5:05 Kilbeggan
The Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle at Kilbeggan over 2m2f200y on good ground brings together a field of 19 largely unexposed or modest performers. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Doesthatmakesense rated 63, ahead of Mysilverriverfeale on 55, Facile Ocean on 51, Cooladdi on 50 and G N Jefferson on 49. With the pace shape unclear due to limited run-style evidence, the race lacks a clear blueprint and several runners arrive with headgear applied for the first time or questions to answer on trip and ground.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is unclear with low confidence because there is simply not enough run-style data across the field to form a reliable picture. G N Jefferson is the only horse noted as usually racing prominently or close to the lead, though that assessment rests on limited evidence, while Lengaruka tends to be held up. The key question is whether any horse can seize an uncontested lead or whether the race will develop into a more tactical affair in which prominent runners hold an edge over those coming from further back.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Doesthatmakesense KTB Selection63/100Doesthatmakesense has shown very little in two starts so far, finishing out of the frame both times.
- 2Mysilverriverfeale55/100Mysilverriverfeale is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and recent placed efforts.
- 3Facile Ocean51/100Facile Ocean has shown some promise on both starts at this track, finishing placed without winning over today's trip.
- 4Cooladdi50/100Useful performer who has shown steady placed form but failed to complete last time out.
- 5G N Jefferson49/100Lightly raced with just two runs this year and a recent form line of 43-09 that offers little to go on.
- 6Rumble Demosa49/100Lightly raced 5-year-old with just one run on the board, a modest seventh that offers very little to go on.
- 7Blue Johnl48/100Blue Johnl is a debutant with very little to go on beyond pedigree and sales background.
- 8Fairy Meadow48/100Fairy Meadow has only one completed run in the last year after falling on his other start and remains very lightly raced overall.
- 9Press The Button47/100Pressed The Button showed fair form when winning a bumper on debut and has since mixed hurdling with chasing without matching that level.
- 10Tell Me See46/100Lightly raced 5-year-old with just one run to go on after finishing ninth on debut.
- 11Baymount44/100Baymount has only two starts behind him and showed little in either, finishing eighth then pulled up.
- 12I Dont Really Care44/100Lightly raced 5-year-old with just one poor run on the board so far.
- 13Gc Star Speed44/100Lightly raced 8-year-old with just one run in the last year that ended in a pulled-up effort.
- 14Kingston Silver43/100Kingston Silver is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on.
- 15Perfect Order42/100Perfect Order showed little on his only start to date when finishing ninth.
- 16Texas Red41/100Texas Red has shown only modest form in five starts to date with a string of mid-division finishes and no sign of real progression.
- 17Lengaruka41/100Lengaruka has only one career run behind him so the form picture remains thin.
- 18Ballyday Tysie40/100Ballyday Tysie is a debutant with no prior racecourse experience.
- 19Kidam Roque38/100Kidam Roque has shown very little in eight starts and was pulled up on his most recent outing.
The contenders
Doesthatmakesense KTB Fit 63/100
Doesthatmakesense has shown very little in two starts so far, finishing out of the frame both times. The yard has a solid 13% strike rate at Kilbeggan from eight runs but the 7lb claimer has only two rides here, too few to judge. First-time headgear is now tried as the horse drops back in trip to an untried distance. Recent form figures read 0P and the horse remains unproven on good ground with no course form on record. While the profile is modest, the KTB Fit Score of 63 is the highest in the field and the selection carries the vote on that basis.
Mysilverriverfeale KTB Fit 55/100
Mysilverriverfeale is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and recent placed efforts. He drops back in trip having failed to make an impact over this distance on his only previous attempt and the first-time headgear is an unknown. Trainer Thomas Cooper has a 5% strike rate from 77 runs at Kilbeggan while Daniel King is 9% from 67 rides here. The horse has been placed once from four runs on good ground without winning and arrives with recent form figures of 68-524. Overall this looks a competitive profile in a maiden that lacks depth.
