a 12 percent strike rate here from 60 runs while the jockey is operating at 17 percent from 424 rides.
KTB verdict
Knights Gold stands out as the KTB Selection with the highest Fit score of 69 and a yard that has been notably effective at Yarmouth. His recent respectable efforts, ability on good to firm and proven trip credentials all point to him going close from a favourable draw. Sea Suite is the most obvious danger given his course and distance success and strong recent form, while Gorgeous Mr George cannot be ruled out on his fine track record despite modest recent efforts. Rogue Encore and Shihoku add further depth to what looks a competitive heat.
KTB Selection Knights Gold
This is the narrative read of the 4:25 Yarmouth. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Yarmouth racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest recent course record at Yarmouth?
Gorgeous Mr George has won three times at Yarmouth from ten runs.
How many wins has Sea Suite recorded at this trip?
Sea Suite has placed three times from seven starts at this trip.
Why is the drop back to 1m considered a positive for Shihoku?
Shihoku has placed twice at the trip and the drop back to 1m looks a sensible move given his recent below-par efforts.
Which runner is dropping in class?
Rogue Encore is dropping in class.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Yarmouth with Knights Gold's yard?
The yard has a 30 percent strike rate at Yarmouth.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies