4:37 Navan
This 1m5f handicap division at Navan on good ground features a field of 16 modest performers where the KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, headed by Sarmiento Power on 57. The race is a genuine test with a front-runner likely to be pressed by several handy types, and the KTB numbers highlight limited ability across the board with recent form generally underwhelming. Official ratings hover in the low-to-mid 60s, suggesting a race that could be decided by which horse handles the step up in trip or the pace shape best.
How the race shapes up
A genuinely-run contest is expected with Desert Friend likely to take them along from his handy draw, pressed by prominent racers such as God The Highness, Kevin The Great and Jazz Forever. Several held-up types including the selection Sarmiento Power and Ethereal Star will be looking to come from off the pace in what should be a fair test. The key question is whether any of the prominent runners can sustain the gallop or if the race will fall into the lap of a stronger finisher from midfield or rear.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Sarmiento Power KTB Selection57/100RPR 65 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Lariat56/100RPR 61 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Ethereal Star53/100RPR 65 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4God The Highness50/100RPR 67 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 5Desert Friend47/100RPR 66 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 6Idomything47/100RPR 63 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 7Kevin The Great47/100RPR 64 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 8Proleek Prince46/100RPR 67 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 9Jazz Forever45/100RPR 58 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 10Mapa45/100RPR 64 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 11Mr Mills44/100RPR 62 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 12Spinning Web44/100RPR 62 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 13Deluca Chop42/100RPR 62 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 14Bang Po42/100RPR 61 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 15Maxwell Smart41/100RPR 62 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 16El Regalo33/100RPR 52 — field comparison calculated at page load
The contenders
Sarmiento Power KTB Fit 57/100
Sarmiento Power is rated a modest performer on an RPR of 65 with recent form figures of 5-5800 showing little spark. He steps up in trip to 1m5f for the first time having been well held over 1m4f last time out and his sole run on good ground brought no reward. The trainer has a 9% strike rate from 137 runs at Navan while the jockey has recorded a 7% strike rate from 323 rides at the track. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be looking to come from off the pace in what is anticipated to be a genuinely-run race. His overall profile remains modest in this company.
Lariat KTB Fit 56/100
Lariat is a modest performer who has shown little spark in three starts this year and ran to just 61 on his most recent outing. He has been placed a few times at this trip without winning and has a fair record around here including a fourth on his penultimate visit. The trainer strikes at 7% at Navan while the jockey has a 10% strike rate from 101 rides at the track. Typically settling in midfield, he should be well positioned to track the pace in what is set to be a genuine test. His placed efforts at the trip and course give him some appeal but overall ability remains limited.
Ethereal Star KTB Fit 53/100
Ethereal Star has struggled since finishing third on handicap debut last year and arrives here on the back of two heavy defeats. The drop back from 2m to 1m5f asks a fresh question while the wide draw in stall 16 is no help on this track. The trainer has an 8% strike rate from 36 runs at Navan and the horse is 0-3 on good ground. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need to find improvement from rear in a race that is set to be run at a genuine gallop. His profile suggests he will find this tough.
God The Highness KTB Fit 50/100
God The Highness is a modest performer who has shown little spark this year and was well held on return at this track last month. He has placed once in three runs at this trip but his two efforts on good ground brought no joy and the first-time headgear is now applied as a question mark. The trainer has an 11% strike rate from over a thousand runs at Navan while the jockey also has an 11% strike rate from 600 rides here. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he is likely to be prominent in what should be a strongly-run affair. His placed effort at the trip offers some hope but he needs to improve.
Desert Friend KTB Fit 47/100
Desert Friend is a modest performer with a recent win at this trip but has been inconsistent overall and looks vulnerable from a career-high mark. He has placed once from three runs at Navan and is proven on good ground though his two wins from 17 starts on it show limited impact at this level. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 30 runs here while the jockey has a 7% strike rate from 723 rides at the track. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he should set the tempo in a genuinely-run race. The drop back from 2m asks a fresh question but his recent success at the trip makes him an interesting front-runner.
The rest of the field
IdomythingKTB Fit 47/100
Idomything is a modest performer who has failed to trouble the judge in seven starts since his sole win as a 2yo. He steps up in trip today having already scored over this distance but his recent form is poor and he has never placed on good ground from six attempts. The trainer strikes at a 5% rate here from 60 runs while he typically settles in midfield.
Kevin The GreatKTB Fit 47/100
Kevin The Great is a modest performer who has shown little spark in two runs this year and looks up against it from stall 12. He has twice finished sixth at this track on good ground without looking like winning, and first-time headgear is now reached for as he steps up markedly in trip. The trainer strikes at 11% here from a big sample and he usually races handily.