Facile Ocean KTB Fit 51/100
Facile Ocean has shown some promise on both starts at this track, finishing placed without winning over today's trip. The yard's modest 6% strike-rate at Kilbeggan and the jockey's 5% record here suggest they are not regular winners round here. First-time headgear is now fitted on a horse that remains lightly raced overall. Recent form reads 0/7-23 and the 5-year-old has been placed once from two runs on good ground. With course placings of third and second he holds strong claims on local knowledge.
Cooladdi KTB Fit 50/100
Cooladdi is a useful performer who has shown steady placed form but failed to complete last time out. Drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried, which asks a fresh question of him, while first-time headgear is now added. Trainer has only had four runners at Kilbeggan so far, too few to form any reliable view. The 6-year-old has been placed once from three runs on good ground and recent form reads 276-7F. He remains without a course record but the KTB Fit Score of 50 keeps him in the conversation.
G N Jefferson KTB Fit 49/100
G N Jefferson is lightly raced with just two runs this year and a recent form line of 43-09 that offers little to go on. The trainer's modest 6% strike rate at Kilbeggan from a big sample is a negative while the jockey has a solid 15% strike rate here from 46 rides. Trip is a fresh question today and the going remains unknown on such limited evidence. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead, though that read rests on limited evidence with low confidence. The 5-year-old has no wins or places from two runs on good ground and no course form.
The rest of the field
Rumble DemosaKTB Fit 49/100
Rumble Demosa is a lightly raced 5-year-old with just one run on the board, a modest seventh that offers very little to go on. The trainer holds a solid 12% strike rate at Kilbeggan from 95 runs while the jockey sits on a 7% record from 122 rides here, though both must be judged against this horse's minimal racecourse evidence. Trip and ground remain unknown quantities given the small sample.
Blue JohnlKTB Fit 48/100
Blue Johnl is a debutant with very little to go on beyond pedigree and sales background. The trainer has a modest 8% strike rate at Kilbeggan from a large sample while the jockey records a slightly better 10% from his rides here. Recent stable form is patchy so expectations should be kept low for this first run.
Fairy MeadowKTB Fit 48/100
Fairy Meadow has only one completed run in the last year after falling on his other start and remains very lightly raced overall. The Emmet Mullins yard holds a solid 24% strike rate at Kilbeggan while Donagh Meyler is operating at a more modest 8% here. First-time headgear is now fitted as he steps up in trip for the first time.
Press The ButtonKTB Fit 47/100
Press The Button showed fair form when winning a bumper on debut and has since mixed hurdling with chasing without matching that level. He steps up in trip today having looked stretched at 2m1f last time, which asks a fresh question of him. Trainer and jockey both have modest records at Kilbeggan.
Tell Me SeeKTB Fit 46/100
Tell Me See is a lightly raced 5-year-old with just one run to go on after finishing ninth on debut. The small sample means any assessment has to be tentative. Trainer has a 7% strike rate from 45 runs at Kilbeggan while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge.
BaymountKTB Fit 44/100
Baymount has only two starts behind him and showed little in either, finishing eighth then pulled up. The yard and jockey both hold a solid 11% strike rate at Kilbeggan from decent-sized samples. Stepping up in trip today asks a fresh question of a horse about whom very little is known.
I Dont Really CareKTB Fit 44/100
I Dont Really Care is a lightly raced 5-year-old with just one poor run on the board so far. The yard has a modest 2% strike rate from 41 runs at Kilbeggan. Stepping up in trip for the first time today leaves plenty to find on limited evidence.
Gc Star SpeedKTB Fit 44/100
Gc Star Speed is a lightly raced 8-year-old with just one run in the last year that ended in a pulled-up effort. The trainer has failed to land a winner from five attempts at Kilbeggan while the jockey operates at a modest 5% strike rate here from a much bigger sample. Trip is a fresh question today and the going remains an unknown with such a small base.
Kingston SilverKTB Fit 43/100
Kingston Silver is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on. The yard has a poor 0% strike rate from 21 runs at Kilbeggan. Pedigree and sales background offer the only pointers here but overall data confidence remains low.
Perfect OrderKTB Fit 42/100
Perfect Order showed little on his only start to date when finishing ninth. Gordon Elliott has an 11% strike rate from 657 runs at Kilbeggan while Sam Ewing is operating at 4% from 49 rides here. With just one run on the board and stepping up in trip today this is a low-confidence profile that needs to improve markedly.
Texas RedKTB Fit 41/100
Texas Red has shown only modest form in five starts to date with a string of mid-division finishes and no sign of real progression. The trainer holds a 6% strike rate from 401 runs at Kilbeggan while the jockey is still seeking a first winner from five rides here. Dropping back in trip poses a fresh question and the small amount of racing makes the going hard to gauge.
LengarukaKTB Fit 41/100
Lengaruka has only one career run behind him so the form picture remains thin. The trainer has a modest 5% strike rate from 19 runs at Kilbeggan while the jockey has posted a 10% strike rate from 40 rides here. Stepping up in trip for the first time today asks a fresh question of a horse whose going preference is still unknown.
Ballyday TysieKTB Fit 40/100
Ballyday Tysie is a debutant with no prior racecourse experience. The yard has a 0% strike rate from six runs at Kilbeggan while the jockey is also winless from 11 rides here. Pedigree and sales information is the only guide available but overall data confidence remains low.
Kidam RoqueKTB Fit 38/100
Kidam Roque has shown very little in eight starts and was pulled up on his most recent outing. He steps up in trip today while making his first appearance at Kilbeggan on ground he has never tried. The trainer's modest 3% strike rate from 114 runs here adds little encouragement.
KTB verdict
Doesthatmakesense is the KTB Selection. Despite a modest record of two starts and no placings, the horse tops the KTB Fit Scores on 63 and the first-time headgear combined with the drop in trip may unlock improvement for a yard that has shown up well at Kilbeggan in the past. The main dangers are headed by Mysilverriverfeale, whose placed form and useful level of ability on ratings give him a solid chance, and Facile Ocean, who has already shown promise in two placed efforts over course and distance. Cooladdi and G N Jefferson round out the principals, though both bring their own trip and headgear questions.
KTB Selection Doesthatmakesense
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 24 Jul. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Doesthatmakesense | 80/1 | Bet365 |
| Mysilverriverfeale | 5/2 | Coral |
| Facile Ocean | 2/1 | Coral |
| Cooladdi | 3/1 | Coral |
| G N Jefferson | 50/1 | BetTom |
| Rumble Demosa | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Blue Johnl | 28/1 | Coral |
| Fairy Meadow | 40/1 | BetTom |
| Press The Button | 3/1 | Coral |
| Tell Me See | 66/1 | Bet365 |
| Baymount | 66/1 | Bet365 |
| I Dont Really Care | 66/1 | Bet365 |
| Gc Star Speed | 100/1 | Bet365 |
| Kingston Silver | 40/1 | BetTom |
| Perfect Order | 14/1 | Coral |
| Texas Red | 14/1 | Coral |
| Lengaruka | 50/1 | Bet365 |
| Ballyday Tysie | 50/1 | Coral |
| Kidam Roque | 100/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 5:05 Kilbeggan. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Kilbeggan racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest KTB Fit Score and is the selection?
Doesthatmakesense with a KTB Fit Score of 63/100.
How many runners have first-time headgear fitted?
Five runners: Doesthatmakesense, Mysilverriverfeale, Facile Ocean, Cooladdi and Fairy Meadow.
Which horse has course placings at Kilbeggan over today's trip?
Facile Ocean, with form of 3rd and 2nd here.
Who has the best trainer strike rate at Kilbeggan among the principals?
E Seymour with a 13% strike rate at Kilbeggan from eight runs.
Which horse is the only one noted with a prominent run style?
G N Jefferson, though the read is based on limited evidence with low confidence.
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