Proleek PrinceKTB Fit 46/100
Proleek Prince is a modest performer who has been largely out of form this year and arrives here with a recent string of ordinary efforts. He steps up in trip for the first time in a while having shown no spark over shorter, though he has won on good ground in the past. The trainer remains without a Navan winner from 18 attempts while this is his first run at the track and he typically settles in midfield.
Jazz ForeverKTB Fit 45/100
Jazz Forever is a limited performer who has shown little spark in two starts this year after a long absence. He has placed once on good ground from limited tries and was a fair fourth over C&D last year, but his overall record is modest and he now drops back from 2m as an unknown. The trainer operates at a 6% strike rate here from a big sample and he usually races handily.
MapaKTB Fit 45/100
Mapa is a modest performer who has been largely consistent without winning in 19 starts. He steps up in trip having shown placed form on good ground but without a victory at any distance. The trainer’s modest record at Navan adds no encouragement from the wide draw and he is usually held up.
Mr MillsKTB Fit 44/100
Mr Mills is a modest performer who showed a bit more when runner-up over 1m4f at this track last time. He has won here from seven runs but is 0-4 on good ground and steps up in trip today for the first time. The trainer has only had one runner at Navan so that adds another unknown and he typically settles in midfield.
Spinning WebKTB Fit 44/100
Spinning Web is a modest performer who has been placed a couple of times this year but has failed to build on those efforts. He drops back from 2m3f to a trip at which he has placed once from one attempt, though his recent form and speed figures suggest he will need to improve to be competitive here. The trainer strikes at 12% at Navan from 73 runs and he typically settles in midfield.
Deluca ChopKTB Fit 42/100
Deluca Chop is a modest performer who has been consistent of late with five placed efforts from his last six starts yet remains winless after 31 runs. He steps up in trip today having been placed once at this distance and first-time headgear is a positive but he has no win or place from eight runs on good ground. The trainer’s 2% strike rate from 45 runs at Navan adds to the negatives for a horse drawn widest in stall 13 and he is usually held up.
Bang PoKTB Fit 42/100
Bang Po is a modest performer who has struggled for form this year with a string of poor efforts. He has limited experience at this trip and on good ground while his record at Navan is unconvincing. The trainer's modest strike rate at the track adds to the negatives and he typically settles in midfield.
Maxwell SmartKTB Fit 41/100
Maxwell Smart is a modest performer who has been placed a few times at this track without winning and is now dropping back from 2m to a trip he has won at before. Recent form has been ordinary and the yard’s record here is poor. Going form is adequate but nothing special and he typically settles in midfield.
El RegaloKTB Fit 33/100
El Regalo is a limited performer who has shown very little in recent starts and arrives here with a career-low RPR of 52. He has been beaten a long way on both previous visits to Navan and the trainer’s 2% strike rate at the track offers no encouragement. He drops back in trip to an untried 1m5f which at least asks a new question but the overall profile remains modest and he typically settles in midfield.
KTB verdict
Sarmiento Power is the KTB Selection in a race where the top ratings are very close. His modest rating and recent form of 5-5800 show little spark but the step up to 1m5f for the first time could bring about improvement as he comes from off the pace in a genuinely-run contest. The trainer's 9% strike rate at Navan from 137 runs provides some encouragement. Main dangers include Desert Friend who brings a recent win at the trip and the likely pace angle from the front, as well as Lariat with his fair course record and placed efforts at the distance. God The Highness with first-time headgear and Ethereal Star cannot be entirely ruled out if the race shape falls their way.
KTB Selection Sarmiento Power
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 06:02 UTC, 7 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Sarmiento Power | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Lariat | 14/1 | LiveScore Bet |
| Ethereal Star | 28/1 | LiveScore Bet |
| God The Highness | 8/1 | Grosvenor Sports |
| Desert Friend | 17/2 | Virgin Bet |
| Idomything | 11/1 | LiveScore Bet |
| Kevin The Great | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Proleek Prince | 6/1 | Bet Victor |
| Jazz Forever | 14/1 | LiveScore Bet |
| Mapa | 9/2 | BetTom |
| Mr Mills | 13/2 | BetMGM |
| Spinning Web | 12/1 | Bet Victor |
| Deluca Chop | 4/1 | Unibet |
| Bang Po | 33/1 | LiveScore Bet |
| Maxwell Smart | 9/1 | BetMGM |
| El Regalo | 22/1 | LiveScore Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 4:37 Navan. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Navan racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is the KTB Selection?
Sarmiento Power
What is the expected pace shape of the race?
Genuinely run with a front-runner likely to be pressed by several handy types, creating a fair test.
How does the selection's trip change factor in?
Sarmiento Power steps up in trip to 1m5f for the first time having been well held over 1m4f last time.
Which horses are likely to race prominently?
Desert Friend tends to make the running, while God The Highness, Kevin The Great and Jazz Forever usually race handily.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Navan for the selection?
9% strike rate from 137 runs.
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